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Plenty has been written about the underwhelming state of the minor leagues overall, but this certainly applies in dynasty leagues as well. The wave of graduations that we saw during 2015, combined with a general lack of high-end prospect depth in the minors heading into the season, has left a plush underbelly in these rankings—quite possibly the softest since I started writing about fantasy prospects more than a half-decade ago. Of course, this is not to take away from the excitement of the names at the top, as there are future superstars on here, but the names in the 75-100 range represent players and player profiles who would not have made this list in years past.

This is something that most of us know, but some owners still let it affect them as they make decisions heading into the 2016 season. There’s such an aura involved with being a Top 100 or Top 101 prospect that we forget that not all Top 100 or Top 101 lists are created equally. This can, and possibly should, lead to a switch in methodology for rebuilding owners. The common belief out there is that in order to reverse the fortunes of your dynasty league roster, you need to shift your equity into your farm team. Invest in the future, as they say. However, with the minor leagues in a down cycle right now, the better use of those resources might be investing in post-hype players as a primary source.

You don’t need to go back very far to find some highly regarded prospects who have not worked out the way scouts intended. Taking a review of the Top 50 fantasy prospects back in 2013, you find a number of names who have lost value and could be had for very reasonable price, yet are not eligible for this list and are not in the “all is lost” camp (sorry, Mike Olt). Jurickson Profar (1) is the big fish in that pond, but he won’t come cheaply. Nick Castellanos (19), Jonathan Singleton (22), Trevor Bauer (24), and Tyler Skaggs (26) all represent some of the higher-end values on this market—though my guess is that Singleton and Skaggs aren’t getting the post-hype respect they probably deserve. And the beautiful thing about post-hype players is that there’s no shortage of them. But we’re not here to talk about that subset, we’re here to talk about the prospects you should and do care about heading into 2016.

And before we can do that, we must wade through the fine print…

There are a few list-specific disclaimers to go over before we jump in. Again, these rankings are for fantasy purposes only, and do not directly take into account things like an outfielder’s ability to stick in center or a catcher’s pop time. Of course, these things do matter indirectly as they affect a player’s ability to either stay in the lineup or maintain eligibility. Additionally, home parks need to be factored in, just as when we are talking about a major-league player. If Corey Dickerson’s fantasy potential shrinks when going from Colorado to Tampa Bay, we can’t pretend that these prospects operate in a vacuum, unaffected by park factors. Of course, there’s no guarantee that they will reach the majors with their current organization, so while it is not a heavy consideration, it is reflected. Most importantly, the intention of this list is to balance the upside, probability, and proximity of these players to an active fantasy lineup.

Within the list below, you’ll find important information about each prospect, including their potential fantasy value (in dollars) at their peak and the risk factor associated with reaching that peak. Also, you will find a fantasy overview, which summarizes how many categories each player will be useful in, along with any that carry impact. For this exercise, we defined “impact” has having the potential to be in the top 15-20 players in a given category. For instance, impact in home runs roughly equates to the potential to hit 30, and impact for strikeouts is the potential to punch out 200. Then you’ll see a realistic ceiling and floor for each prospect, purely in terms of rotisserie value. The comments are specifically brief because I’ve already written fantasy-specific comments on each of these players in the individual top-10 lists (which are great and you should read, if you haven’t already).

So without any further ado, here is newest batch of the best 101 prospects for dynasty leagues:

1) Corey Seager, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 6)

Potential Earnings: $30-35
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A .300-hitting, 25-homering shortstop
Realistic Floor: His brother

2) Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 2)

Potential Earnings: $35+
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB
Realistic Ceiling: A perennial first-round pick who contributes in all five categories
Realistic Floor: A 30-40 steal outfielder, who is most comfortable as an OF3

3) Yoan Moncada, 2B, Boston Red Sox (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $35+
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB
Realistic Ceiling: The top fantasy second baseman for a half-decade
Realistic Floor: A trail of broken hearts in New England

4) Nomar Mazara, OF, Texas Rangers (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 31)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: Justin Upton without the steals
Realistic Floor: Jay Bruce

5) Lucas Giolito, RHP, Washington Nationals (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 9)

Potential Earnings: $30-35
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: /angels sing
Realistic Floor: /angels sing

6) J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 45)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: A middle-of-the-top-10 shortstop
Realistic Floor: A back-of-the-top-10 shortstop

7) Steven Matz, LHP, New York Mets (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 48)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A borderline SP1
Realistic Floor: The guy who had that awesome grandpa

8) Joey Gallo, OF/3B, Texas Rangers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 11)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI, R
Realistic Ceiling: Mr. Universe with a bat
Realistic Floor: A windmill

9) Bradley Zimmer, OF, Cleveland Indians (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 88)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: The really good version of Shane Victorino
Realistic Floor: The really good version of Gerardo Parra

10) Tim Anderson, SS, Chicago White Sox (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 18)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB
Realistic Ceiling: A top-three shortstop
Realistic Floor: A 30-steal outfielder

11) Alex Reyes, RHP, St Louis Cardinals (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 87)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: Oh lord
Realistic Floor: A wildly inconsistent SP3

12) A.J. Reed, 1B, Houston Astros (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A .280 hitter with 30 bombs
Realistic Floor: A very serviceable mixed-league corner infielder

13) Nick Williams, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 40)

Potential Earnings: $30-35
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: Adam Jones with more speed
Realistic Floor: Santa Claus

14) Brendan Rodgers, SS, Colorado Rockies (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $30-35
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI, R
Realistic Ceiling: The true heir to Troy Tulowitzki
Realistic Floor: Whatever, he’s a shortstop who plays half his games in Coors

15) Julio Urias, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 12)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: 20-year-old Fernando Valenzuela
Realistic Floor: 26-year-old Fernando Valenzuela

16) Trea Turner, SS, Washington Nationals (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 80)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB
Realistic Ceiling: A 30-plus stolen-base shortstop
Realistic Floor: A slightly worse 30-plus stolen-base shortstop

17) Lewis Brinson, OF, Texas Rangers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Matt Kemp pre-2011
Realistic Floor: Drew Stubbs

18) Blake Snell, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A top-20 starter
Realistic Floor: A top-40 starter

19) David Dahl, OF, Colorado Rockies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 17)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, SB
Realistic Ceiling: Charlie Blackmon
Realistic Floor: Cory Sullivan

20) Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 46)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI, R
Realistic Ceiling: A 30-homer OF
Realistic Floor: A great, reasonably-priced lefty masher for DFS

21) Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 42)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA, K
Realistic Ceiling: A reasonable SP2, held back by his WHIP
Realistic Floor: A lights-out closer

22) Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 77)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI, R
Realistic Ceiling: A top-five third baseman
Realistic Floor: Not making that Dunkin’ Donuts ad money

23) Clint Frazier, OF, Cleveland Indians (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 33)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A top-10 outfielder
Realistic Floor: Jonny Gomes without the combat helmet

24) Austin Meadows, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 62)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: A good OF2
Realistic Floor: A good OF4

25) Jesse Winker, OF, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 29)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: David Peralta, if you please
Realistic Floor: David Peralta, if you don't please

26) Jose Berrios, RHP, Minnesota Twins (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 60)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact contributor in ERA
Realistic Ceiling: A reasonable SP3
Realistic Floor: A strong SP4

27) Dansby Swanson, SS, Atlanta Braves (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: That bat!
Realistic Floor: That name! That hair!

28) Alex Bregman, SS, Houston Astros (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: Dustin Pedroia in his 20s
Realistic Floor: Dustin Pedroia in his 30s

29) Ryan McMahon, 3B, Colorado Rockies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 58)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in R, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A cold beer on a sunny Denver day
Realistic Floor: It's a Coors. The beer is a Coors. And the mountains on the can are only kind of a vague azure, they're not really all that blue at all.

30) Andrew Benintendi, OF, Boston Red Sox (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in R
Realistic Ceiling: Carlos Gonzalez without Coors
Realistic Floor: 80 percent of modern-day Shin-Soo Choo

31) Manuel Margot, OF, San Diego Padres (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 69)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB
Realistic Ceiling: I can't believe they gave this guy up for a reliever
Realistic Floor: I can't believe this is all it took to land Craig Kimbrel

32) Franklin Barreto, SS, Oakland Athletics (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 78)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: Alex Bregman
Realistic Floor: Alex Bregman with a goatee

33) Jorge Mateo, SS, New York Yankees (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in R, SB
Realistic Ceiling: A 70-steal shortstop
Realistic Floor: A really awesome pinch-runner

34) Victor Robles, OF, Washington Nationals (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB
Realistic Ceiling: God
Realistic Floor: Demigod

35) Jose De Leon, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K
Realistic Ceiling: Tyson Ross with better arm action
Realistic Floor: Jeff Samardzija

36) Josh Bell, 1B/OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 25)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in RBI
Realistic Ceiling: The recent version of Adrian Gonzalez
Realistic Floor: The 2018 version of Adrian Gonzalez

37) Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Chicago Cubs (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 59)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: All that is Man
Realistic Floor: All that is Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man

38) Cody Reed, LHP, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K, ERA
Realistic Ceiling: A top-20 starter
Realistic Floor: The Cody Reed people mistake the other Cody Reed for

39) Sean Newcomb, LHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K, ERA
Realistic Ceiling: The best version of C.J. Wilson
Realistic Floor: Every other version of C.J. Wilson

40) Max Kepler, OF, Minnesota Twins (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Eric Hosmer with OF eligibility
Realistic Floor: A German trivia answer

41) Raimel Tapia, OF, Colorado Rockies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 28)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: A .320/30-steal profile in Coors
Realistic Floor: A dodged bullet for the Batting Stance Guy

42) Sean Manaea, LHP, Oakland Athletics (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 55)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA
Realistic Ceiling: A strong SP2 in a good park
Realistic Floor: An inconsistent SP4, who you always play at home

43) Dillon Tate, RHP, Texas Rangers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A legitimate SP1
Realistic Floor: A shut-down reliever

44) Gleyber Torres, SS, Chicago Cubs (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Who we thought Starlin Castro would be
Realistic Floor: The 2015 version of Starlin Castro

45) Ian Happ, 2B/OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: The good Brandon Phillips (with a few less steals)
Realistic Floor: A non-descript OF4

46) Jose Peraza, 2B/SS, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 43)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB
Realistic Ceiling: Elvis Andrus at second base
Realistic Floor: That prospect who got traded a bunch of times

47) Orlando Arcia, SS, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: The good version of Alcides Escobar
Realistic Floor: The good version of Alcides Escobar

48) Jake Thompson, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 47)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K
Realistic Ceiling: A strong K-laden SP3
Realistic Floor: A strong K-laden SP4

49) Kenta Maeda, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: Hisashi Iwakuma
Realistic Floor: Fredrick Sykes

50) Robert Stephenson, RHP, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 23)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K
Realistic Ceiling: An SP2 with better strikeouts than ratios
Realistic Floor: An inconsistent arm who bounces on and off the waiver wire

51) Brett Phillips, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Dexter Fowler with a little more average
Realistic Floor: A speed-based OF4

52) Kyle Tucker, OF, Houston Astros (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Extreme
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A top-10 outfielder
Realistic Floor: A poster boy for “better swing mechanics”

53) Anthony Alford, OF, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: Denard Span
Realistic Floor: A 20-steal OF5

54) Willy Adames, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 20, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Jhonny Peralta
Realistic Floor: A back-end mixed-league third baseman

55) Jacob Nottingham, C, Oakland Athletics (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: A 25-homer catcher
Realistic Floor: Not a catcher

56) Jeff Hoffman, RHP, Colorado Rockies (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 51)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K
Realistic Ceiling: The arm who overcame Coors
Realistic Floor: An SP5 you only want to start on the road

57) Grant Holmes, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 85)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA
Realistic Ceiling: A top-30 starting pitcher
Realistic Floor: A top-50 starting pitcher

58) Jorge Alfaro, C, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 26)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: #TheLegend
Realistic Floor: #ALegend

59) Anderson Espinoza, RHP, Boston Red Sox (Age: 17, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Extreme
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: The guy Dombrowski trades for a superstar
Realistic Floor: The guy Dombrowski trades for Ian Krol

60) Mark Appel, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 41)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K
Realistic Ceiling: A top-20 starter
Realistic Floor: Edwin Jackson /sheds tear

61) Raul Mondesi, SS, Kansas City Royals (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 81)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB
Realistic Ceiling: Alcides Escobar with a touch more pop
Realistic Floor: The bad Jean Segura

62) Brandon Drury, 2B/3B, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 93)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Neil Walker
Realistic Floor: A top-15 third baseman

63) Eddy Julio Martinez, OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: ¯_(ツ)_/¯
Realistic Floor: ¯_(ツ)_/¯

64) Ozhaino Albies, SS, Atlanta Braves (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in SB
Realistic Ceiling: Recipient of way too many Ozzie references
Realistic Floor: Same, but in a more mean-spirited way

65) Carson Fulmer, RHP, Chicago White Sox (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in K
Realistic Ceiling: A strikeout-laden SP3
Realistic Floor: A strikeout-laden reliever

66) Trent Clark, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: An all-around OF2
Realistic Floor: Just another great neck

67) Gary Sanchez, C, New York Yankees (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 65)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Brian McCann with a little less AVG
Realistic Floor: He who receives ice cream sandwiches

68) Bobby Bradley, 1B, Cleveland Indians (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A 30-homer first baseman
Realistic Floor: A 230-strikeout first baseman

69) Francis Martes, RHP, Houston Astros (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A borderline SP2
Realistic Floor: A really good reliever

70) Nick Gordon, SS, Minnesota Twins (Age: 20, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: The next J.P. Crawford
Realistic Floor: The next Deven Marrero

71) Cornelius Randolph, OF, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: Cornelius Vanderbilt
Realistic Floor: Cornelius Bumpus

72) Harold Ramirez, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R
Realistic Ceiling: Christian Yelich if the power never comes
Realistic Floor: Josh Harrison in the outfield

73) Yusniel Diaz, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Starling Marte with slightly fewer steals
Realistic Floor: Ender Inciarte with slightly fewer steals

74) Franklyn Kilome, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Extreme
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A legit SP1
Realistic Floor: The Mariana Trench

75) Billy McKinney, OF, Chicago Cubs (Age: 21, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG
Realistic Ceiling: The good Nick Markakis
Realistic Floor: A fourth outfielder who plays enough to contribute in deep mixed leagues

76) Austin Riley, 3B, Atlanta Braves (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Extreme
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in R, HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: Evan Longoria, the way people imagine him
Realistic Floor: Ian Stewart, the way people try to forget

77) Trey Mancini, 1B, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A more consistent Mitch Moreland
Realistic Floor: The next Christian Walker

78) Derek Fisher, OF, Houston Astros (Age: 22, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Five-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: A 20/20 outfielder
Realistic Floor: The guy the Astros kept instead of Mark Appel

79) Willson Contreras, C, Chicago Cubs (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG
Realistic Ceiling: A top-five receiver
Realistic Floor: The receiver of one too many volleyball jokes

80) Alen Hanson, 2B, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 86)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Daniel Murphy
Realistic Floor: Chris Owings

81) Jomar Reyes, 3B, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: Mark Trumbo at third base
Realistic Floor: Jonathan Schoop at first base

82) Jameson Taillon, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 34)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA
Realistic Ceiling: A reborn SP3
Realistic Floor: A waiver-wire option in shallow leagues

83) Archie Bradley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 13)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K
Realistic Ceiling: An easy top-30 starter
Realistic Floor: A hard guy to roster

84) Yadier Alvarez, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Extreme
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in ERA, K
Realistic Ceiling: ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE
Realistic Floor: A drop in the bucket

85) Forrest Wall, 2B, Colorado Rockies (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 98)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG, R, SB
Realistic Ceiling: Jose Altuve when he was Clark Kent
Realistic Floor: An easier-to-spell DJ LeMaheiu

86) Alex Jackson, OF, Seattle Mariners (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 53)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: A powerful top-25 outfielder
Realistic Floor: Another reason to mistrust Seattle draft picks

87) Brent Honeywell, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A.J. Pierzynski's mouth and Julio Teheran's arm
Realistic Floor: Kenny Powers

88) Daniel Robertson, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 63)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Asdrubal Cabrera
Realistic Floor: Nick Franklin

89) Hector Olivera, OF/3B, Atlanta Braves (Age: 30, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Melky Cabrera with one year of 3B eligibility
Realistic Floor: Avisail Garcia with one year of 3B eligibility

90) Kolby Allard, LHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A good SP2
Realistic Floor: Same as any prep pitcher coming off back surgery

91) Brady Aiken, LHP, Cleveland Indians (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $25-30
Risk Factor: Extreme
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A borderline SP1
Realistic Floor: Let's just not say

92) Dominic Smith, 1B, New York Mets (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 93)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in AVG
Realistic Ceiling: A lifetime of misery for Ben and Craig. Mostly Craig.
Realistic Floor: James Loney

93) Aaron Blair, RHP, Atlanta Braves (Age: 23, Previous Rank: HM)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: A boring SP4
Realistic Floor: A boring SP4

94) Byung-ho Park, 1B, Minnesota Twins (Age: 29, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Three-category contributor; Impact potential in HR, RBI
Realistic Ceiling: Mark Trumbo
Realistic Floor: The backup to Kennys Vargas by August

95) Braden Shipley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 37)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Chad Billingsley's name in a heart with red glitter sprinkled on it
Realistic Floor: The most prolific streaming option in your league

96) Tom Murphy, C, Colorado Rockies (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $10-15
Risk Factor: Low
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: A top-10 catcher
Realistic Floor: Not a Rockie

97) Luis Ortiz, RHP, Texas Rangers (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, ERA, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: A solid SP2
Realistic Floor: Still better than Russ or Ramon Ortiz

98) Trevor Story, SS, Colorado Rockies (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: A 15/15 shortstop
Realistic Floor: #Buttledge

99) Hunter Renfroe, OF, San Diego Padres (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 57)

Potential Earnings: $15-20
Risk Factor: Medium
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor
Realistic Ceiling: Khris Davis
Realistic Floor: Kyle Blanks

100) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 14)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, WHIP
Realistic Ceiling: Healthy
Realistic Floor: Broken

101) Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Kansas City Royals (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 74)

Potential Earnings: $20-25
Risk Factor: High
Fantasy Overview: Four-category contributor; Impact potential in W, K, ERA
Realistic Ceiling: Healthy
Realistic Floor: Broken

Honorable Mention (in alphabetical order):

Albert Almora, OF, Chicago Cubs
Daz Cameron, OF, Houston Astros
Wilmer Difo, 2B, Washington Nationals
Michael Fulmer, RHP, Detroit Tigers
Amir Garrett, LHP, Cincinnati Reds
Jonathan Gray, RHP, Colorado Rockies
Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Josh Hader, LHP, Milwaukee Brewers
Gilbert Lara, SS, Milwaukee Brewers
Reynaldo Lopez, RHP, Washington Nationals
Matt Olson, 1B, Oakland Athletics
Roman Quinn, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
Amed Rosario, SS, New York Mets
Rowdy Tellez, 1B, Toronto Blue Jays
Garrett Whitley, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

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Muboshgu
2/12
Lofty list, as always. Love the ceilings and floors.
kraigy1973
2/12
That was an entertaining read---Thanks.
heterodude
2/12
Fantastic work, especially with the floors.
jonkk1
2/12
Superb ceilings and floors. "A windmill."
bhacking
2/12
I know you guys throw in one mistake per list to see if we're paying attention: I believe Franklin Barreto is with Oakland now.
joseconsuervo
2/12
Also you make me hope for his floor projection... This isn't a mistake, just an observation.
bretsayre
2/12
We know our readers love a good Easter egg hunt.
TheArtfulDodger
2/12
much like the monks that deliberately make an error in their sand paintings we... fixed, thanks!
sbnbaseball
2/12
Great job with the rankings, Bret. One question - maybe I am low on him, but why is Jesse Winker ranked ahead of guys like Benintendi, Margot and McMahon? Thanks.
bretsayre
2/12
Thanks! Both proximity and underrated value. He should be in Cincy this year and he can hit .300 with 20 homers in that park. That's a pretty big deal in our space.
ares1800jr
2/12
great list, how close was Kevin Newman (SS) Pit to making the list?
bretsayre
2/12
Not particularly. Not enough proximity/upside yet.
huztlers
2/12
Keith Law would have something to say about this! I think the good news is that the rest of the world would agree with your take.
NoHRTyner
2/12
I do not get the Fredrick Sykes reference. Clue me in, please.
antonsirius
2/12
Just go watch the Fugitive again. All will be revealed
NoHRTyner
2/12
Got it. Thanks!
bfrons
2/12
where would the Gourriel Bros., and Shohei Otani fit on this list? (had they been eligible)?
bretsayre
2/12
Lourdes and Otani would likely have made the top-30. Yulieski would likely be in the 70-ish range.
Magyera3423
2/12
With team context, your in win-now mode, have extra picks this year, and desperately need a 3B, would you value Yuliesky more than the 70ish range? Despite him being long in the tooth.
bretsayre
2/15
I wouldn't, since I doubt he plays much in 2016 (if at all) because of how slowly free agency moves for Cuban defectors.
jarretthaines
2/12
Was Harrison Bader considered?
bretsayre
2/12
He was not. The production was good at Low-A after getting drafted, but he was at a big-time college program. If he's still doing it this year as he moves up, he'll be a candidate.
edmega332
2/12
92) Dominic Smith, 1B, New York Mets (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 93) Realistic Ceiling: A lifetime of misery for Ben and Craig. Mostly Craig. I must search all of BP to find out why !!!!!
BenC22
2/12
recap: Craig and I are good and right and Bret is bad and wrong here
sbnbaseball
2/12
other than the hit tool, I don't know what separates Smith and Cody Bellinger. Bellinger proved he can hit for power, Smith has not.
bretsayre
2/12
Two things: 1) the hit tool is kind of a big deal, and 2) I don't really think you can prove you can hit for power in the Cal League. Bellinger could absolutely prove me wrong by hitting for power without cratering under his strikeouts this year in Double-A, but I'm going to wait and see on this one.
sbnbaseball
2/12
Yes, he hit 30 in the Cal league, but he was 19 years old. Not too shabby....and yes, I am driving the Bellinger train or wagon this off season. Yes, I am. Bellinger did make adjustments late in the season and reduced his K rate to under 20%, so it will be important for that to continue in AA. For me, Smith has more questions since he hasn't shown he can hit for power, and at 1b, that is pretty important.
BuckarooBanzai
2/12
I saw as much of Bellinger as any prospect last year, and yes, his production so young for the level was very impressive. The baseline skills and body are both very interesting as well, and he has one of the more unique profiles in the minors. But I think this is a good example of why it can be misleading to look at stats vs. scouting. His K rate tumbled more on account of him getting that much more aggressive hunting fastballs early in the count as the year went along. He got more leveraged as he succeeded, and if anything the approach got worse in this sense, not better, as he tried to sell out and pummel everything he saw. Absolutely normal for a young kid having success in an offensive environment, no question. But he'll need to develop much more control to pair with his aggressiveness once pitchers with more consistent off-speed stuff begin exploiting him at AA. Also FWIW second-half numbers for guys who stay at one level for the year are always tricky to evaluate at face value, since on one hand they've presumably made some adjustments over the year, but on the other the pitching they're facing is inferior (recent promotions & guys not good enough to get promoted up). Not an apples-to-apples to weight against first-half production. So that's another reason not to lean too heavily on the stats there.
GeorgeBissell
2/12
To cherry-pick a specific example: Matt Olson led the California League with 37 home runs in 2014...In Double-A, this past season, he hit 17...It's one example that fits my argument, I know. However, the overall league-average offensive numbers back up the broader point that it's a offensive rich environment that inflated hitters statistics (especially in the power department) across the board. According to Baseball America's league-averages for all 16 domestic minor leagues in 2014, the California League ranked first in runs per game (5.22), second in slugging percentage (.426) and tied for first in HR/9 with the Pacific Coast League (1.0)...It's a pretty well-documented phenomenon that offense is inflated in the California League, which is Bret's overall point. Just keep that in perspective.
sbnbaseball
2/12
thanks guys. This is Ray from Fake Teams, btw. I appreciate the info on the Cal League, and I was all set to lower my expectations till I saw BA's ranking for Bellinger a few minutes ago. Now, I am back driving this bus and requesting a larger vehicle. Allllll aboard!!
BuckarooBanzai
2/12
Nice, what up Ray? Yeah, saw that ranking too. It's more aggressive than I'd be prepared to go on Bellinger at this point in time, but I can see how you'd get there with him. The diversity of opinion - particularly about higher-variance guys like Bellinger - is what makes prospect evaluation interesting.
Mark68
2/12
Sean Newcomb is no longer an Angel farmhand *sigh*. In fact, *sigh* for the state of the entire Angels organization.
bfrons
2/12
Where would Jurickson Profar slot on this list?
cope06
2/13
Also would like to know this - assuming he is healthy
bretsayre
2/13
I mean, if you knew he was healthy, he could be in the top-five. As is, he should probably be valued like someone in the back of the top-20 or 25.
cope06
2/21
Helpful - thanks
nickboyd33
2/12
I am a big fan of both Vogelbach and Rowdy Tellez. Honestly besides Tellez being slightly better defensively (not saying much), what difference do you see in those two guys that led you to rank Vogelbach 37th and Tellez not at all? Thanks
bretsayre
2/12
For me (and I like both as well), it's higher-level experience and a little more projection in the hit tool. That said, they are much closer than it seems in the rankings, as the minors flatten out pretty quickly after the high-end guys this year. Tellez was probably #102 on the list--I did not enjoy having to cut him.
greenday8885
2/12
Probably a dumb question, but when looking at notations like SP4, does that assume a 12 team league?
TheArtfulDodger
2/12
Dynasty rankings on BP tends to assume at least a 16-team league format.
bretsayre
2/12
This is correct. Assumes a 16-team league, which is pretty standard in dynasty formats.
rimmer93117
2/12
Would Lazarito be too young/far away to find his way on this list had he signed already?
bretsayre
2/12
If you were really risk taking, I could see him making a list like this, but I'd have left him off. That said, he's likely to be on next year as he'll be a year closer to the majors.
phgold09
2/12
I'm really really surprised Alex Verdugo didn't get at least an honorable mention
sldetckl16
2/12
Second that emotion
TeamPineTar
2/12
Bret, when I compare this fantasy-oriented list to BP's 101 Top Prospects list, there are some very big movers. I think the average subscriber would understand the 32-slot rise of Jorge Mateo, as the high fantasy value of steals has been underscored by your entire staff for some time. One who really stumps me is AJ Reed, going from #56 on the earlier list to #12 on this one. That's huge. Comment? The other is Dan Vogelbach. I don't believe he was even ranked on the BP list from January (nor on at least two other lists from respectable sources nationally). Here, you have DV as #37! Surprising. Why? If you would, remind us how wide the input is across the BP staff on the January Top 101 Prospects and on this list. Thanks, Bret. There's a boatload of great info here, and I'm grateful. But with Rizzo at 1B, no DH, and what could be an awesome and flexible bench, that seems like rather intimidating blockage for Vogelbach.
paulallen
2/12
Vogelbach is Paul Bunyan. He uses logs for bats and, if he wanted, could stop the flow of the Mississippi. Also, he's just a really good all-around hitter. BB% over 18 last year, K% around 20, and some power that he hasn't really shown yet. His fatness and lack of defensive value ensure that he's never on normal prospect lists, but he can flat-out hit. IMO, he'll never see an at-bat for the Cubs. I think they're waiting for a breakout year from him to build his value. They're not just going to let him waste away in Iowa until he's 27.
TeamPineTar
2/12
Thank you, Paul. Eye-opening.
bretsayre
2/12
The easy answer is that first baseman are disproportionately valuable in fantasy leagues than in real life, which is why they fall down real-life prospect lists. If I told you that Vogelbach, at peak, would perform like 2015 Prince Fielder? You'd be excited to roster him on your farm team. After all, Fielder was the 34th best fantasy hitter last season. On the other hand, he ranked 110th in WARP among hitters with 2.3, behind such baseball prodigies as Jake Lamb, Juan Uribe, Cesar Hernandez and Adeiny Hechevarria. The difference is more stark than dynasty owners often give it credit for being, and these rankings reflect that.
TeamPineTar
2/13
Thanks, Bret. Just an excellent example w/ Fielder and the overlay of WARP. I agree that we have trouble translating value between MLB and fantasy. BP helps a lot.
swamie
2/12
Man I was all set to take Benintendi 3rd overall in our new prospects draft if it went Moncada, Rodgers...but the draft recap says Swanson and these rankings say Swanson and Bregman over Beni. I'm so Natalie Imbruglia right now.
MaineSkin
2/13
Awesome list from ranks to content. Thank you.
ErikBFlom
2/13
How did Dylan Bundy make the list over Jonathan Gray? At least Gray pitches.
Behemoth
2/13
But not so well, and in Colorado.
coopr1248
2/13
Any consideration for Michael Kopech? Or was the suspension and proximity too much to group him in the honorable mentions?
bretsayre
2/15
He'd probably be in the next 10-15 names after the HM group, but it's more general proximity than the suspension in particular.
davinhbrown
2/14
While the entire internet loves Victor Robles, in both real and fantasy prospect lists, I find a 'low risk' for an 18 y/o to be eye-opening. Same with Grant Holmes who is just 19, and not seen much fanfare this offseason.
bretsayre
2/15
Both are not low risk on this list.
TrickDaddy14
2/14
Would Kevin Maitan have made the list if he officially was an Atlanta Brave? If so, where would he of been slotted... Thank you!
bretsayre
2/15
Nope. It's almost impossible to have a 15- or 16-year-old on this list solely because of lead time. Maitan is really, really exciting for a J2 prospect, but let's not get too far ahead of ourselves. Yet.
TrickDaddy14
2/14
Also, will there be a dynasty 101 chat? Can't wait to extend my subscription in March... This is easily the best site for dynasty information. Thanks again for all you guys do
bretsayre
2/15
I will be chatting again shortly, and we'll cover everything including the the Dynasty 101.
t0mmyo
2/18
LOL. Phils fan here. Nick Williams realistic floor is Santa Claus. Too bad there are no snowballs in the summer! Love seeing him this high on the list!

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