keyboard_arrow_uptop
BP360 is Back! One low price for a: BP subscription, 2022 Annual, 2022 Futures Guide, choice of shirt

PECOTA Projections

Download the 2021 PECOTA Weighted Means spreadsheet (Annual membership required)

PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is BP’s proprietary system that projects player and team performance

PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past performance and tries to project the most likely outcome for the following season. It looks at all of the numbers, and all the numbers that make up the numbers, to see which players are more likely to repeat their success and which ones benefited from good fortune.

2021 PECOTA Weighted Means spreadsheet (Annual membership required)

PECOTA Release Notes
Apr 1, 2021

  • Updated depth chart projections through Mar 25.
  • Added baserunning projections for Akiyama and Kim.