Introducing PECOTA for 2022B
2/15Improvements, changes. and more on the latest and greatest iteration of BP's player projection system.
Download the 2022 PECOTA Percentiles spreadsheet (Annual membership required)
PECOTA, which stands for Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, is BP’s proprietary system that projects player and team performance
PECOTA is a system that takes a player’s past performance and tries to project the most likely outcome for the following season. It looks at all of the numbers, and all the numbers that make up the numbers, to see which players are more likely to repeat their success and which ones benefited from good fortune.
2022 PECOTA Percentiles spreadsheet (Annual membership required)
PECOTA Release Notes
April 7, 2022
Improvements, changes. and more on the latest and greatest iteration of BP's player projection system.
Understanding the role depth charts and playing time have in PECOTA projections.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightSix notable prospects PECOTA views optimistically.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightThis year, the player comps system is 100% new and 100% not-bad.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightTen names who are projected to exceed both their 2021 and career DRC+.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightUnderstanding PECOTA percentiles, with dice!
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightThere are plenty of reasons why Trevor Story might not want to engage the idea of moving away from shortstop. There are also reasons it's worth considering.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightHow to plan when things don’t go to plan.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightThere are an unusual number of free agents still adrift thanks to the lockout. Here's 11 that PECOTA has taken a particular shine to.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightBreaking down nine free agents PECOTA by whom seems less-than-compelled.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightPlaying time sliders are here!
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightEight pitchers PECOTA projects to outproduce their 2021 and career DRA-.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightEven in a tough year, you can trust it more than early-season performance.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightThe Secret Column on the Card: An epilogue to a week of predictions.
continue reading chevron_rightchevron_rightSeriously, you're not allowed to get mad at us until the lockout ends and dozens more free agents sign.
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