Biographical

No photo available

Keith Law ?

Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP
0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Birth Date1-12-1977
Height6' 2"
Weight165 lbs
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1998 JAM A- 0 115 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .210 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1998 JAM A- 115 11 18 5 1 1 11 10 23 3 2 .171 .243 .267 .095 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Keith Law is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Overthinking It: Forever ChangesBen Lindbergh2014-07-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week 14Ben Carsley2014-07-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Shortstop ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-05
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: What Can Yoon Do for You?Daniel Rathman2014-02-04
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Opt-Out Hater's Case for Opt-OutsSam Miller2014-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: A Week of Watching Eric HosmerSam Miller2013-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Montero-Pineda Trade in 2013Ben Lindbergh2013-05-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Beware of Young CatchersPaul Sporer2013-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Strong Side, Weak SideDaniel Rathman2013-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Ranking RiveraBen Lindbergh2013-03-22
Pitcher Profile: Aroldis ChapmanHarry Pavlidis2013-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Why There Probably Are No Next OriolesBen Lindbergh2013-02-18
The Lineup Card: Nine Regression Candidates for 2013Baseball Prospectus2013-01-23
The Lineup Card: 9 Winter Meetings MemoriesBaseball Prospectus2012-12-05
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Why Justin Upton is Always About to Be TradedBen Lindbergh2012-11-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Scouting Hyun-Jin RyuDerek Carty2012-11-19
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Monday, November 12Daniel Rathman2012-11-12
Baseball Therapy: A Sabermetric Case for Miguel Cabrera's MVP CandidacyRussell A. Carleton2012-09-28
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Reading Lolita in Teheran, Part 1: Intro and Losing FocusRussell A. Carleton2012-09-10
Baseball ProGUESTus: Chin Music: 15 Stadium Songs That Missed Their MarkRiley Breckenridge2012-08-28
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Bring Me the Head of Gordon BeckhamJason Parks2012-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Adam Jones Extension RevisitedBen Lindbergh2012-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Why We Want to Be SmartJason Wojciechowski2012-08-10
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Too High/Too Low Jason Parks2012-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Rarified Air: The Top 10 Prospects in the MinorsJason Parks2012-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Bring Me the Head of Donavan Tate Jason Parks2012-07-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Bring Me the Head of Julio TeheranJason Parks2012-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Bring Me the Head of Justin SmoakJason Parks2012-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Bring Me the Head of Martin Perez Jason Parks2012-06-21
The Lineup Card: 10 Favorite ProspectsBaseball Prospectus2012-06-20
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Jonah Birenbaum2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Matthew Rocco2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Hudson Belinsky2012-06-11
The Week in Quotes: June 4-June 10Andrew Koo2012-06-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Colorado RockiesJason Parks2012-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Hate List, Part IJay Jaffe2012-04-13
The BP Broadside: The Final BroadsideSteven Goldman2012-03-02
BP Podcast: Episode 84: This Show Is A DisasterKevin Goldstein2012-02-24
Inside The Park: A New Message: The Divergent Directions of the Cubs and White SoxBradford Doolittle2012-02-09
Baseball ProGUESTus: The Advantage of Low ExpectationsM.J. Lloyd2012-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Scouting the Newest ImportDerek Carty2012-01-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Far East-East Coast ConnectionR.J. Anderson2012-01-11
The BP First Take: Thursday, December 22Daniel Rathman2011-12-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Seeing is BelievingJason Parks2011-12-01
BP Unfiltered: Talkin' Cooperstown on Clubhouse ConfidentialJay Jaffe2011-11-28
Painting the Black: 40-Man FlexibilityR.J. Anderson2011-08-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Players to Think AboutDerek Carty2011-08-08
BP Unfiltered: Is Rizzo The New Choi?R.J. Anderson2011-07-26
The BP Wayback Machine: RealignmentBaseball Prospectus2011-06-16
BP Podcast: Episode 53: Good Luck In Your World Of DairyKevin Goldstein2011-06-09
Baseball Prospectus Press Release: BP Announces Free Public Access to ArchivesBaseball Prospectus2011-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: An Embarrassment of Riches: The Texas Rangers, Part IJason Parks2011-04-19
Baseball ProGUESTus: Answer Me These Questions ThreeMike Ferrin2011-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: I Don't Wanna Go Down to the BasementJay Jaffe2011-03-22
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Profile: Yasmani GrandalDavid Laurila2011-03-15
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Profile: Grant GreenDavid Laurila2011-03-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Is Jesus (Montero) Coming?Jay Jaffe2011-03-07
Prospect Profile: Brett JacksonDavid Laurila2011-03-04
BP Podcast: Episode 40: Keeping The Demons AwayKevin Goldstein2011-03-02
Overthinking It: The Genuine ArticlesBen Lindbergh2011-03-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: A Dee Gordon PSAJason Parks2011-02-17
This article requires BP Premium accessProspect Profile: Anthony GoseDavid Laurila2011-02-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Q&A: Prospect EditionDavid Laurila2011-02-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2011-01-14
One-Hoppers: Joining the ClubJay Jaffe2010-12-08
Analyze This: Tsuyoshi NishiokaJesse Behr2010-11-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: The NL CYA and the Uggla TradeChristina Kahrl2010-11-17
This article requires BP Premium accessManufactured Runs: Hero WorshipColin Wyers2010-09-03
Joe's Blog: A Night in BrooklynJoe Sheehan2010-08-26
BP Podcast: BP Podcast Episode 4: 2010 Draft Special With Special Guest Keith LawKevin Goldstein2010-06-11
This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: Royal PainsEric Seidman2010-05-26
One-Hoppers: Ernie Harwell (1918-2010)Jay Jaffe2010-05-05
Breaking Balls: Portland's Gamble Might Pay OffDerek Zumsteg2003-02-24
6-4-3: Reasonable Person StandardGary Huckabay2002-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: July 2, 2002: SABR 32Joe Sheehan2002-07-02
Transaction Analysis: April 4-6, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Daily Prospectus: LABRJoe Sheehan2002-03-22
My IBA Ballot: Our Staff Makes the CallKeith Law2000-10-25
Prospectus Roundtable: RealignmentBaseball Prospectus2000-03-20


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law recently tweeted on Jose Berrios: "6' max RHP who doesn't get fastball plane or life and gives up a ton of flyballs." Are those legitimate concerns?
(John from MN)
These are certainly important observations to Berrios' profile, but the reports I've gotten on Berrios have all been positive. Fastball 94-95 T98; plus curve; developing slider and change. He's on our #BPTop50, up quite a few spots from the pre-season Top 101. I haven't seen the player, so all I'm going by is what we've reported this season, but it's a high-upside profile. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for answering the question on Taijuan Walker! There has been some static--I read it in Keith Law articles--about Walker's "upright finish."
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
One last bit on Walker - there are differing opinions on the "upright finish," but as one who dislikes spine-tilt in the name of over-the-top arm slots, I prefer "upright" to the common alternative. Keith may have been addressing the flexion component with Walker, rather than posture specifically, which is a different element of the "upright" paradigm. If that's the case, then I agree that Walker could use some more athleticism and flex in the spine near release point.

On the jukebox: Incubus, "Echo" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law just recently said that Scooter is a "utility/bench" player at best. Do you think Scooter can start full time down the road?
(Mark from WI)
Yes, I do. There are mixed opinions on Scooter. Most everyone believes in the hit tool, but some question his ability to handle second base defensively in the long-term. I had a scout swear to me a couple years ago that Scooter would hit 12-to-15 homers a year once he got comfortable in the bigs. He's shown flashes of that power this year. The only concern I have with Scooter long-term is his ability to consistently handle lefties. If he can hold his own there, he can start everyday for Milwaukee. (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said today that the White Sox have moved off of Kolek, and will take Nola instead. He has Kolek dropping to #8. Why? Kolek seemed like a great choice at #3 to me.
(Litigator from Chicago)
Kolek's body and velocity kept him on short lists as someone the teams up top absolutely needed to keep tabs on, but once that short list gets paired down it's easy to see why Kolek might get dropped in favor of a less risky proposition. Kolek is 11th on my board, and that's a result of him being highly underdeveloped, showing secondaries that at present fair often play below average, below average command, almost no track record (didn't play on the scouting circuit and had minimal exposure to the rest of the high-profile HS talent in the class), and highly overmatched spring competition (which could essentially be dominated by erratic fastballs).

He's a great prospect, and really interesting from a developmental standpoint. But it's more of a $3 MM investment profile for me than $4.5 or 5.5 MM. (Draft Day Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-06-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is there anything in the Brewers system to be excited about? Keith Law of ESPN has me down in the dumps about the whole Brewers system
(Justin from WI)
Being in first place, four games up on the Cardinals isn't enough for you? If I may be so bold, I'd suggest more focus on the major league team and less on the minor leagues, but, since you asked, Jason Parks ranked Tyrone Taylor first in the latest BP Brewers Top 10 list and I don't see anything from him this season to diminish that ranking. THAT said, the Brewers are kinda odd in that they do have a weak minor league system but one of the younger major league rosters. So maybe for them the minor league system isn't quite as important as for other teams. Hope that makes you feel better! (Also, first place!) (Matthew Kory)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Ziomek, Kubitza and Farmer? They've all had a great amount of success at West Michigan, and in a live chat a few weeks back, Keith Law said he thinks they're all (Crawford too) destined for the bullpen. Is there any chance that any of them can become a major league starter?
(Zack from Windsor)
I like Ziomek the most out of those three if he can continue to refine the command/control profile. As I said, I'm a sucker for lefties. Farmer surprised me this year. I've seen him a couple of times, and he sat 93-94 the last start I attended. The funky delivery makes him probably suited for the pen long term, but he could end up as a #5 work horse type guy. Kubitza is a reliever all the way. Fastball is upper 80s, and while the slider is legit, he can't flip a lineup over. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law is still icing down after that slap re: College Coaches & Workload
(sickboy19 from boston)
It wasn't directed at Keith, or any specific person. I just don't buy into the blanket arguments that college coaches are bad because some pitchers end up getting hurt. The issue [itself] is complicated and requires nuance, and just throwing out a cloud of blame isn't constructive and it doesn't solve anything. It often comes off like loud noise made for the sake of making loud noise. That accomplishes very little if anything. (Jason Parks)
2014-03-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Brady Aiken has been blowing up lately specifically Keith Law stated that he could be in contention for being picked #1 in this years draft. Have you seen him or heard anything about him?
(Rob from Baltimore)
I was sitting next to Keith at Aiken's last start. To say there was tons of heat there is an understatement, nonetheless, there was tons of heat there. I'll be writing about Aiken for the draft ten pack, and will be including that I strongly believe he should be the #1 overall pick. I don't think the Astros will take him, but whichever team he falls to will and should be doing back flips. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)RJ, Tyler Skaggs has been pretty disappointing so far albeit being young for the levels he's pitched at. Do you think he's been rushed and do you see him improving this year as the Angels 5th starter ?
(PJ from Oswego, NY)
We talked about Skaggs a bit earlier. I think it was Keith Law who pointed out the D'Backs tweaked his stride a bit last season, which may have hurt him. I suppose it's possible he was rushed on top of that as well. He should improve. The materials are still there for success, albeit at a lesser level than before. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law just released his top 100 prospect list... He has Dominic Smith rated number (37!). Now you guys did not have him in the top 100, but what's your take on Law's ranking of Smith?
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse )
I think it's too high, but Law's list isn't for fantasy. I don't get the Smith appeal. If he still looks like he can hit ok with 25 bombs in a few years, I'll add him as a Top 50 guy then. Bret is going to fire me. (Ben Carsley)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said he prefers Marcus Semien to Kolten Wong. Can you go find him and beat some sense into him?
(Reed from Texas)
I'd rather have Wong, but it's not a ridiculous statement. Wong is more of a high-floor than a high-celing guy. If Semien turns into an everyday player, it will be close. (Jeff Moore)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said Kohl Stewart might be a good five years away from the majors, but baseball prospectus wrote he should move faster than most high school arms. If he is a thrower not a pitcher, why he can move faster? I wanted to know which is true? If Kohl Stewart sucks, I am so disappointed at that pick.
(Ryan from Minnesota)
I can't remember the last prospect that spent five years in the minors and worked out. If he's there that long, it's because he's not panning out as a prospect. He has the goods to be among the best pitching prospects in the game. He'll take some time because he's a high school arm and hasn't even reached a full-season league yet, but five years seems ridiculous. Even if he spends a full year at each level, that's only four more years. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's you opinion on Aaron Sanchez? Keith Law seemed to love him but then noticed some changes to his mechanics he didn't like. Jason doesn't even see him as the best pitching prospect in the Jay's org.
(Kenny Bania from Mendy's)
He's not. I like Stroman better. I freaking love Stroman. Sanchez has the whole package, but there are questions about his control (even bigger questions than with Zach Wheeler - you're welcome Mets fans). (Jeff Moore)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law is a short right-hander. He gets no plane on his fastball. But all he does is succeed. Please explain.
(CyMature from Western Mass)
Well, being a Little Lebowski Urban Achiever can open a lot of doors for people. (Jason Parks)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there a sense of satisfaction or dejection when you find yourself wide of the prospecting industry with a ranking and it proves to be right or wrong? I'm thinking specifically of Buxton's ranking above Sano on the off season lists (Keith Law, Baseball America, Jonathan Mayo, all had Sano higher) and the somewhat surprising high ranking of someone like Hedges, Uria or Almora on the midseason list? Thanks for the great work!
(Ryan from San Diego)
We all form conclusions in a different manner, and I don't judge or compare my work to the work of others in the industry. I feel very confident in the product I attach my name to, and that's all I care about. I don't need to be right or wrong, and I am very open about being wrong (its a huge part of the process). But I feel good about the work if its thorough and honest. Did I see enough? Did I ask around enough? Did I really think about the specifics? If I did, its all good, regardless of the outcome. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-04-25 12:30:00 (link to chat)If Keith Law states that Eric Hosmer's hands are still setting up wrong on his swing, then what does this say about the KC coaching staff? Or does it infer that the coaching staff might already have worked to correct that flaw, but Hosmer can't seem to bring it into games?
(dianagram from VORGville)
Well, it could be that Keith is wrong. (Note: I'm not saying Keith is wrong. I like and respect Keith, and I haven't even heard what he said about Hosmer.) But if Keith is right, then yeah, either of those explanations could be the correct one. I wouldn't know without asking someone closer to the situation. (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-03-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)For Steve in San Fran, Keith Law reported the other day that Lincecum's fastball is sitting 90-91.
(Chris from KC)
thanks, Chris. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-02-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you agree with the huge downgrade Keith Law gave to Gary Brown by omitting him from his top 100 or do you see him becoming better than a league average CF? After a slow start in an advanced pitcher friendly league he seemed to turn things around and scouts liked the changes to his swing. Factor in a low BABIP of .318 for a burner, steady walk and strikeout rates and elite speed/defence and doesn't that make him somewhat close to the same guy who BP ranked at 18 last year?
(Scott from LA)
Scott, thanks for the question. The short answer is, I don't know. Keith Law makes his living by knowing this kind of thing. If you asked my opinion on someone in the Red Sox minor league system I could probably give you a decent scouting report but I'm afraid Brown is out of my area of expertise. Looking at his minor league stats, I can see why Law downgraded him. He went from a .925 OPS to a .731 OPS. The first was in the California League which I think is a pretty big hitters league though so I'm assuming there must be more to it than just the drop off in stats. (Matthew Kory)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know it's not your list, but Keith Law put Addison Russell at 10 in baseball. Can you see it?
(Alex from LA)
He's top 20 for us, so yes, I can see it. If you think he sticks at SS (which I do), he might end up a 6/6 offensive talent. That's a monster talent. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you say Keith Law's rating of Olt (71) is a tad low or did he take a hit with his MLB debut this year?
(Aceathon from Texas)
We have him ranked higher, but again, you can make a case for him being high or low on a list. Scouting is an art not a science. We all see the game differently. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Back to the Arenado stuff -- how consistent are tools supposed to be? If they vary enough over a course of a year for a guy like Keith to drop a top-30 guy like Arenado out his top 100, I almost feel like I may as well scout the numbers. You and Keith Law and others are understandably insistent that scouting the numbers doesn't really work. But ultimately a prospect's movement in top-X lists from year-to-year seems very very highly correlated with the difference in numbers from year-to-year. I understand part of that is the inherent variability involved in being a human. I think you did a good job with the Arenado write-up by mentioning that "the swing doesn’t pack the type of middle-of-the-order punch his profile originally suggested." But I am curious to hear a little more about what caused the change in perception about his original profile, besides simply stating that his production went down.
(Arenada from CS)
As the talent level around him improved, I felt that he continued with the same approach expecting the same results. That kind of stuff can be a warning flag. I guess I'm just not overly optimistic that he is the type of hitter that can figure it all out at the major league level. (Jason Parks)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)What is Johnathan Singleton's ETA to the Majors now given the (ridiculously-harsh) 50 game pot suspension?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
September? On ESPN's Baseball Today podcast (I think), Keith Law mentioned the possibility of the Astros adding Singleton to the 40-man to get around the suspension. If that happens, then maybe even earlier. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-12-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Am I wrong to consider Yunel Escobar's 2011 Home/Road splits concerning? Keith Law intimated that he hit at home because of the man in white. Looking at it, since 2010 Escobar has only hit in home games in 2011...
(Mike from Atlanta)
Impossible to say without more data. If it's a consistent and established pattern, then we can treat it as real until it's disproven. The reason why isn't important. So yeah, if there's enough data, then it's reasonable to be concerned. (Ian Miller)
2012-08-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do people in the industry ever get annoyed with internet types trying to scout stat lines? Or do they just kind of laugh at "prospect gurus" who know nothing about prospects other than their baseball-reference pages?
(Justin from AZ)
You know, I have no idea. The angry chat dude won't believe me, but I don't have the time to read other people's prospect work. As a basic rule, if you are talking to people in the industry, scouts, front office folks etc and doing the damn at games, I can respect what you do when it comes to prospects, and obviously there are a lot of people who fall into that category, like myself, Keith Law, the Baseball America crew, Mayo, etc. If you don't talk to people in the industry constantly, I don't think you can do this job (covering baseball below the big leagues) well at all. That's just my personal opinion. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Martin Perez ever puts it together how good can he be?
(Aaron from Dallas)
I'm not a prospect expert; I rely upon the work of and discussions with folks such as Kevin Goldstein, Jason Parks, Keith Law and the Baseball America team to get a sense of what a prospect can do now and what he may become eventually. The consensus appears to be along the lines of a number three starter with a chance to be a number two. That's a bit shy of what people thought a couple of years ago, but it would hardly be a shame, as even third starters don't grow on trees. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)I asked this of Kevin Goldstein but he never answered. The whine from him (and, to be fair, Keith Law also) about what seems like a great new draft system is that baseball will lose multi-sport athletes to other sports. Is there some way to quantify this potential loss?
(oira79 from San Francisco)
A great new draft system for who, is the question. It seems to be great for the league as a whole, in terms of keeping draft bonuses down. There's really only two other parties that can benefit from that money - owners and players, in other words the people who negotiated the CBA that in essence colludes against amateurs. (Some will suggest that the fans will get this money in terms of lower ticket prices, but that doesn't seem to be how it works out in reality - teams charge what the market will carry in terms of ticket pricing, or at least they try to.) As far as how much talent this will cost MLB, I couldn't say - there's too many variables. I think it'll have a bigger impact in the international market, in that teams will invest less in curating and developing international talent to begin with. (Colin Wyers)
2012-06-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)KG: over the last week, I must have read a hundred Twitter replies (from you and Keith Law) indicating that teams *ALWAYS* take the best player available (BPA) in the first round. However, your write-up on why the Mariners took Zunino was very context-specific and idiosyncratic to their situation. Isn't the truth that, say 95% of first-round picks are simply BPA, but that team-specific factors do occasionally come into play - but that this explanation is too nuanced to play to a large audience, and it's simply easier for you and Keith to emphasize the ALWAYS BPA rule?
(Jivas from formerly Chicago)
Great question, and I'm glad you asked it. I think Keith and I emphasize the BPA rule to reinforce that this isn't the NBA or NFL where you draft for need and fill a hole. Certainly and only at certain times, it can play a role. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-06-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much stock do you put in a player being "bored" in the minors, and it affecting his performance. See: Keith Law's recent comments regarding Shelby Miller.
(Jake from Chicago)
I didn't see what Keith Law said re Miller, but I'm sure players get bored if they don't feel challenged. I've been bored at jobs before. Not this one, of course. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)Manny going to be called up soon? If so, will he make an impact? He's doing a whole lot of nothing in AAA.
(Romeo from Atlanta)
Latest word is that he won't be up Friday, and Susan Slusser, intrepid A's beat writer, thinks that means it's unlikely he'll be up this weekend at all.

Keith Law said on Baseball Today that Manny long ago lost his bat speed (I'm sure others have said the same thing, but I just listened to that podcast this morning), and that seems like a hard thing to get back at 40. It's always possible that Manny won't ever make it to Oakland at all. We must steel ourselves for this potential outcome. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2012-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would win in a WWE Steel Cage Match between Kevin Goldstein and Keith Law?
(Bootsy from Mexico)
I don't understand why people are so obsessed over questions like this - they get asked all the time on Twitter and chats. Both are outstandingly knowledgeable prospect experts who are tremendously accessible and have great breadth beyond baseball, and both have helped a whole lot of people at BP and elsewhere in this industry, myself included. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-03-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)You and Keith Law are chatting at the same time. Is this because you secretly hate each other or are secretly the same person?
(ttt from Manhattan)
There are a lot of people on Twitter who see us as rivals are something, and it's kind of comical. It's because I said I'd chat at this time and I don't keep track of Keith's schedule. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a MMA match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Marcus from Sweden)
Have you ever seen the two of them side by side? It's a physical mismatch in favor of Kevin. Put them in a kitchen, though, and all bets are off. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)What royals were ranked in Keith Law's Top 100 prospects...Position?
(Pat from KC)
I have no idea. (Seriously, I haven't checked yet.) And if I did know, I'd probably suggest that you subscribe to Insider to find his results rather than telling them to you here.

On that note - KG's top 101 will be out on Monday. (Colin Wyers)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)So next time I'm in Ft Worth, where SHOULD I go for the best BBQ? Visit often, as my grandparents live there.
(Johnny from San Diego)
Ask Keith Law. Kidding of course. Don't ask Keith Law. I really like Railhead BBQ. It's not fancy, but the brisket is delicious and they offer Ranch Style beans, which is the key to my heart. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a WWE Steel Cage Match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Marissa from Florida)
Keith would get pummeled in 30 seconds and then write a review of the event. KG would take to the internet and live tweet the celebratory meal he was preparing. I'd just laugh and judge from the sidelines. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)It appears Keith Law is a great cook based on his website and twitter account. Have has ever cooked a meal for you? If so, was it actually good?
(Marcus from Kansas)
Keith Law has never cooked for me. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would win in a MMA fight between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(R.A Wagman from Toronto)
I've never met Keith Law in person. But I'm worried about how the fedora would stand up to a blow from a skillet or a wok or whatever cooking tool Keith is likely to have sneaked into the cage. (Mike Fast)
2012-01-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a UFC match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Zooe from LA)
Fighting? Far more interesting to hear them debate almost any topic.

...I am freezing, by the way. I just thought I would mention that. (Steven Goldman)
2011-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a steel cage match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Boosty from New Orleans)
those of us who buy tickets. I look forward to the cooking portion of the duel. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-11-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)I am standing on a ledge right now. Please tell me Melky won't be a defensive disaster in CF next year.
(Tbirds from Seattle)
I wish I could, but I thought Keith Law had the best line about this: "When I call Cabrera a fourth outfielder, that doesn't mean the Giants get to play three others alongside him to make up for all the balls he won't catch." (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-11-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)In an unexpected turn of events I decided to climb back in my window and off the ledge simply because Keith Law's line is so amusing.
(Tbirds from Seattle)
Keith Law and Ben Lindbergh: lifesavers. (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Yep, you guys were right, that Rasmus trade was a disaster (yes, I am pointing my championship ring finger at you Keith Law)
(Mo from st. louis)
He doesn't work here anymore, hasn't for years. Personally, I liked the Rasmus trade and said it was what the Cards had to do at the time. R.J. Anderson was a little bit more critical in his take (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=14641) because he saw the long-term damage the trade would do... Which isn't wrong given that you can't assume a championship as of July 27. (Steven Goldman)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said that
(richardkr34 from Saint Paul, MN)
This is easily my favorite question of the day. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a MMA style match between you and me?
(Keith Law from Arizona)
Keith Law bites. Everybody knows this. This is why nobody fights MMA matches with Keith Law. (Sam Miller)
2011-07-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would win in a UFC match between you and Keith Law?
(Kate from LA)
I adore Keith, but he's like 5-5 or 5-6 and I'm guessing 150-160. I'm 6-2, 225 and have bouncer experience. Total mismatch. He's crush me at Carcassone. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-06 23:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the two Rangers picks? I don't get why we keep taking guys who would probably be available in round 2 or 3.
(gwdunbar from Austin, TX)
Because teams take guys they like. Let me makes this clear. The Rangers or the Rays or the A's or whoever really couldn't give a rat's ass what myself, or Keith Law or Jim Callis think about a guy. That's who they like. I understand the Matthews pick, he's a Rangers kind of guy w/ a very clean arm who might be undervalued. As for Cone, I just don't get that one. (Kevin Goldstein II)
2011-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dee Gordon at 84 vs BA ranking of 26 seems like a huge disparity. What do you see differently then Baseball America?
(PimpDaddy from NY)
Let me start by saying that I have nothing but respect for the lists of BA, Keith Law and Jonathan Mayo. They do their homework, they talk to people in the game, and they're done by smart people. We all have our different sources, we all have our biases and philosophies. I just don't think Gordon is going to be a well-rounded enough player to rank him that high. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much, if at all, do you talk with other prospect evaluators who also publish lists (e.g. BA) before you all publish? Do you isolate yourselves from each other those final couple weeks before sending your lists to publication, or is there any level of opinion and information-sharing?
(mattcollins from boston)
I would definitely call Keith Law and Jim Callis friends, and we certainly talk baseball, but I know that we all put up walls when we do rankings. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)You've been around this BP block for a while. When did Keith Law become a scouty guy? Did he gain access to the Jays as a stats guy and then learn the scout trade once inside?
(CrisE from St Paul, MN)
I suppose I can afford a dry chuckle over the fact that a lot of things have changed since the early days, but KLaw obviously put his opportunity with the Jays to good use--mastering basic sabermetrics isn't rocket science, but learning about life on the other side of the tracks from the inside once he got there makes him one of the most valuable sabermetric commodities on the face of the planet. (Christina Kahrl)
2011-01-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Over the past 10 years, the Internet has provided an excellent forum to state HOF cases for underappreciated players. Do you think there is a possibility for a player like Raines to pull a Blyleven or Rice and gain enough sentiment to get in on their final year of eligibility?
(jhardman from Raleigh)
I'd like to believe Raines will get there before his 15th ballot. The voting body is evolving. Folks like Keith Law, Rob Neyer, Christina Kahrl, myself and a whole lot of other Internet-based writers who would have been ineligible five years ago could be voting on his candidacy well before his 15th year. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jay ..... thanks for the chat. Have you recovered from the "5-Napkin Burger" Friday night? Who is the current leading candidate for the "Irrational Exuberance" HOF candidacy? In other words, who might be the next Jim Rice?
(dianagramr from NYC)
Hey Diana! It took me awhile to recover from the 5-Napkin Burger, but maybe that was all the beer I drank trying to get through the Yanks' drawn out loss later that night.

Right now I'd have to say that it's Omar Vizquel's candidacy that leaves me cold. Keith Law wrote about it at length using JAWS numbers I supplied (http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/blog?name=law_keith&id=5410459). The short version is that Vizquel's defensive numbers don't measure up to the average Hall of Fame shortstop let alone those of Ozzie Smith, nor does his bat:

Ozzie Smith: 90.9 car/50.2 Pk/70.6 JAWS/.261 TAv/554 RARP/219 RAP/255 FRAA
Omar Vizquel: 47.8/27.8/37.8/.247/334/-16/84
AVG HOF SS: 70/47.9/59/.274/477/204/105 (Jay Jaffe)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith seems to not be a Brett Jackson fan at all. Give me a reason for optimism, something like Keith Law is wrong, he's short, and he's a terrible dancer.
(Cross Checking from KLaw's Chat)
I go back and forth on Jackson, but you can't argue with what he's doing. Like I wrote today, no killer tool, but no bad ones either. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know Caston is our best SS prospect but that's not really saying much is it? We don't exactly have the best ss prospects obviously. He wasn't even on people top 200 lists and he went 32? Am I missing something?
(19Yanks23 from Lamcaster Ca)
You are missing a ton. We talked about this on the podcast, but who's Top 200 lists are you talking about? Mine, Keith Law's? Baseball America's? Perfect Game's? All do great work, but do any of them have better information on the kid than the Yankees, who have had him on their scout team for two years straight and got like 30 in-person views this year from probably six different scouts and front-office officials? I mean seriously, who the hell are we to say that's a 'bad' pick considering that? (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said in his chat earlier this afternoon, "I think this is the worst crop of draftable talent since I got into the business full-time in 2002." Is it really that bad of a draft class?
(Cult of Basebaal from Pasadena of Los Angeles)
I think Keith can make that argument, it's not a great class at all. Definitely below average. (Kevin Goldstein)


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