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Posts Tagged ‘DRA’

Matching Definitions


DRA -- Deserved Run Average (DRA) uses a collection of multilevel models to estimate the most likely contributions of pitchers to the run-scoring that occurs around them. Unlike other component metrics, DRA considers (and adjusts) for park, opponent, and, when helpful, framing, temperature, and pitch type as well. DRA achieves significant improved reliability over both raw pitcher statistics (like ERA) and other pitcher run estimators. DRA estimates include uncertainty estimates, making it easier to compare players to one another and to appreciate the stability of DRA's estimates, even early on in the season. In general, a pitcher's DRA, plus or minus one standard deviation (DRA_SD) encompasses at least 70% of the "true" DRA values for that pitcher.

Top player matches

Drake Owenby
P - MIL
MLB: -
MiLB: 2015 - 2017
Drake Roberts
3B - CLE
MLB: -
MiLB: 2014 - 2014
Drake Britton
P - DET
MLB: 2013 - 2014
MiLB: 2008 - 2016

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(Launch) Angling for First Place

by Mike Gianella | May 18, 2018

I’ve been playing fantasy baseball for such a long time that I can remember when FIP and BABIP were both a Really Big Deal. It seems difficult to believe now but a few short years ago, fantasy analysts would simply utter a pitcher’s FIP and this was considered valid shorthand for player performance. BABIP didn’t…

Fantasy Freestyle: Buying and Selling with DRA and cFIP

by Darius Austin | May 04, 2018

DRA 2018: Tunnels, Uncertainty, Splits, and Trade-Offs

by Jonathan Judge | April 30, 2018

DRA is ready to go for 2018, with several prominent innovations.

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA Deep Dive

by Mark Barry | December 01, 2017

Prospectus Feature: The Ervin Santana Disagreement

by Jonathan Judge | May 29, 2017

DRA, examined through the lens of MLB’s surprising ERA leader.

Player Profile: Joe Biagini

by Wilson Karaman | May 19, 2017

Improvement on his fastball and curveball, and excellent location spotting no matter the type of pitch, put Biagini in position to succeed. The Jays have given him an opportunity to start and he’s running with it.

The Buyer’s Guide: Chase Anderson

by Eric Roseberry | April 24, 2017

He has posted a 1.13 ERA in four starts for the Brewers. Will this success sustain?

Prospectus Feature: DRA 2017: The Convergence

by Jonathan Judge | March 09, 2017

What if you could have a metric that accurately describes what a pitcher did while also reliably forecasting the skills that pitcher would bring to the future?

Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders

by Wilson Karaman | August 26, 2016

Our advanced pitching metric suggests brighter days ahead for some of these hurlers.

BP Unfiltered: DRA and Groundball Bias

by Jonathan Judge | July 22, 2016

More inner-workings of DRA 2016.

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