Lies, Damned Lies

Lies, Damned Lies: BABIP, Again

Upon further review, Nate wants to revise last week's conclusion.

Lies, Damned Lies: Change-ups and BABIP

Knuckleballers are one class of pitchers who appear to exhibit some control over the results of balls put in play. They may not be the only ones.

Lies, Damned Lies: Looking Back at the Market

by Nate Silver 4/07

Nate Silver breaks down the long-term deals handed out this season, PECOTA-style.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projects the NL

by Nate Silver 3/29

The Phillies, Cardinals and Giants rise to the top of their divisions in PECOTA's eyes.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projects the American League

by Nate Silver 3/21

Nate's got a look at how PECOTA sees the American League shaking out, and there are some surprises to discuss.

Lies, Damned Lies: How Do You Rate Relief?

by Nate Silver 1/06

Goose Gossage's failure to make it into Cooperstown got Nate thinking, how do you decide which relievers are Hall of Famers?

Lies, Damned Lies: Superstars, All-Stars and Busts

by Nate Silver 11/11

Jason Bay and Bobby Crosby have received a considerable honor from the Baseball Writers Association of America. What happened to the 116 players who came before them?

Lies, Damned Lies: Fresh Blood

by Nate Silver 11/04

Despite the recent recycling of Charlie Manuel and Mike Hargrove, organizations are getting better about finding new candidates for managerial jobs.

Lies, Damned Lies: Being on the Brink

by Nate Silver 10/27

Like 26 teams before them, the Cardinals find themselves down 3-0 in a best-of-seven series. Just how likely is a comeback?

Lies, Damned Lies: Comparables

by Nate Silver 10/21

With the postseason just a rumor in Chicago, Nate takes the time to address an important PECOTA question.

Lies, Damned Lies: Using the Golden Run Ratio

by Nate Silver 10/14

Can Nate Silver break down the most common managerial dilemma in the game--the decision to replace a starter with a less-effective reliever? Of course he can.

Lies, Damned Lies: So You Think You Know Baseball?

by Nate Silver 10/07

A stroll through the most interesting performances of 2004.

Lies, Damned Lies: A Hall of Famer

by Nate Silver 9/29

Barry Larkin plans to come back for the 2005 season, delaying his candidacy for the Hall of Fame by another year. Should he get in once eligible?

Lies, Damned Lies: The Unique Ichiro

by Nate Silver 9/24

While not as prolific a hitter as Barry Bonds is, Ichiro Suzuki is productive, exciting, and as big an outlier in his own way. Nate Silver explains.

Lies, Damned Lies: Top 50 Prospects Report

by Nate Silver 9/16

David Wright exceeded expectations, while James Loney was a disappointment. All the hitters in our Top 50 Prospects list are put under the microscope in today's Lies, Damned Lies.

Lies, Damned Lies: Look, a Navel!

by Nate Silver 9/09

Stepping back from graphs and charts, Nate Silver looks at how far along sabermetrics has come, and what challenges are ahead in the short term.