Eleven years ago, Nate Silver considered PECOTA.
Which players did PECOTA’s five-year forecasts like 10 years ago?
Are pennant races the only thing that can keep fans coming to the park in September?
With PECOTA projections for 2013 due out Monday, we take a look back 10 years at the first-ever PECOTA team projections.
How did PECOTA do in projecting 2007’s big-bonus draftees?
Is the recent wave of hirings of rookie managers really something new? As Nate wrote eight years ago, it might just be cyclical.
Figuring out who uses or used, when and why, and what we can take from the exercise.
Can statistics help us see the effects of steroid use?
A look back at a classic study of pitcher injuries.
The Rays are 12-1 at home this season. Where does their home-field advantage come from?
Once upon a time, the Marlins were big sellers, not big buyers. Their reputation took years to recover from their last big sell-off, but are firesales sometimes justified?
Nate wonders about an overflow effect in two-team markets and finds some surprising results.
In the wake of the Matt Moore extension, revisit Nate’s discussion of the perils of counting on pitching prospects and his remarks on the most promising southpaws.
As we head for the season’s home stretch, Nate reminds us that even comfortable leads late in the season aren’t sure things.
As Mariano Rivera leaves his 1,000th appearance behind, see how he stacks up according to Nate’s standards.