August 22, 2017
Expert FAAB Review
Welcome back to The FAAB Review, the weekly series that looks at FAAB bidding in expert leagues to help you, the Baseball Prospectus reader, with your fantasy baseball bidding needs. Every week, I closely scrutinize the expert free-agent bids in LABR Mixed, Tout Wars NL, and LABR AL.
As a reminder, LABR uses a $100 budget with $1 minimum bids, while Tout Wars uses a $1,000 budget with $0 minimum bids. LABR and Tout Wars use a bidding deadline of Sunday at midnight ET for all FAAB claims. Any statistics mentioned in this article are through the previous Sunday’s games.
This is not to suggest that Weaver ever will be an ace. But perhaps we are overcorrecting, and there is more to Weaver than a fifth starter with a strong fastball and little else. At the very least, he is a good strikeout play who is facing the Padres this week, a team whose offense has the second-highest strikeout percentage in baseball. In the short-term, I’d roll with Weaver. In the long-term, I’d rather consider Weaver for my fantasy staff than some low-strikeout pitcher with a superior DRA who is generating weak contact but not whiffs.
Mike Montgomery $2. Other bid: $2. Tout Draft $30 (@CIN)
Ezequiel Carrera $1
With only six weeks (!) left in the regular season, pickups and bids are much more about need than anything else. In some leagues, it is possible that Minaya goes for $10 or more, but in LABR he only cost a dollar. Starting pitching was the order of the day in a very quiet week, as six of the 13 winning bids were for rotation arms.
Tout Wars NL
Seriously though (adjusts tie), the Mets roster has undergone a radical transformation since their fire sale began July 27 with the trade of Lucas Duda to the Rays. Nimmo will be one of the biggest beneficiaries, as he is likely to get most of the at-bats in center field after Curtis Granderson was traded to the Dodgers. Many scouts believed Nimmo would develop power as he matured, but he has mostly been a contact hitter with good defense throughout his professional career. I have my doubts about Nimmo as a long-term solution as a starting outfielder, but in 2017 he will get significant playing time down the stretch. In an OBP league like Tout, Nimmo’s batting eye gives him an additional boost.
Chris Stewart $22
Tyler Lyons $15. Other bid: $0.
Grey Albright’s (Razzball) 17.5 point lead has more to do with the lack of activity in Tout Wars NL than anything else.
Juan Minaya $4. Other bids: $3, $2.
Motter and Stassi were my other buys this week. Motter replaced Tyler Wade, who has been worse than a zero since I picked him up thanks to his awful batting average. There are no guarantees Motter will play, but his power/speed combination off the Mariners bench is better than Wade’s no power/can’t steal bases of the bench combination, since the Yankees had no interest in using Wade at all. Stassi replaces Russell Martin, who I chose not to replace this past week.
I also made a trade, flipping Melky Cabrera to Ray Flowers of Sirius XM for Alex Cobb. I would have strongly preferred dealing an outfielder for a middle infielder to replace Wade, but there was absolutely no market. My excess in the outfield came because I FAABed Derek Fisher earlier this year; as a result, I had six outfielders and Victor Martinez when Kevin Kiermaier returned this weekend. Cobb replaces Jordan Montgomery, who was sent to the minors and probably will be on a strict innings limit/pitch count for the rest of the season. Entering the week, seven teams were within 5 1/2 points of first place in LABR AL. While some separation could occur in the next month and a half, it is just as likely that this race will go down to the wire with multiple squads.