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Mike Gianella 

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03-22

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 125: The Auction Strategy Show
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Jeff Quinton

03-20

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues
by
Mike Gianella

03-17

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30

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-15

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 123: NL LABR Recap with Steve Gardner
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

03-15

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11

Fantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300 For 2017
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

03-10

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3

The -Only League Landscape: American League Relievers
by
Mike Gianella

03-10

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23

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-09

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4

Expert League Auction Recap: 2017 LABR Overview
by
Mike Gianella

03-08

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 122: AL LABR Recap
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

03-07

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Relief Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

03-07

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3

Expert League Auction Recap: American League LABR
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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The -Only League Landscape: American League Starting Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: PECOTA, the PFM, My Bid Limits, and You
by
Mike Gianella

03-03

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40

Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, 2017
by
Mike Gianella

03-01

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2

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 121: Starting Pitcher Preview
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

02-24

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10

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part II
by
Mike Gianella

02-23

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14

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part I
by
Mike Gianella

02-22

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 120: Defending Andrew McCutchen
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

02-20

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The -Only League Landscape: American League Outfielders
by
Mike Gianella

02-16

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 119: LABR Recap
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

02-15

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13

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part II
by
Mike Gianella

02-14

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4

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part One
by
Mike Gianella

02-10

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The -Only League Landscape: American League Shortstops
by
Mike Gianella

02-08

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 118: It's Just Stupid
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

02-07

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Shortstop
by
Mike Gianella

02-07

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12

Prospectus Feature: Using the PFM and BP's Fantasy Tools
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

02-03

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The -Only League Landscape: American League Third Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

02-01

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 117: A Game of Concern and Illusion
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

01-31

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34

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Third Base
by
Mike Gianella

01-27

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4

The -Only League Landscape: American League Second Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-26

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 116: The Trea Turner Question
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

01-24

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17

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Second Base
by
Mike Gianella

01-20

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The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-18

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1

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 115: Animal Crackers
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

01-17

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21

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-12

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2

The -Only League Landscape: American League Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-11

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 114: There’s No Desperation In Susac
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

01-10

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15

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-03

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10

Fantasy Content Preview
by
Mike Gianella

12-15

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 112: Mixed League Valuations
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

12-13

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1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Batting Average
by
Mike Gianella

12-08

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5

Transaction Analysis: Adam Eaton, Underrated No More
by
Jarrett Seidler, Adam McInturff, Mike Gianella and Matthew Trueblood

12-08

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1

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

12-06

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6

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

12-01

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 110: Feeling Frosty
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

11-18

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8

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-17

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 109: He's Still Mike Trout
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

11-16

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2

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-11

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7

Retrospective Player Valuation: AL Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-09

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Retrospective Player Valuation: 2016 AL Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

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George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Jeff Quinton of Baseball Prospectus take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

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March 20, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Adjusting for Smaller Leagues

3

Mike Gianella

Mike explains how to tweak his auction values when playing in leagues with fewer than 12 teams.

For those of you who use my bid limit articles, one of the most common requests I get is “how do I adjust these bid limits for smaller leagues?” This is a more common question for mono leagues, where even those souls brave enough to participate in AL or NL-only often play in eight or 10-team formats. My bid limits in mono leagues are designed for the old school, “traditional” 12-team mono leagues.

I used to play in a 10-team NL-only and came up with a rough but useful calculation to adjust my bids. I’ll use the hitter population as an example, but the same calculation can easily be used for pitchers as well. I’ll list the three steps below and explain each one in detail.

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March 17, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2017

30

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits based on the latest news and happenings around the league.

Below is my third bid limit update. There aren’t too many changes this week. Once again, any changes of two dollars in either direction will be listed below for players with significant value. Mixed league bids will reflect the same valuation change unless otherwise noted.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

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George Bissell and Mike Gianella of Baseball Prospectus bring on special guest Steve Gardner of USA Today to recap the action-packed NL LABR auction.

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March 15, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300 For 2017

11

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

The draft rankings you need for the upcoming fantasy season.

For those of you who do drafts instead of auctions, we’ve got you covered. Below you will find our Top 300 rankings. These rankings are for 15-team mixed leagues using standard Rotisserie scoring and rosters. This means two catcher rosters, so if you’re drafting in a one-catcher league, you will need to adjust accordingly. One change we have made this year is that we haven’t populated the table below with the “correct” number of catchers. A 15-team league has 345 active players, so many of the catchers who will be drafted fall below this 300 player threshold.

This is the first draft ranking of two that will be published this spring. The second update will be published shortly before Opening Day.

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March 10, 2017 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: American League Relievers

3

Mike Gianella

Mapping out the late-inning bullpen depth charts across the junior circuit.

We conclude our mono league series this week with a look at relief pitchers. Since this is a deep league article, we’ll focus less on each team’s closer (yes, Aroldis Chapman is good, guys) and more about the set-ups who could either get saves or possibly take the job if the primary closer falters.

Baltimore Orioles
Closer:
Zach Britton
Set Ups: Brad Brach, Darren O’Day



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March 10, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Auction Values: Second Edition, 2017

23

Mike Gianella

Mike updates his bid limits based on the latest news and happenings around the league.

Below is the second update of my fantasy bid limits for AL-only, NL-only, and mixed leagues for auction formats. Listed below are the players whose prices have been shifted by two dollars or more in either direction.

Most of this edition’s updates are based on what happened in the LABR NL and AL auctions this past weekend in Phoenix, Arizona. I have been asked in the past how the expert auctions influence my prices. That’s a good question that also gives me an opportunity to explain how I construct my bids.

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A closer look at the results of this year's League of Alternative Baseball Reality AL- and NL-only auctions.

This past weekend, some of the best and brightest minds in the fantasy baseball universe did battle in the League of Alternative Baseball Reality (LABR) AL- and NL-only auctions in Phoenix, Arizona. I participated in the LABR AL-only auction for the first time. If you missed the recap of my auction, you can read it here.

The idea behind today’s article is not to oooooh and aaaaah over every individual pick but rather to look at the auction from a broader perspective to try and help you in your upcoming auctions. This is an imperfect exercise, because new information will alter more than a few individual player prices over the next few weeks. However, the overall trends often do help in planning and preparation for your leagues.

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George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre of Baseball Prospectus discuss injuries to David Price and David Dahl and recap Mike’s AL LABR auction from Arizona last weekend.

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March 7, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Relief Pitchers

12

Mike Gianella

Stacking up the closers and setup men for 2017 leagues.

At long last, we have come to the end of our positional tier series, and as we always do this time of year, we’re ranking closers. In a good year, six closers will lose their jobs at some point during the regular season and you’ll get nothing or next-to-nothing for your investment. Thank you for reading.

Five-star players are the studs at their position. In general, they are the players who will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and will fetch mixed-league auction bids over $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be early-round selections, and are projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late-round sleepers and roster placeholders. The positional tiers aren't a regurgitation of last year's values but rather offer insight into what we expect will happen in 2017.

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Mike looks back on his strategy and roster in this year's junior circuit League of Alternative Baseball Reality.

It is one thing to study a fantasy auction from afar, it is another thing entirely to participate in it. This is especially true for a league like the League of Alternative Reality (LABR). After three years partnering with Bret Sayre in the Mixed League (with one title to show for it in 2015), I had been invited to fly out to Arizona and compete in the American League auction on March 4.

For the last few years, I have reviewed LABR AL and LABR NL and presenting my general impressions of both auctions. The LABR AL auction has historically been an extremely disciplined auction on price. My observations from last year's AL auction were instructive and helped me come up with a broad plan. As my regular readers know, while I do devise broad strategies, I build the bedrock of all of my fantasy teams on valuation. I might push a player a dollar or two above his price to fit a strategy but I don't say something like "I'm going to buy Mike Trout for any cost because Mike Trout is the center of my strategy and if I don't get him I'm going to curl into a ball and die." Beyond the valuation bedrock I always use, these were my goals at last Saturday's auction:

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March 3, 2017 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: American League Starting Pitchers

0

Mike Gianella

Scanning the menu of fantasy rotation options in the junior circuit.

There are league differences between the NL and the AL at every position, but there is arguably no greater paradigm shift than there is among starting pitchers. Where the NL has had four $40+ earners since 2015, in the AL no starting pitcher earned more than $35 for the second season in a row. Some of this is due to a lack of dominance in the qualitative categories. Only four AL starters earned four dollars or more in each ERA and WHIP in 2016: Justin Verlander, Rick Porcello, Corey Kluber, and Masahiro Tanaka. Thus, elite performance is difficult to come by, and only six pitchers cracked the modest $25 threshold in AL-only. Not only is it difficult to find value, it is hard to predict who is going to maintain value from season to season.

Table 1: Fifteen Most Expensive AL Starting Pitchers, 2016

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