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10-20

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34

Pebble Hunting: The Best Teams Should Make The World Series; A Defense of Bud Selig
by
Sam Miller

10-20

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0

The Week in Quotes: October 13-19, 2014
by
Nick Bacarella, Chris Mosch and Nick Wheatley-Schaller

10-20

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0

Minor League Update: Games of October 17-18, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-20

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5

Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Giants vs. Royals
by
Sam Miller

10-20

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7

Transaction Analysis: Silverman's Kohn Job
by
R.J. Anderson

10-20

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League
by
Mike Gianella

10-17

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2

Raising Aces: Brandon Finnegan, the Debut Ante
by
Doug Thorburn

10-17

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0

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, October 17th
by
Jeff Moore

10-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Joe Panik
by
Ben Carsley

10-17

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22

An Agent's Take: The Losses You Never Get Over
by
Joshua Kusnick

10-17

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11

Pitching Backward: First-Pitching to the Situation
by
Jeff Long

10-17

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22

Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A Three-Act Triumph: NLCS Game 5
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Jon Jay
by
Jeff Quinton

10-16

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4

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, October 15th
by
Jeff Moore

10-16

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4

Playoff Prospectus: The Unconventional Path: ALCS Game 4
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-16

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9

Skewed Left: The Molina Mind-bender
by
Zachary Levine

10-16

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2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

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6

Playoff Prospectus: No Pitching and No Defense Make St. Louis (Almost) Go Home: NLCS Game 4
by
R.J. Anderson

10-15

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13

Pebble Hunting: The Rich Get Smarter
by
Sam Miller

10-15

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3

The Lineup Card: Eight of the Best Defensive Plays of 2014
by
Baseball Prospectus

10-15

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0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Four Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and R.J. Anderson

10-15

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3

Playoff Prospectus: Karmic Kickback: NLCS Game 3
by
Doug Thorburn

10-15

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18

Moonshot: The Victims of a Bad Strike Zone
by
Robert Arthur

10-15

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Lorenzo Cain
by
J.P. Breen

10-15

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2

Minor League Update: Games of October 14th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-15

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3

Playoff Prospectus: Every Choice Ned Yost Must Make: ALCS Game 3
by
Sam Miller

10-14

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3

Playoff Prospectus: The Sad Reliever Rankings
by
Miles Wray

10-14

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Looking Back: Prospect Predictions
by
Craig Goldstein

10-14

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3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Three Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

10-14

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13

Raising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot, Reliever Edition
by
Doug Thorburn

10-14

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2

Transaction Analysis: Arizona Raises Hale
by
R.J. Anderson

10-14

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7

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, October 13th
by
Jeff Moore

10-14

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8

Baseball Therapy: The Other Playoff Myths
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-13

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7

Playoff Prospectus: The Greatest Defensive Outfield In History: ALCS Game 2
by
Sam Miller

10-13

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0

The Week in Quotes: October 6-12th, 2014
by
Nick Bacarella, Chris Mosch and Nick Wheatley-Schaller

10-13

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 1 - American League
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

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11

Fox's Fresh Format
by
Harry Pavlidis

10-13

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2

Minor League Update: Games of October 10-11, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-13

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

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6

Playoff Prospectus: It's a Very Very Mad World
by
R.J. Anderson

10-12

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0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-11

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3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Saturday Previews
by
Sam Miller and R.J. Anderson

10-11

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6

Playoff Prospectus: Yost Plays it Right
by
Sahadev Sharma

10-11

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14

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Series Preview: Giants vs. Cardinals
by
R.J. Anderson

10-10

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6

Going Yard: Cage Work
by
Ryan Parker

10-10

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2

Minor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 9th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-10

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Shelby Miller
by
Wilson Karaman

10-10

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1

The View from the Loge Level: The Last Days of the Big Unit
by
Daron Sutton

10-10

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6

Pitching Backward: The Not-So-Sudden Breakout of October's Best Lefty Reliever
by
Jeff Long

10-10

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11

Transaction Analysis: Baltimore Hearts Hardy
by
Jeff Quinton

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The commissioner's lasting legacy isn't randomness and meaningless. It's a more fair world.

For all the excitement of this postseason’s individual games, there is a fairly common sentiment out there that something sucks about a system so random that sub-par teams get to fluke their way to the World Series, thus stripping the season of its power to make sure the best teams are rewarded. Why play a long season and then reduce the championship to coin flips? Why continually expand postseason until every champ resembles Chris Moneymaker? Zachary Levine foretold this postseason in his epitaph for Bud Selig, written in August:

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Running through the notable quotes from the week that was.

ANDREW FRIEDMAN HEADS WEST FOR LOS ANGELES

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October 20, 2014 6:45 am

Minor League Update: Games of October 17-18, 2014

0

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out over the weekend, including D.J. Peterson and Tyler Glasnow.

Friday, October 17th

D.J. Peterson, 1B, Mariners (Surprise, AFL): 1-4, R, HR. I mentioned this in a chat when a reader asked me about Peterson’s future, but sometimes these developmental decisions are quite complicated and sometimes they are remarkably simple. Many scouts believed that Peterson was destined for first base as soon as he was drafted; others thought he had a chance to stick at third. Regardless of where he falls on that spectrum, he’s probably destined for first base just out of the Mariners’ necessity, and he’s seeing some time at the new position this fall. He’s not going to unseat Kyle Seager, but Peterson is going to be an everyday bat and won’t need too much more time in the minors. His bat won’t play as well at first base, but whose does? It still projects to be a better option than the pu pu platter the Mariners trotted there this year.

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The Royals have the speed, the Giants have the skipper, and both teams have momentum in an unlikely World Series matchup.

On July 28th, the Giants were four games behind the Dodgers, the Royals were five behind the Tigers, and PECOTA put their combined odds of winning the World Series at 4 percent. Neither was a preseason favorite to win the division, neither won the division, neither won 90 games, neither has an MVP candidate or a Cy Young candidate. Neither team's manager will win manager of the year, and neither will be the favorite to win a division going into next year's season. They are a combined 16-2 against the postseason gantlet, and PECOTA puts their combined odds of winning the World Series at 100 percent.

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The Rangers hire a manager, and the Rays' new GM makes his first move.

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October 20, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League

0

Mike Gianella

In the second of a two-part series, Mike reviews how his senior-circuit bid value recommendations fared.

Last week, I took a look back at how my outlier predictions did for American League players in 2014. This week, I will take a look at the National League.

What you will find below is a complete list of players where my bid limit was $3 higher or lower than the average expert league price in the CBS, LABR, and Tout Wars NL-only auctions. In addition, based on a reader suggestion rather than simply “grade” how well my predictions did in retrospect, I will attempt to explain why each specific bid limit was particularly aggressive or timid.


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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Brandon Finnegan, the Debut Ante

2

Doug Thorburn

The young lefty has ascended through the Royals system in just a few months and now finds himself being used in high-leverage situations during a World Series run. But is his future as a starter or in the pen?

Just four months ago, Brandon Finnegan showed up in these pages as part of a three-part review of the 2014 draft. Now, he has a shot at a World Series ring.

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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, October 17th

0

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert, including Greg Bird and Patrick Kivlehan.

Greg Bird, 1B, Yankees (Scottsdale): 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, K. The key to Bird’s success is finding the right balance point between being patient and being passive. He has a tremendous eye at the plate, but there are times when he lets hittable pitches go by instead of trying to do damage, which I noted earlier in the year after seeing him in the Florida State League. As he learns to attack more of these pitches without expanding the strike zone and swinging at pitchers’ pitches, however, he has the potential to do enough damage to be an everyday first baseman, as the power is legitimate and the ball comes off his bat with ease.

Patrick Kivlehan, 1B, Mariners (Surprise): 2-3, 2 R, 2B, HR, BB. Kivlehan is a late-bloomer in the baseball world after playing more football while at Rutgers, but he offers plus right-handed power, a desired commodity in the game today. The Mariners have had him at third base, but he’s destined for first base where he’s playing this fall. It’s going to be all about the power for Kivlehan, and just how much of it will play in games against better competition. He could be a guy who hits his ceiling at Triple-A, but if the power continues to show, he’ll get his chances.

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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Joe Panik

2

Ben Carsley

The former first-rounder plugged the Giants' hole at the keystone, but can he do the same for your fantasy squad?

Player Background
A first-round pick of the Giants back in 2011, Panik quietly hit his way up through the minors, landing a spot on the MLB roster halfway through the 2014 season. Once viewed as a shortstop, he’s settled in as a second baseman for San Francisco, and with Brandon Crawford firmly entrenched at short, Panik figures to stay at the keystone for the foreseeable future.

Panik’s rough 2013 campaign in Double-A tempered what was already pretty lukewarm enthusiasm about his future, but he answered his critics in a big way in 2014, both in Triple-A and in the majors. Once viewed as a surefire utility infielder, Panik now seems like he may at least be a second-division starter, and the Giants probably think there’s even more here.


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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

An Agent's Take: The Losses You Never Get Over

22

Joshua Kusnick

Poaching is a big part of the agent business. Some especially sting and never stop.

What a postseason. What a year. I have one client playing on a postseason team, so that has been quite exciting to follow. Only one of my clients has ever won a ring before—Darren Ford. Such a strange concept to me. Ford has won one but Ted Williams, Ernie Banks, and Barry Bonds didn’t. It’s a huge honor and a numbing experience.

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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

Pitching Backward: First-Pitching to the Situation

11

Jeff Long

A first attempt at measuring how much different pitchers pitch to the situation--and the questions it raises.

A few weeks ago I wrote about James Shields’ success with runners in scoring position, specifically noting how it coincided (causation or not) to a change in the righty’s approach. This led down a deep, dark rabbit hole in which the BP research staff helped me compile a more exhaustive list of how pitchers changed their tendencies in these situations. The full data set includes the absolute changes in pitch selection in several different count situations (first pitch, pitcher ahead, count even, batter ahead, etc.); for this particular post, though, I’ll focus on just one of these subcategories: first pitches.

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The Giants play on, while Mike Matheny manages one that we'll never forget.

Baseball is boring. Baseball is slow. We need to speed up the pace of the game. The kids aren’t going to watch the games if this keeps up.

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