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Coming Monday: Kevin Goldstein's Top 101 Prospects for 2012

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Firehose

02-10

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2

Fantasy Beat: The Unsexy, Underrated Gavin Floyd
by
Jason Collette

02-10

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17

The BP Broadside: The Latino "Threat" to Baseball
by
Steven Goldman

02-10

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14

The BP First Take: Friday, February 10
by
Daniel Rathman

02-10

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38

Future Shock: Cardinals Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-10

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8

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Vortices of Suck, Part I
by
Jay Jaffe

02-10

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: Neighborly Baseball
by
Nate Silver

02-10

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12

The Stats Go Marching In: What Are the Rays Expecting from Jose Molina?
by
Max Marchi

02-09

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17

Resident Fantasy Genius: Enter Swingman
by
Derek Carty

02-09

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61

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Chicago White Sox/Pacific Tech
by
Jason Parks

02-09

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24

Inside The Park: A New Message: The Divergent Directions of the Cubs and White Sox
by
Bradford Doolittle

02-09

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8

On the Beat: The Best of the Rest of the Free Agent Market
by
John Perrotto

02-08

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12

Fantasy Beat: Ruminations on My LABR Invitation
by
Jason Collette

02-08

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3

The BP First Take: Wednesday, February 8
by
Daniel Rathman

02-08

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19

The BP Broadside: Pardon Me, Sir, But Have You Ever Even TALKED To A Female Baseball Fan?
by
Steven Goldman

02-08

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3

Sobsequy: When You Leave Durham, You Don't Come Back
by
Adam Sobsey

02-08

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143

Reintroducing PECOTA: The Weighting is the Hardest Part
by
Colin Wyers

02-08

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Rising Payrolls of the Post-Collusion Era
by
Jay Jaffe

02-08

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6

Bates' Dugout Motel: Who's Your Baseball Boyfriend?
by
Michael Bates

02-07

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5

The BP First Take: Tuesday, February 7
by
Daniel Rathman

02-07

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7

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Cleveland Indians
by
Jason Parks

02-07

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10

Collateral Damage: The DL Kings: Chris Snelling
by
Corey Dawkins and Rebecca Glass

02-07

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26

Baseball ProGUESTus: Lose-Lose Situation: Revisiting the Johan Santana Trade
by
Aaron Gleeman

02-07

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3

Painting the Black: The Two-Strike Hitting Skill
by
R.J. Anderson

02-07

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15

Bizball: Salary Arbitration Picture Postcards
by
Maury Brown

02-07

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12

Future Shock: Atlanta Braves Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-07

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17

The Lineup Card: 11 Times Small Sample Sizes Steered Us Wrong
by
Baseball Prospectus

02-07

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7

Transaction Analysis: Guthrie Dealt for Hammel and Lindstrom
by
R.J. Anderson

02-06

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2

The BP First Take: Monday, February 6
by
Daniel Rathman

02-06

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7

The BP Broadside: The Vanishing American League Pinch-Hitter
by
Steven Goldman

02-06

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18

Prospectus Hit and Run: Beware of Falling Payrolls
by
Jay Jaffe

02-06

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18

Resident Fantasy Genius: The Age-27 Breakout Fallacy
by
Derek Carty

02-06

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35

Western Front: Scrappy Rain, Scrappy Rain
by
Geoff Young

02-06

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6

Transaction Analysis: Jackson Settles for One Year
by
R.J. Anderson

02-03

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5

Fantasy Beat: Injury Rebound Bargains
by
Jason Collette

02-03

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5

The Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 2/3/12
by
Rob McQuown

02-03

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74

The BP Broadside: Josh Hamilton and His Persecutors
by
Steven Goldman

02-03

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4

The BP First Take: Friday, February 3
by
Daniel Rathman

02-03

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34

Future Shock: Giants Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-03

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Cuban Imports
by
John Perrotto

02-03

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6

Collateral Damage: The Disabled List: A History
by
Corey Dawkins and Rebecca Glass

02-02

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0

The BP First Take: Thursday, February 2
by
Daniel Rathman

02-02

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28

Overthinking It: The Overlooked Overlooked Hall of Famers
by
Ben Lindbergh

02-02

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19

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Kansas City Royals
by
Jason Parks

02-02

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33

Future Shock: Angels Top 11 Prospects
by
Kevin Goldstein

02-02

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8

On the Beat: How Many Teams Will Make the Playoffs in 2012?
by
John Perrotto

02-02

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0

The Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitchers for 2/2/12
by
Mike Petriello

02-02

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2

Transaction Analysis: Middle Reliever Mania
by
R.J. Anderson

02-02

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15

Resident Fantasy Genius: Verducci Effect: Fact or Fake?
by
Derek Carty

02-01

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6

The BP Broadside: My Seven Days of Nervous Baseball and Other Stories
by
Steven Goldman

02-01

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42

The Lineup Card: 10 Undeservedly Obscure Baseball Films
by
Baseball Prospectus

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up for Fantasy today!

February 10, 2012 11:02 am

Fantasy Beat: The Unsexy, Underrated Gavin Floyd

2

Jason Collette

A look at how drafters are treating Gavin Floyd and why he might be a fantasy bargain this season

Yesterday, I set a new low in the MLB.com Fantasy411 Industry mock draft when I drafted Gavin Floyd 57 spots below his current ADP. Floyd has a current ADP of 229, which ranks him 85th among all starting pitchers for the 803 mixed league drafts run over the past two weeks.  Floyd is currently being drafted behind the likes of Vance Worley, Edwin Jackson, Matt Harrison, R.A. Dickey, and Ivan Nova while coming in ahead of Ted Lilly, Mike Minor, Drew Pomeranz, Brett Anderson, and Mark Buehrle.  

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February 10, 2012 7:54 am

The BP Broadside: The Latino "Threat" to Baseball

17

Steven Goldman

In the early 1960s, Baseball feared the rising number of Latinos in the game, but in this area, at least, the game has been a positive example for tolerance.

Harry “Cookie” Lavagetto played second and third base for the Pirates and Dodgers in the 1930s and 40s and remains known for delivering one of the great moments in World Series history, the pinch-hit double that broke up Bill Bevens’ no-hitter with two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning of Game 4 of the 1947 World Series. Ironically, it was his last hit in the majors—not even Ted Williams got a police escort off the field after his last hit. After being cut by the Dodgers, Lavagetto played for some excellent Pacific Coast League teams with his hometown Oakland Oaks, including the 1948 league champions, then went on to a long career as a coach and manager.

Lavagetto was the last manager of the original Washington Senators and the first manager of the Minnesota Twins.  It was in the latter capacity that he gave the 1961 interview, titled “The Challenge from Latin-America” in Baseball Digest. Author Dick Gordon wrote:

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Dan Duquette's experience in the international markets makes his recent fiasco look even worse.

Under the direction of new general manager Dan Duquette, the Orioles have spent the better part of this offseason making inroads in Asia. They signed Japanese left-hander Tsuyoshi Wada to a two-year, $8.15 million deal in December, and then inked Taiwanese southpaw Wei-Yin Chen to a three-year, $11.3 million hitch in early January.

For a rebuilding team looking to bridge the gap between itself and the AL East powerhouses, wading in the talent pool across the Pacific is a sound strategy. Wada and Chen do not have star-level potential, but both could be solid contributors at a reasonable price. Unfortunately, the Orioles went a step too far when they brought in 17-year-old amateur lefty Seong-Min Kim from South Korea on January 30.

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February 10, 2012 3:00 am

Future Shock: Cardinals Top 11 Prospects

38

Kevin Goldstein

The 2011 world champs have a much-improved farm system.

Previous Rankings: 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008

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February 10, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Vortices of Suck, Part I

8

Jay Jaffe

Which men of misery prevented their teams from escaping the murky waters of suckitude?

My semiannual Replacement-Level Killers series spotlights the worst holes in contenders' lineups, as well as the possible remedies they might take to avoid letting such subpar production destroy their post-season chances the next time around. I make no claims for this companion series being so noble in purpose. Because bad baseball so often makes for good copy, it's more fun to hunt the fish at the bottom of the major-league barrel to find the positions where players' contributions could be considered the worst in the majors. What follows is an "all-star" team of players who have produced tornado-level disasters amid their lineups, often at salaries that represented far more than just a soft breeze running through their team's bank account. Once again, I present the Vortices of Suck.

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Nate wonders about an overflow effect in two-team markets and finds some surprising results.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

Bradford Doolittle wrote about the divergent directions of the Cubs and White Sox on Thursday, but how might the dire outlook for the White Sox and the hope on the horizon for the Cubs impact attendance in the Second City? See what Nate had to say on the subject in the article reproduced below, which originally ran as a "Lies, Damned Lies" column on April 12, 2006.

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A comprehensive look at catcher defense by BP's latest addition reveals that the Rays may be getting plenty of bang for their buck from their new backstop.

For more about Max, see his introductory post here.


At the end of the 2011 season, the Tampa Bay Rays declined catcher Kelly Shoppach’s $3.2 million option for 2012, setting him free to explore the market for his services. On November 28th, they signed Jose Molina as his replacement for one year and $1.8 million.


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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up for Fantasy today!

February 9, 2012 3:00 am

Resident Fantasy Genius: Enter Swingman

17

Derek Carty

The introduction of the swingman role to Tout Wars presents an interesting set of scenarios.

Earlier this week, Tout Wars made a couple of announcements for the upcoming fantasy season. First, I found out who my competitors would be in the Mixed League as the third and final lineup for Tout Weekend was set. Additionally, rule changes for 2012 were announced, and one of those changes is quite dramatic and unique.

Prefacing these rule changes, the Tout crew wrote:

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Addison Reed is joined by the cast of Real Genius, who collectively probably have a higher upside than Chicago's actual system.

Prospect #1: C Chris Knight
Background with Player: Video analysis.
Who: Catcher Chris Knight, the former top pick in the draft who many consider the best prospect in recent memory, has let his off-field issues and indiscretions affect his on-field focus. As a result, his overall production hasn’t lived up to his enormous ceiling. His raw tools are so electric that boredom has become an intrinsic byproduct; the developmental staff takes the brunt of Knight’s ennui, which usually forces the former prodigy to seek attention through histrionics. When he’s on point, there isn’t a prospect that can match his combination of tools and feel for the game.

What Could Go Wrong in 2012: Professor Jerry Hathaway, director of player development and de facto mentor to the future star, has been adamant that Chris Knight won’t graduate to the majors until he finishes what he started in the minors. Knight lacks the motivation to achieve for the reductive sake of achievement, so the extra pressure being applied to the promising backstop will either propel the prospect to the heights his tools suggest are possible, or the immature talent will withdraw from the forced responsibility, and instead choose to live in the frenzied moments of his own arrested development.



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The Cubs finished fifth last season, and the White Sox finished third, but the moods of their respective fan bases don't mirror their showings in the standings

You don’t really meet a serious baseball fan, native to Chicago, who roots for both the White Sox and the Cubs.

This is the only two-team town in which I’ve resided, so I don’t know if there is a similar divergence in New York, Los Angeles, or the Bay Area. I have a Chicago friend who is a transplanted New Yorker—he loves the Mets but absolutely despises the Yankees and everything Derek Jeter stands for. (Winning?) My own mother lives in central Missouri and roots for both the Cardinals and Royals, which might not be quite the same thing but shows a certain generosity of spirit. Undoubtedly there are many in Chicago who root for both teams, who grew up in some neutral suburb or West side neighborhood and just like their baseball however they can get it. Those people, assuming they exist, are a decidedly silent minority.

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February 9, 2012 3:00 am

On the Beat: The Best of the Rest of the Free Agent Market

8

John Perrotto

Soliciting scouts' takes on the four remaining free agents who made significant contributions to their teams last season.

Spring training is barely more than a week away, and the free agent market has all but been picked over.

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up for Fantasy today!

February 8, 2012 11:04 pm

Fantasy Beat: Ruminations on My LABR Invitation

12

Jason Collette

A look at early drafts, playing in multiple leagues, and employing various strategies in fantasy leagues

Cruise ships are wonderful getaways from the stresses of life: three or more days out at sea, away from it all—and that includes data coverage, unless you are willing to pay a per-minute fee that is on the level of what a beer costs at most ballparks these days. Couple that with spending time with 13 other guys as we honor the last days of our good friend’s bachelorhood, and the last 96 hours have been quite a blur of inaccessibility, little sleep, and lapses in memory, but today I rejoin the daily grind.

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