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July 1, 2014

Deep Impact

Week 13

by Ben Carsley


Now is the intro of our discontent.

Nick Ahmed, INF, Diamondbacks
Ahmed is so gritty and such A Baseball Player (TM), Kevin Towers is probably mad he can’t trade for him again. After battling a “utility infielder” stigma for most of his professional career, Ahmed blew up in Triple-A this season, hitting .324/.390/.431 in 336 games. Sure, that line is bolstered by a .371 BABIP, but Ahmed doesn’t strike out much, will take a walk and can steal some bases, too. In other words, the average is a mirage, but he’s not a player without any offensive skills.

I don’t want to make it seem like Ahmed is a great long-term investment: in fact, he’s not even a lock to receive regular playing time right now, thanks to Didi Gregorius. But with Chris Owings and Chad Pennington both on the DL, Ahmed could be in line for several starts in the coming weeks, and he’s not a totally unappealing MI option in NL-only or very deep leagues. If you prefer Gregorius, that’s perfectly fine, but odds are Didi is owned and Ahmed is not.

Mookie Betts, OF/2B, Red Sox
Generally in this space, I focus on players I think you should add or consider adding in deep leagues. But I’m bringing up Betts for a different reason—if you own him in a deep league and don’t need steals or average help this year, I’m going to suggest you sell Betts while he’s at his apex value. I covered the basics of Betts’ call-up along with Mark Anderson earlier this week, so let’s get down to some strategy here instead.

Betts is a good but non-elite fantasy prospect who looks invincible right now because of his MiLB stat lines. We’ve yet to see him fail, which makes him valued more highly than he should be, and he’s a better MLB prospect than a fantasy one—a difficult distinction for many to make. If you’re playing for the long haul or you need SB and AVG right now, by all means, hold on to Betts. But if you don’t need what he brings to the table right now, know that he’s probably at the apex of his fantasy value at we speak. If you can lure away a no. 3 starter, a closer, or a power bat for him, and you’re in a playoff race, go for it.

Christian Colon, INF, Royals
It’s been a long, ugly path to the majors for Colon, the fourth overall pick in the 2010 draft -- selected before Matt Harvey, Chris Sale, Christian Yelich, Noah Syndergaard, Taijuan Walker, Nick Castellanos, etc. Colon’s slow ascent through the minors and the plethora of more attractive names selected after him have made him the butt of many jokes over the years. And it’s true that Colon profiles more as a utility infielder than a starter even on a second-division team.

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<< Previous Article
Daily League Strategy:... (07/01)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Deep Impact: Week 12 (06/26)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Deep Impact: Week 14 (07/08)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article The Stash List: 12th E... (07/01)

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