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March 28, 2014

Prospectus Preview

AL West 2014 Preseason Preview

by R.J. Anderson and Jason Wojciechowski


In the week leading up to Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus is conducting a division-by-division dialogue, asking and answering five questions about each team. Below, R.J. Anderson and Jason Wojciechowski discuss the American League West.

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19 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Dave Brock

Does Ron Washington get a free year of "Do Not Fire" because of all the injuries or does it not matter at this point?

Mar 28, 2014 05:10 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member R.J. Anderson
BP staff

It's possible. I don't know enough about the situation there to say whether Daniels and company would pardon him, or if they'd throw him to the wolves anyway. I guess if they want him gone, they'll find some justification for it, injuries or not.

Mar 28, 2014 05:52 AM
 
BP staff member R.J. Anderson
BP staff

Let the record show I don't acknowledge the MTV series as part of the official Teen Wolf canon.

Mar 28, 2014 06:01 AM
 
BP staff member Jason Wojciechowski
BP staff

This represents exactly the same folly as only considering the Buffy movie canon, which is something no one would ever say.

Mar 28, 2014 09:17 AM
 
antonsirius

Not at all. For one thing, only the Buffy TV show should be considered canon, with the movie being the weird other thing that doesn't get discussed in polite society.

Mar 29, 2014 07:02 AM
rating: 2
 
mlherr

The lead line reads "Below, R.J. Anderson and Jason Wojciechowski discuss the National League West." You probably want to change that.

Mar 28, 2014 06:39 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Ben Lindbergh
BP staff

I do!

Mar 28, 2014 06:43 AM
 
oldbopper

The Angels first question should include "None of the Above."

Mar 28, 2014 09:04 AM
rating: 0
 
oldbopper

Scenario A: Leading off an inning, an A's batter reaches first and Reddick comes up, the Red Sox go into the shift. Can one of you sabermetric gurus give me any reason why Reddick, a low OBP, low OPS guy shouldn't bunt every time. My guess is that he suddenly turns into a guy with at least a .750 OBP and .750 SLG which adds up to a 1,500 OPS. This will create the very favorable, 1st and 2nd nobody out situation which is going to produce a lot more runs than Reddick's occasional long ball.

Mar 28, 2014 09:30 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Ben Lindbergh
BP staff

I'm in favor of bunting to beat the shift. Brandon Moss has been doing it a lot lately.

Mar 28, 2014 09:32 AM
 
BP staff member Jason Wojciechowski
BP staff

The main reason is that he's probably not a good enough bunter to be successful that often. Then again, he wouldn't have to be. Even 40% would add value, especially when added to the deterrent effect.

Which is to say that I'm completely on board with the idea that shifted hitters league-wide aren't bunting enough.

Mar 28, 2014 09:34 AM
 
oldbopper

Thanks for the replies, but anything short of a pop out to the pitcher should be successful. Some the shifts have placed the infielder on the left side almost on 2nd. Last year Cano even got a double on a bunt against the shift.

Mar 28, 2014 09:58 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jason Wojciechowski
BP staff

A bunt to the right side or blowing it twice and winding up with two strikes are also good ways to fail.

Mar 28, 2014 10:16 AM
 
oldbopper

I just went to your article on Grantland. It put the success ratio at .540 which is pretty solid. Numbers like this will get defenses back where they belong if the egos of the hitters don't get in the way.

Mar 28, 2014 10:05 AM
rating: 0
 
lipitorkid

As an Angels fan, this article is the first time I've gotten my hopes up for this season.

You guys suck.

I'm off to go read Rime of the Ancient Mariner with a Josh Hamilton baseball card hanging from my neck.

Mar 28, 2014 10:49 AM
rating: 3
 
jimcal

I looked up the word "flail". OAK, Q4,JW.

Mar 28, 2014 12:05 PM
rating: 0
 
Llarry

I so want to see the Diamondbacks with a manager who can manage his way out of a paper bag in-game, but I fear you're right, Towers will end up gone before he can land Scioscia...

Mar 28, 2014 15:17 PM
rating: 0
 
antonsirius

Any nickname for Corey Hart which does not in some way involve sunglasses is not a serious attempt at nomenclature.

Mar 29, 2014 07:04 AM
rating: 2
 
Nathan Aderhold

Not big Kole Calhoun fans, eh?

Mar 30, 2014 21:16 PM
rating: 1
 
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