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January 6, 2014

Fantasy Freestyle

What is a Minor League Pick Worth?

by Mike Gianella


Every fantasy league has different rules, but in many carryover leagues you are allowed to keep minor league players from season to season in a farm system. Additionally, some leagues allow trading of minor league draft picks for future seasons.

Leagues have their own wrinkles on this rule, but in many non-dynasty keeper leagues there is a limit on how many farm players you may keep from season to season. Keeper leagues I have played in use four to five minor leaguers as the limit, but some leagues use more. Some leagues also limit the number of years you can keep a minor leaguer to avoid taking a very young player like Miguel Sano out of the player pool before his 18th birthday.

In leagues where you can trade for farm players or minor league picks, one of the more challenging aspects of the game is determining how much value you should place on these picks. For a current major leaguer, it’s easy to look at statistics from the previous season and/or a season or two before that and make a reasonable guess as to what he will be worth in 2014 or a season or two beyond.

Minor leaguers are far more challenging to forecast. Despite this, fantasy teams often trade significant value for minor league players. In dynasty leagues where you can keep Byron Buxton or Xander Bogaerts forever, this makes sense. However, in a Rotisserie-style league where the meter starts running on player contracts the moment a player graces your active roster, it is important to have an idea of how much value a player will potentially produce for your team before he becomes a free agent 3-5 seasons down the line.

Table 1: 10 Best Baseball Prospectus Hitting Prospects 2009-2011

Player

Year

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<< Previous Article
Baseball ProGUESTus: R... (01/03)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: A R... (12/27)
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Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: A F... (01/09)
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Fantasy Article Fantasy Team Preview: ... (01/06)

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