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July 30, 2013

The Stash List

Speculating on the Trade Deadline

by Bret Sayre


It’s tough to avoid getting into the trade deadline spirit this time of year, and with less than 48 hours left until we actually know who has changed uniforms, speculation is in full swing. It seems like every hour or two there is a new name thrown into the fire. The Phillies are buyers and then they’re sellers and then they’re buyers again. The White Sox are looking to unload Jake Peavy and then they want to build around him “long-term”—but not if Zach Mortimer has anything to say about it. The rumors are endless and it’s nearly impossible to differentiate the smoke from the fire in the internet age.

So to avoid getting too deep into the actual names being thrown around (we’ll get into that with some of the players below), let’s take a step back and talk about the best way to speculate prior to the trade deadline. While there are certainly players whose fantasy value would increase greatly due to trades, whether it’s an eighth-inning arm who gets a shot to close or a fourth outfielder who gets a full-time job, the trick is to grab as many names as possible and keep your fingers crossed.

There are so many factors that go into whether a deadline deal happens, especially since the new CBA, which eliminated the draft-pick compensation for teams acquiring walk-year players, went into effect. Before that, it was much more of a given that soon-to-be free agents would get dealt prior to the deadline, but now the market for any player who might receive a qualifying offer gets muddled by the baseline value the team with the asset needs to receive before they even consider making a deal. And that’s not to mention the players with contracts expiring after the 2014 season, who can still be traded along with the rights to compensation during the off-season.

These changes have led to a quieter deadline as far as trades, but the amusing part is that the growth of the game and the power of social media amplifies all of the rumors. Today, there was actually a satirical report that surfaced on Twitter about the Angels having internal discussions on how to improve their team through a trade. That was literally all it said. And people ran with it like there was no tongue planted firmly in cheek.

If you have a few bench spots made up of replacement-level players, now is a good time to clear them for potentially above-replacement-level players—and as many of them as you can. And this is more applicable in deeper leagues, since the shallower you get, the fewer potential above replacement value players there will be. The value you’ll lose over the next day and a half is minimal compared to what you might gain over the rest of the season.

Without any further ado, here is The Stash List, version 15.0:

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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (07/30)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article The Stash List: Drawin... (07/23)
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Fantasy Article The Stash List: The Bi... (08/06)
Next Article >>
Feature Focus: Team Au... (07/30)

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