Biographical

Portrait of Jake Peavy

Jake Peavy PWhite Sox

White Sox Player Cards | White Sox Team Audit | White Sox Depth Chart

2013 Projections (seasonal age 32) - Rest of Season Projections
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date5-31-1981
Height6' 1"
Weight195 lbs
Age32 years, 0 months, 18 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.72009
1.02010
1.82011
3.32012
1.52013
+proj

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2002 SDN 21 17 17 97.7 97.7 0.0 6 7 0 0 10 0 430 106 54 49 11 167 33 29 3 90 4.52 3.60 4.18 20.6 2.4
2003 SDN 22 32 32 194.7 194.7 0.0 12 11 0 0 18 0 827 173 94 89 33 307 82 79 6 156 4.11 4.93 5.47 3.2 0.2
2004 SDN 23 27 27 166.3 166.3 0.0 15 6 0 0 16 0 694 146 49 42 13 222 53 49 11 173 2.27 3.04 3.36 45.6 4.7
2005 SDN 24 30 30 203.0 203.0 0.0 13 7 0 0 22 0 812 162 70 65 18 271 50 47 7 216 2.88 2.86 3.52 36.8 3.8
2006 SDN 25 32 32 202.3 202.3 0.0 11 14 0 0 21 1 846 187 93 92 23 318 62 51 6 215 4.09 3.47 3.70 38.1 3.8
2007 SDN 26 34 34 223.3 223.3 0.0 19 6 0 0 28 1 898 169 67 63 13 253 68 63 6 240 2.54 2.78 3.12 56.4 5.7
2008 SDN 27 27 27 173.7 173.7 0.0 10 11 0 0 19 2 709 146 57 55 17 220 59 58 5 166 2.85 3.57 3.52 38.9 4.1
2009 CHA 28 3 3 20.0 20.0 0.0 3 0 0 0 2 0 75 11 3 3 1 14 6 6 0 18 1.35 2.89 3.24 5.0 0.5
2009 SDN 28 13 13 81.7 81.7 0.0 6 6 0 0 8 1 335 69 38 36 7 109 28 28 1 92 3.97 2.98 3.80 11.7 1.2
2010 CHA 29 17 17 107.0 107.0 0.0 7 6 0 0 8 0 450 98 55 55 13 159 34 32 5 93 4.63 3.98 4.60 9.7 1.0
2011 CHA 30 19 18 111.7 107.7 4.0 7 7 0 1 7 0 470 117 61 61 10 172 24 20 3 95 4.92 3.25 4.01 18.9 1.8
2012 CHA 31 32 32 219.0 219.0 0.0 11 12 0 0 23 2 882 191 88 82 27 316 49 48 10 194 3.37 3.69 4.01 30.5 3.3
2013 CHA 32 11 11 67.0 67.0 0.0 6 4 0 0 7 0 273 63 33 32 10 109 15 15 1 66 4.30 3.75 4.78 3.3 0.3
Career2942931867.31863.34.0126970118977701163876272419626375635256418143.493.483.92318.632.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
1999 IDA Rk 2 2 11.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.357 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 FTW A 26 25 133.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.453 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 LEL A+ 19 19 105.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.380 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 MOB AA 5 5 28.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.267 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 SDN MLB 17 17 97.7 4.18 109 .262 .277 .349 .443 .273 .324 102 17.6 1.8 20.6 2.4
2002 MOB AA 14 14 80.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .295 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 SDN MLB 32 32 194.7 5.47 76 .262 .275 .347 .443 .273 .255 95 0.7 0.1 3.2 0.2
2004 SDN MLB 27 27 166.3 3.36 125 .234 .278 .352 .453 .273 .300 95 39.0 3.8 45.6 4.7
2004 MOB AA 1 1 4.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .353 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SDN MLB 30 30 203.0 3.52 117 .226 .273 .340 .435 .268 .276 92 32.9 3.3 36.8 3.8
2006 SDN MLB 32 32 202.3 3.70 113 .246 .276 .345 .449 .268 .304 87 32.7 3.2 38.1 3.8
2006 USA wor 2 2 8.2 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .238 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 SDN MLB 34 34 223.3 3.12 123 .216 .278 .347 .442 .268 .273 85 44.8 4.4 56.4 5.7
2008 SDN MLB 27 27 173.7 3.52 116 .229 .275 .342 .435 .268 .279 90 31.9 3.2 38.9 4.1
2009 CHA MLB 3 3 20.0 3.24 133 .165 .267 .333 .423 .266 .200 100 5.0 0.5 5.0 0.5
2009 SDN MLB 13 13 81.7 3.80 105 .237 .267 .338 .420 .264 .300 88 10.0 1.0 11.7 1.2
2009 CHR AAA 4 4 15.3 3.66 121 .212 .262 .341 .389 .257 .317 101 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 CHA MLB 17 17 107.0 4.60 101 .249 .265 .331 .417 .269 .279 104 9.5 1.0 9.7 1.0
2011 CHA MLB 19 18 111.7 4.01 113 .251 .273 .334 .428 .273 .317 104 18.9 2.0 18.9 1.8
2011 BIR AA 2 2 4.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .500 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 CHR AAA 4 4 24.7 4.12 111 .179 .268 .333 .419 .257 .250 104 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 CHA MLB 32 32 219.0 4.01 112 .238 .266 .331 .424 .271 .272 103 29.7 3.2 30.5 3.3
2013 CHA MLB 11 11 67.0 4.78 93 .258 .254 .320 .401 .263 .293 103 3.7 0.4 3.3 0.3
CareerMLB2931867.33.96109.239.273.341.436.270.28595270.927.2313.032.2

Statistics For All Levels

Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
1999 IDA Rk 2 0 0 2 2 11.0 5 1 13 0 0% -.357 4.1 0.8 0.0 10.6 0.55 0.00 0.0 0.0
2000 FTW A 13 8 0 26 25 133.7 107 53 164 6 0% -.453 7.2 3.6 0.4 11.0 1.20 2.89 0.0 0.0
2001 MOB AA 2 1 0 5 5 28.0 19 12 44 3 0% -.267 6.1 3.9 1.0 14.1 1.11 2.57 0.0 0.0
2001 LEL A+ 7 5 0 19 19 105.3 76 33 144 6 0% -.380 6.5 2.8 0.5 12.3 1.04 3.08 0.0 0.0
2002 SDN MLB 6 7 0 17 17 97.7 106 33 90 11 51% .324 9.8 3.0 1.0 8.3 1.42 4.52 20.6 2.4
2002 MOB AA 4 5 0 14 14 80.3 65 30 89 4 0% .295 7.3 3.4 0.4 10.0 1.18 2.80 0.0 0.0
2003 SDN MLB 12 11 0 32 32 194.7 173 82 156 33 42% .255 8.0 3.8 1.5 7.2 1.31 4.11 3.2 0.2
2004 SDN MLB 15 6 0 27 27 166.3 146 53 173 13 45% .300 7.9 2.9 0.7 9.4 1.20 2.27 45.6 4.7
2004 MOB AA 0 1 0 1 1 4.7 7 2 4 1 0% .353 13.4 3.8 1.9 7.7 1.91 5.74 0.0 0.0
2005 SDN MLB 13 7 0 30 30 203.0 162 50 216 18 46% .276 7.2 2.2 0.8 9.6 1.04 2.88 36.8 3.8
2006 SDN MLB 11 14 0 32 32 202.3 187 62 215 23 40% .304 8.3 2.8 1.0 9.6 1.23 4.09 38.1 3.8
2006 USA wor 0 0 0 2 2 8.2 6 1 6 1 0% .238 6.6 1.1 1.1 6.6 0.85 3.29 0.0 0.0
2007 SDN MLB 19 6 0 34 34 223.3 169 68 240 13 45% .273 6.8 2.7 0.5 9.7 1.06 2.54 56.4 5.7
2008 SDN MLB 10 11 0 27 27 173.7 146 59 166 17 43% .279 7.6 3.1 0.9 8.6 1.18 2.85 38.9 4.1
2009 SDN MLB 6 6 0 13 13 81.7 69 28 92 7 44% .300 7.6 3.1 0.8 10.1 1.19 3.97 11.7 1.2
2009 CHA MLB 3 0 0 3 3 20.0 11 6 18 1 51% .200 5.0 2.7 0.5 8.1 0.85 1.35 5.0 0.5
2009 CHR AAA 1 1 0 4 4 15.3 14 4 17 1 29% .317 8.2 2.4 0.6 10.0 1.18 2.94 0.0 0.0
2010 CHA MLB 7 6 0 17 17 107.0 98 34 93 13 43% .279 8.2 2.9 1.1 7.8 1.23 4.63 9.7 1.0
2011 CHR AAA 1 1 0 4 4 24.7 21 1 26 3 46% .250 7.7 0.4 1.1 9.5 0.89 3.65 0.0 0.0
2011 BIR AA 0 0 0 2 2 4.3 9 1 4 0 0% .500 18.7 2.1 0.0 8.3 2.31 6.23 0.0 0.0
2011 CHA MLB 7 7 0 19 18 111.7 117 24 95 10 40% .317 9.4 1.9 0.8 7.7 1.26 4.92 18.9 1.8
2012 CHA MLB 11 12 0 32 32 219.0 191 49 194 27 37% .272 7.8 2.0 1.1 8.0 1.10 3.37 30.5 3.3
2013 CHA MLB 6 4 0 11 11 67.0 63 15 66 10 38% .293 8.5 2.0 1.3 8.9 1.16 4.30 3.3 0.3

Injury History beta

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-06-06 - 15-DL - - Left Trunk Fracture Ribcage - -
2013-04-27 2013-05-08 DTD 11 9 - Low Back Spasms - -
2012-08-25 2012-08-31 DTD 6 6 - Infection - -
2012-02-25 2012-03-07 Camp 11 0 - Infection - -
2011-06-06 2011-06-22 15-DL 16 14 Right Groin Strain Mild -
2011-03-22 2011-05-11 15-DL 50 37 Right Shoulder Recovery From Inflammation Rotator Cuff Tendinitis -
2011-03-15 2011-03-15 On-Alr 0 0 - General Medical Illness GI - -
2011-03-15 2011-03-22 Camp 7 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation Rotator Cuff Tendinitis -
2010-07-07 2010-10-04 60-DL 89 80 Right Shoulder Surgery Detached Latissimus Dorsi 2010-07-14
2010-03-12 2010-03-12 Camp 0 0 Left Shoulder Contusion -
2009-08-29 2009-08-29 On-Alr 0 0 Right Elbow Tightness From Previous Batted Ball -
2009-08-24 2009-08-24 On-Alr 0 0 Right Elbow Contusion Batted Ball -
2009-06-09 2009-09-19 15-DL 102 91 Right Ankle Strain Posterior Tibialis Tear Running Bases -
2009-06-03 2009-06-03 DTD 0 0 General Medical Illness Virus -
2009-05-22 2009-05-22 DTD 0 0 Right Ankle Inflammation -
2008-05-15 2008-06-12 15-DL 28 26 Right Elbow Strain and Swelling -
2007-06-24 2007-06-24 DTD 0 0 Hand Contusion Sliding -
2006-08-27 2006-08-27 DTD 0 0 General Medical Illness Sinus Infection -
2006-05-29 2006-06-06 DTD 8 7 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2006-04-20 2006-04-20 DTD 0 0 Right Ankle Contusion Batted Ball -
2006-03-04 2006-03-04 Camp 0 0 Bilateral Tear Retinas -
2005-10-07 2005-10-07 On-Alr 0 0 Infection Conjunctivitis -
2005-10-05 2005-10-09 DTD 4 0 Left Trunk Fracture Rib -
2005-09-05 2005-09-16 DTD 11 9 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2005-08-28 2005-08-30 DTD 2 2 Left Hand Laceration -
2005-07-05 2005-07-05 DTD 0 0 General Medical Illness Sore Throat -
2005-06-01 2005-06-08 DTD 7 6 General Medical Respiratory Flu -
2005-03-20 2005-03-26 Camp 6 0 Groin Strain -
2004-05-20 2004-07-02 15-DL 43 38 Right Elbow Strain Flexor Tendon -
2000-04-10 2000-04-28 Minors 18 0 - General Medical Illness Viral Meningitis - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CHA $14,500,000
2013 CHA $14,500,000
2012 CHA $17,000,000
2011 CHA $16,000,000
2010 CHA $15,000,000
2009 SDN $11,000,000
2008 SDN $6,000,000
2007 SDN $4,750,000
2006 SDN $2,500,000
2005 SDN $750,000
2004 SDN $350,000
2003 SDN $305,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
10 yrPrevious$73,655,000
2011Current$14,500,000
11 yrPvs + Cur$88,155,000
1 yrFuture$14,500,000
12 yrTotal$102,655,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
10 y 101 dJeff Berry, CAA2 years/$29M (2013-14)

Details
  • 2 years/$29M (2013-14). Signed extension with Chicago White Sox 10/30/12. 13:$14.5M, 14:$14.5M. Peavy receives $15M player option for 2015 if he 1) has 400 IP in 2013-14, including 190 IP in 2014 and 2) is not on the disabled list at the end of the 2014 season. As part of the deal, Chicago agreed to pay the $4M buyout from Peavy's previous contract in four installments from 2016 to 2019.
  • 3 years/$52M (2010-12), plus 2013 club option. Signed extension with San Diego 12/07. 10:$15M, 11:$16M, 12:$17M, 13:$22M club option, $4M buyout. Limited no-trade protection (may block to 14 clubs in 2011, 8 clubs in 2012. Acquired by Chicago White Sox in trade from San Diego 7/31/09. Previously represented by agent Barry Axelrod.
  • 4 years/$14.5M (2005-08), plus 2009 club option. Signed extension with San Diego 2/05. 05:$0.75M, 06:$2.5M, 07:$4.75M, 08:$6M, 09:$8M club option, $0.5M buyout. Escalator may increase '08 salary to $6.5M & '09 option to $11M. Award bonus: $25,000 for All-Star.
  • 1 year/$0.35M (2004). Re-signed 3/04.
  • 1 year/$0.305M (2003). Re-signed 3/03.
  • Drafted 1999 (15-472).

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .255 .303 .404 .252
11 vs R (Multi) .219 .274 .359 .225
18 Split (Multi) .035 .029 .045 .027
19 LgAvg (Multi) .011 .025 .022 .017
30 vs L (2012) .252 .299 .415 .253
31 vs R (2012) .210 .263 .351 .219
38 Split (2012) .042 .036 .064 .034
39 LgAvg (2012) .009 .024 .021 .017

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Jake Peavy is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Pebble Hunting: Blind BABIP Test, Part 2Sam Miller2013-06-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Fast Starts and Slow StartsMike Gianella2013-06-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Grand FinaleDaniel Rathman2013-06-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: American League, Week 10Paul Singman2013-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Petite Outfield Behind PettitteZachary Levine2013-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Powering Up in PhillyDaniel Rathman2013-06-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 10Paul Sporer2013-05-31
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Most Improved PlayersJohn Perrotto2013-05-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week SevenPaul Sporer2013-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 6th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Rocking Their Sox OffDaniel Rathman2013-05-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Waking Sleeping GiantsDaniel Rathman2013-04-19
Fantasy Mailbag: Matt-for-Matt?BP Fantasy Team2013-04-19
Fantasy Mailbag: Be Patient with Struggling Blue JaysBP Fantasy Team2013-04-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: My American League PortfolioPaul Sporer2013-04-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week TwoPaul Sporer2013-04-05
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-04
BP Unfiltered: The Velocity Gainers and Losers of Spring 2013Harry Pavlidis2013-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction ComparisonJason Collette2013-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Five Make-or-Break Contract YearsBen Lindbergh2013-03-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: American League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-26
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The BP Wayback Machine: PassionJoe Sheehan2013-03-08
Fantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction Values BreakdownPaul Singman2013-03-06
Fantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction Values BreakdownJason Collette2013-03-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Budget Allocations and Pitching-Staff OutcomesJason Collette2013-02-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, January 22Daniel Rathman2013-01-22
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Two Good Starts and a TradeSam Miller2012-07-25
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Jerome Wasn't Built in a DayR.J. Anderson2011-08-24
Transaction Analysis: Jered Weaver's $85 Million Welcome MatBen Lindbergh2011-08-23
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What You Missed: 3/14-3/18Stephani Bee2011-03-18
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Prospectus Triple Play: Boston Red Sox, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego PadresBaseball Prospectus2003-09-23
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Breaking Out: PECOTA SpeaksNate Silver2003-01-29
Internet Baseball Awards: Rookies of the YearGreg Spira2002-10-18
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Prospectus Feature: National League PredictionsBaseball Prospectus2002-03-30
Transaction Analysis: March 6-13, 2002Christina Kahrl2002-03-18


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-03-02 13:00:00I don't wager, and of course would never encourage anyone else to either. But after the usual Vegas favorites like the Phillies, Red Sox and Yankees...what of the second-teir teams would you take a look at? Myself, I kinda like the White Sox and Tigers both going off at 25-1.
(singledigit from San Diego, Ca)
I've yet to make any bet more serious or since the buck I won on Sammy Sosa hitting 40 homers in 1996 (with myself and the man I'd bet against in attendance that very night he did it), so take my two cents with the appropriate spoonful of salt, but the White Sox at 25-1 look like a great choice. That said, I'm a believer that their rotation's the unit that might get them there, whether they get 16 starts from Jake Peavy or 26. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-09-13 13:00:00Do you think that any other active pitcher has a legitimate shot at 300 wins besides Sabathia?
(adamseth7 from philly)
I wouldn't bet against Roy Halladay (166 and counting through his age 33 season), and I think the resurgence of Roy Oswalt (149 through his age 31) puts him back on the map if he can stay in Philadelphia during his next contract, but the past year has been rough on other candidates such as Johan Santana, Andy Pettitte, Jake Peavy, even Jamie Moyer. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-07-09 13:00:00Keeper league question: Assuming you have the space, would you cheaply obtain Jake Peavy this season and stash him away for next year?
(Dennis from LA)
I'm not so sure. I don't like him in US Cellular still, and he hasn't been keeper-worthy this year even before his shoulder fell apart. If he doesn't cost much, and doesn't keep you from holding onto someone else who may be useful, sure. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-10 13:00:00Thank you for answering my previous questions. The only pitching categories in my league are Innings Pitched and Runs Allowed. Do you think Jake Peavy might be a good buy-low target for the next couple of years? And do you think Pat Burrell will emerge from the grave in SF? Thanks again!
(Dennis from LA)
I think Peavy's days of being an ace are over, but he's not as bad as he's been this year, so yes, he's a good buy-low target. Burrell wasn't just having a hard time hitting in Tampa Bay--he was overly selective at the plate and let a lot of pitches he used to crush go by without a swing. If he changes his approach in San Francisco, the hits could come, but it all hinges on that. (Marc Normandin)
2009-12-29 15:00:00How do you think Jake Peavy will fare in his first full year with the ChiSox?
(Phil S. from NJ)
205 IP, 4.10 ERA, 195 K, 66 BB, 28 HR. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-08-11 13:00:00What's going on with Jake Peavy? Will he need to make all 3 minor league rehab starts, or do you think he will be ready after 2?
(Dan from Chicago)
That's a really good question. I think we'll know a lot more after the first one - is he comfortable? are the mechanics ok or is the ankle throwing things off? where's the stamina? I think it could be all three, but the Sox are very flexible and aggressive. (Will Carroll)
2009-07-31 14:00:00So the white sox bet the farm. But do you think it will have any real impact on their 2009 playoff odds?
(stately from bhm)
I think I'm not entirely sure how they get calculated. They've added Jake Peavy, but it's not clear how many starts of Jake Peavy, so the impact on the numbers may not reflect the real-world change.

In other words, I don't know. Glad I could help. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-05 15:30:00Do you live in fear knowing that it's only a matter of time before Ruben Amaro trades me half the farm system for Erik Bedard?
(Jack from Seattle)
The Phillies have about a 2-year window of really being solid competitors for a postseason slot and potentially the World Series. They definitely need another solid starting pitcher with the question marks surrounding Jamie Moyer. Blanton has been more effective recently, Hamels is back, and JA Happ looks like the real deal as a back of the rotation pitcher as well. But for a potential playoff team, do you really want to rely on Antonio Bastardo, a prospect that some Phillies fans didn't even know about? I would certainly be in favor of unloading key prospects to get someone to solidify their rotation. Ideally that someone would be Roy Oswalt or Jake Peavy, but if it's Bedard for half of a season in exchange for roadblocked prospects, so be it. (Eric Seidman)
2009-04-16 13:00:00I think the Padres have a real chance of making it this year!
(Oranguntang from Sevilla)
I wish. Sadly, I see more of Jake Peavy and Chris Young doing well with no one caring, and Adrian Gonzalez and Brian Giles being top 15-20 hitters in the NL again while most of the rest of the lineup lags behind (but not you Jody Gerut, we love you). (Marc Normandin)
2009-01-29 13:00:00I just traded Porcello & Chris Marrero for Jake Peavy in a keeper league. I've got some serious seller's remorse on Porcello, but overall, I kinda, sorta like this deal. What you think, Marc?
(Johnny Tuttle from Battle Creek, Michigan)
I think if you need the pitching, then Peavy is a good one for you, as long as he stays in San Diego. If he gets dealt to a park that isn't going to help him while he loses velocity and strikeouts, then I hope you didn't get too attached to Porcello. (Marc Normandin)
2008-12-04 13:30:00If you're the Cubs GM for the day, do you trade away Vitters (plus) for Jake Peavy?
(jgalt73 from Portland, OR)
Nope. The Cubs' strength is pitching, and their edge on that division is real. Adding another front-end starter at that price doesn't make enough of a difference to trade their best prospect. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-11-14 13:00:00Yunel Escobar, Gorkys Hernandez, Charles Morton and a lefty reliever for Jake Peavy seems basicaly to me like giving Escobar for Peavy who is a very cheap superace for 4-5 years. Is it a good or bad deal for the Braves?
(JOHN54 from Alabama)
I think you're being a little too harsh on Morton, and Gorkys, um... has a great name and could be, er, sort of a fourth OF. It's not a great return, you're right. It was a more exciting deal with Tommy Hanson as part of it. It's a good deal for the Braves. I've written elsewhere (tho' I'm not the only one) to suggest that Peavy's H/R splits suggest he is overvalued to some degree, and no doubt that figures in.

I'm so certain I typed "sex" in that last entry, but it came out "self." And you know what? Self-life is a really interesting concept that I like even better. (Steven Goldman)
2008-10-17 13:00:00The team that trades for Jake Peavy -- what are they getting? What is his injury risk at this point?
(Brent from Raleigh)
Working on an article on this now, so consider it teased. (Will Carroll)
2008-10-14 13:00:00What's an overwhelming package for Jake Peavy?
(Ryguy86 from NY)
A top-15 prospect, top-50, and top-75 guy, at least two of whom can be on the field by June. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-06 14:00:00Can the tribe trade Kelly Shoppach for Ryan Howard? Does that deal make sense for both squads... And: If you're Towers do you take Cano and Hughes for Jake Peavy?
(thomas from harrisburg)
Bret? Is that you?

Neither of these trades make sense. I'm as down on Ryan Howard as anyone, but I'm not dealing him for a marginal starting catcher coming off of a career half-season. Good god.

And no, I don't trade one of the best SPs in baseball for a slow 2B who never walks and doesn't play defense but who costs a lot of money. That trade offer might even get you laughed off of WFAN. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-02-29 13:00:00Dear Mr. Fox, Before my question, I must tell you that I have been a Cubs fan since my high school days in Niles, and I must say I really appreciate your blog piece on Goose Gossage. Now, about utilizing pitching f/x data: Your late piece on gyroball and Matsuzaka seems to bring light to the "deceit" of a pitch's movement. A surprising success of reliever Okajima last season had puzzled me. I tracked his pitching f/x data, and his pFx is weird. His pitches around upper 80mph moved WILDLY horizontally, ranging from a 10 to 15-inch apart from any trajectory line. I read mlbtraderumor's interview with Royal minor pitcher Brian Bannister. He talked about the sidespin of Jake Peavy's fastball that allows the pitch to move randomly and confuses batters. Is there any study on the effect of sidespin affecting batters' visualization of it? And had Okajima's pitches carry a similar, if not the same, effect of such pitches such as Peavy's or gyroball's?
(Dorasaga from Taipei, Taiwan)
Wow good question.

After I saw your question I went and pulled down Hideki Okajima's PITCHf/x data. I have 573 pitches for him which go into the post season.

In perusing his cannonical pfx chart he throws his three primary pitches (fastball, changeup, and curve) probably 90% of the time with his fastball ranging from 85 to 90, his changeup high 70s to 85, and his curveball from the low to mid 70s.

But in looking at the chart his fastball doesn't seem to move too much horizontally as compared to other pitchers. It sits in the 0 to 5 inch range whereas many pitchers see a tail of 5 to 8 inches on their fastballs. His changeup does tail 5 to 9 inches or so and drop about 5 inches more than his fastball.

What you may have seen is that his vertical component for the fastball registers in the 10 to 15 inch range but you have to remember that those values represent the difference from a pitch thrown with no spin. So in other words his fastball has a "rise" of 10 to 15 inches as compared to a theoretical reference pitch. In reality most pitchers see a range of 8 to 13 inchdes in this component and so his fastball may ride a little more than some others (which would be attributed to more backspin, not side spin) but it certainly doesn't tail any more.

Since you mentioned Jake Peavy I should mention that John Walsh at THT has done some great work on calculating the run value of individual pitches which you'll probably want to check out. But to directly answer your question I haven't seen anything specific on side spin or visualization of that. (Dan Fox)


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