Lies, Damned Lies

Lies, Damned Lies: The Tiger Plan, Revisited

Nate revisits a column from last year, and updates it with some startling new economic findings.

Lies, Damned Lies: Valuing Draft Picks

All draft picks have a value that can be quantified. Using some of the tools he employed last time out, Nate takes a crack at doing just that.

Lies, Damned Lies: Running down SOB

by Nate Silver 8/18

Is there some way to account for base running in a player's on-base percentage, creating a speed-adjusted OBP? Of course there is.

Lies, Damned Lies: The Manny Non-Deal

by Nate Silver 8/01

After all the hype, Manny Ramirez stayed in Boston. Would trading him have made economic sense for the Red Sox? Nate Silver breaks it down.

Lies, Damned Lies: Evaluating the Trade Bait

by Nate Silver 7/28

As we approach the trading deadline, the names are flying fast and furious. But it's not clear what teams could expect to get from some of the players who are rumored to be on the market. Leave it to Nate to break it down.

Lies, Damned Lies: Book Review, Scout’s Honor

by Nate Silver 7/13

Nate Silver weighs in with an in-depth book review of Bill Shanks' "Scout's Honor" and its look at the Atlanta Braves' organizational philosophy.

Lies, Damned Lies: Forecasting the Future: Internationalization

by Nate Silver 7/06

Nate continues to forecast the future by tracing the influx of Latin American baseball players, and what we can expect about their numbers going forward.

Lies, Damned Lies: Lee & Albert

by Nate Silver 6/29

Nate Silver looks into the "Derrek Lee for Triple Crown" debate, and discovers Lee might not be the best candidate to pull it off, after all.

Lies, Damned Lies: Forecasting the Future: Microculture

by Nate Silver 6/15

Surfing the Net prompts Nate to think about more long-term predictions than he's used to making. In this installment, he tackles the long-term outlook for increasing franchise values.

Lies, Damned Lies: A Tribe Called Mess

by Nate Silver 6/08

Three hitters have torpedoed the Indians' offense this year. Two of them should be sent packing.

Lies, Damned Lies: Strikeouts and Hitter Projections

by Nate Silver 6/01

Nate expands on an answer from last month's chat session.

Lies, Damned Lies: Revisiting PECOTA

by Nate Silver 5/27

How should we re-evaluate players who've started the year on a tear, or in a rut? As ever, PECOTA has an answer.

Lies, Damned Lies: Can A-Rod and Pujols Beat Aaron’s Record?

by Nate Silver 5/18

Nate Silver creates a Favorite Toy for the 21st century with PECOTA's help to test two superstars' chances at breaking the all-time home-run record.

Lies, Damned Lies: The Graying of the Game

by Nate Silver 5/11

Before jumping to conclusions about the effects of the new testing policy on offensive levels, consider how demographic shifts have impacted the player pool.

Lies, Damned Lies: Introducing ORVY

by Nate Silver 5/04

When should a team employ one-run strategies rather than play for a big inning?

Lies, Damned Lies: Does Size Matter?

by Nate Silver 4/27

An e-mail from Will Carroll causes Nate Silver to investigate the historical relationship between body type and performance.