Lies, Damned Lies

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Corner Outfield Prospects

Last time out, Nate zeroed in on center fielders. Today, he moves to the corners.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projected Standings, AL and NL East

In an homage to Kasparov versus Deep Blue, Nate puts his PECOTA system to the test as it tries to predict the results of the 2007 season.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Center Field Prospects

by Nate Silver 3/15

It may seem that PECOTA has gone soft when it comes to the plethora of excellent center field prospects, but there's good reason to be excited.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Shortstop Prospects

by Nate Silver 3/01

Nate reviews a deep and diverse batch of shortstop prospects, but you might be surprised about how PECOTA sorts them out.

Lies, Damned Lies: Charting the Spectrum

by Nate Silver 2/23

Instead of talking about shortstop prospects, Nate conjures up a new way of looking at the defensive spectrum.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Third Base Prospects

by Nate Silver 2/20

The best prospect in baseball leads a historically deep class.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Second Base Prospects

by Nate Silver 2/13

Nate examines the curious discrepancy between conventional prospect rankings and PECOTA with regards to second basemen, and defends one of his projection system's favorite young players.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on First Base Prospects

by Nate Silver 2/06

Nate recovers well enough from Chicago's Super Bowl loss to share PECOTA's take on first base prospects.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Catching Prospects

by Nate Silver 2/02

With the methodology out of the way, Nate starts behind the plate.

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, Introduction

by Nate Silver 2/01

Nate introduces this year's PECOTA-based look at ranking prospects. Today, he lays out the methodology, which includes a few key changes to how he approached this project last year.

Lies, Damned Lies: Projection Reflection

by Nate Silver 10/11

Nate examines how PECOTA matched up with a few other projection systems in 2006.

Lies, Damned Lies: Playoff Hurlers

by Nate Silver 9/27

Nate sizes up the potential playoff rotations, and gives one unexpected squad the top spot.

Lies, Damned Lies: Secret Sauce

by Nate Silver 9/20

Nate takes a lesson from Baseball Between the Numbers and examines the 2006 postseason.

Lies, Damned Lies: ELO Considers the Yankees

by Nate Silver 9/14

Nate joins BP's ELO rankings with a look at the Yankees and playoff home field advantage.

Lies, Damned Lies: What to Do With Papelbon

by Nate Silver 9/07

Nate picks up where he left off last week, and wonders what the Red Sox should do with their new closer.

Lies, Damned Lies: To Close Or Not To Close

by Nate Silver 8/30

Boston already has a Big Papi, and now they have a Big...Papel? Nate has some thoughts on whether Jonathan Papelbon's destination should be the rotation.