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01-27

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Fantasy Players to Avoid: Second Base
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-23

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The Quinton: Second Base and Changes in Landscape
by
Jeff Quinton

01-23

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Fantasy Players to Target: Second Base
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-23

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Early ADP Analysis: Second Base
by
Matt Collins

01-20

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11

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-20

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The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-20

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Player Profile: Miguel Cabrera
by
Matt Collins

01-20

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2

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: A.J. Reed vs. Dan Vogelbach
by
George Bissell

01-19

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3

The -Only League Landscape: National League First Basemen
by
Scooter Hotz

01-19

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5

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: First Basemen on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-19

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5

Tale of the Tape: Brandon Belt vs. C.J. Cron
by
Mark Barry

01-19

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4

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 First Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-18

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4

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Base
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-18

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2

The Adjuster: First Base
by
Eric Roseberry

01-18

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2

Tale of the Tape: Tommy Joseph vs. Eric Thames
by
Bryan Joiner

01-18

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9

Get to Know: First Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-17

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2

Player Profile: Hanley Ramirez
by
Wilson Karaman

01-17

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15

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-17

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Welcome to Splitsville: First Base
by
Tim Finnegan

01-17

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3

Tale of the Tape: Victor Martinez vs. Carlos Santana
by
Alex Chamberlain

01-16

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11

State of the Position: First Base
by
George Bissell

01-16

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2

Fantasy Players to Target: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-16

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5

Early ADP Analysis: First Base
by
Matt Collins

01-16

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2

The Quinton: First Basemen, Roto Categories, and Total vs. Complementary Production
by
Jeff Quinton

01-13

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8

The -Only League Landscape: National League Catchers
by
Scooter Hotz

01-13

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6

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-13

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1

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Francisco Mejia vs. Chance Sisco
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-13

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Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy
by
Jeff Quinton

01-12

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4

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Yan Gomes vs. Devin Mesoraco
by
Mark Barry

01-12

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3

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Catchers on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-12

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2

The -Only League Landscape: American League Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-11

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2

Tale of the Tape: Welington Castillo vs. Brian McCann
by
Alex Chamberlain

01-11

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The Adjuster: Catchers
by
Eric Roseberry

01-11

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1

Get to Know: Catcher Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-11

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6

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Catchers
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-10

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-10

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2

Tale of the Tape: Russell Martin vs. Matt Wieters
by
Bryan Joiner

01-10

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Player Profile: Buster Posey
by
Scooter Hotz

01-10

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3

Welcome to Splitsville: Catchers
by
Tim Finnegan

01-09

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8

Fantasy Players to Target: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-09

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7

State of the Position: Catchers
by
George Bissell

01-09

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2

Early ADP Analysis: Catchers
by
Matt Collins

01-09

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6

The Quinton: Catchers and Answers to Easier Questions
by
Jeff Quinton

01-06

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Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: OBP
by
Wilson Karaman

01-05

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1

The Over/Underachievers: On-Base Percentage
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-05

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3

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: Wins
by
Scooter Hotz

01-04

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Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Wins
by
Matt Collins

01-04

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Using Statcast Analytics for Fantasy Decisions
by
Tim Finnegan

01-04

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5

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: On-Base Percentage
by
George Bissell

01-03

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10

Fantasy Content Preview
by
Mike Gianella

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 27, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Second Base

0

BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to let someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring.

Brian Dozier, Minnesota Twins
Dozier has been a worthwhile second baseman since entering the league; no one's doubting that. He's virtual lock to crack double digits in every non-rate category and has somehow scored 100-plus runs on the lowly Twins for three straight years.

But everything that made Dozier a top-25 hitter in 2016, and not just a barely-top-100 hitter in 2015, is tied up entirely in the circumstances of last season's power surge. It depends if you believe Dozier's power stands on its own. Color me skeptical: per StatCast, his average exit velocity (on both flyballs/line drives and overall) and his Barrels per ball in play don't rank particularly well relative to his contemporaries, and neither of those metrics fundamentally changed from 2015 to 2016.


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January 23, 2017 6:00 am

The Quinton: Second Base and Changes in Landscape

0

Jeff Quinton

How to adapt to the sudden abundance of fantasy riches at the keystone.

Second Base and Changes in Landscape

You all have probably heard by now, but the second base position was incredibly productive last year in fantasy baseball and thus looks to be very deep this year. Like, really deep. How deep? Let’s take a look at that table from catchers week to point us in the right direction:

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January 23, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Target: Second Base

0

BP Fantasy Staff

Our staff identifies some potential fantasy value plays at the keystone.

Jonathan Schoop, Baltimore Orioles
Sure, Jonathan Schoop isn’t the complete package for roto owners. He only has five career steals in 390 career games and he barely walks, somewhat limiting his ability to score runs and actively hurting his value in OBP leagues. He also hit a woeful .209 as recently as 2014, something which tends to stick in the minds of fantasy players, especially ones who owned him that year. I think that in a lot of leagues, that abysmal batting average from 2014 is still baked into his price despite the fact that he hit .279 in 2015 and .267 in 2016.


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January 23, 2017 6:00 am

Early ADP Analysis: Second Base

0

Matt Collins

A look at where keystoners have been selected in the early batch of drafts this spring.

We have moved on to second base week, with everything you need to know about the keystone coming over the next five days. In this space, you’ll once again find everything you need to know about early ADP trends as you start your preliminary draft preparation. As a reminder, this is pulled from the NFBC ADP data, and the average round is assuming a 15-team league. With that housekeeping out of the way, let’s dig into this extremely top-heavy position that appears to be on the rise.

The (Very) Early Rounds

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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Basemen

11

BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to let someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring.

Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona Diamondbacks
Man, this has a chance burn me badly and make me look really stupid at the end of 2017. Paul Goldschmidt is still an awesome, amazing fantasy asset, so don't think I'm disparaging his skills or anything. It's just that he had some declines in a few areas last year that I want to shed light on.

In a year where power was up across baseball, possibly because of a juiced ball, Goldschmidt had a noticeable drop in power. His .192 ISO was exactly league average for a first baseman, and was down about 50 ISO points from where it was the prior 3 seasons, where it sat at .247. He slugged under .500 for the first time since 2012 and ranked 10th among qualified 1B in slugging, down from ranking 2nd from 2013-2015, when he slugged .556. His park and league adjusted OPS+ fell from an incredible 162 from 2013-15 to 134 in 2016, a drop of almost 30 percentage points.


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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen

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Mike Gianella

An overview of the fantasy options at this position in the junior circuit.

For some, $30 in fantasy earnings is the rarified air that makes a player elite. By this admittedly arbitrary standard, first base in the AL is not the place to shop if you are looking for an elite player. Miguel Cabrera ($30) was the only first baseman who reached this threshold in 2016. Edwin Encarnacion finished second at $26. Chris Davis exemplifies the challenge power hitters face in fantasy. His 38 home runs, 99 runs, and 84 RBI were worth $21, but his one steal and .221 batting average pushed him all the way back to $15. Cabrera and Jose Abreu were the only Top 10 AL first basemen to hit higher than .269 and provide more than one dollar of earnings from AVG, while no AL first baseman stole more than nine bases. It is difficult for three category players to earn more than $30, particularly if one of those categories isn’t stolen bases.

The expert market treaded conservatively at the position, with only one relative shot-in-the-dark based on prior performance. Table One lists the 10 most expensive AL first basemen in 2016, based on their average salaries in the CBS, LABR, and Tout Wars AL-only leagues. Position eligibility in Table One is based on each player’s status at the beginning of last season.

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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

Player Profile: Miguel Cabrera

0

Matt Collins

Can the Tigers star keep on roaring in 2017?

Player Background

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January 20, 2017 6:00 am

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: A.J. Reed vs. Dan Vogelbach

2

George Bissell

Which of these two big boppers is the better long-term fantasy bet?

A chasm deeper than the Mariana Trench has long existed between scouts and evaluators on opposite ends of the spectrum regarding A.J. Reed and Dan Vogelbach. Among the most polarizing power-hitting prospects in the game, there were those who regarded their raw hit tool, power, and superb selectivity at the dish as reasons to anoint them legit #dudes. On the other hand, there were those who still had their doubts. Whether it concerned their ability to hit left-handed pitching (completely fair) or their weight and conditioning (not really fair) is an entirely different matter.

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January 19, 2017 10:58 am

The -Only League Landscape: National League First Basemen

3

Scooter Hotz

A look at the menu of options at this position in the senior circuit.

The top end of the player pool at first base in the National League is deep, but things get dicey quickly after that. The quality drops off in a hurry before the player population abruptly ends. As my colleague Mike Gianella specifies in his Fantasy Tiered Rankings for First Basemen:

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A deeper dive into the fantasy future at this position.

Predicting future first basemen of relevance can be a tricky endeavor, as the position tends to be a landing strip for failed defensive efforts elsewhere, and true-to-form first basemen face exceedingly high natural barriers to success. After we muddle through the veteran re-treads theoretically capable of making mixed-league runs and generating some modicum of 2017 value, we’ll moved on to some longer (and longer still) term discussion. There’s enough power among the veteran prospects who fell short of Bret’s Top 50 list to warrant some turned heads, with a couple of A-ball guys sitting under Shaw who I like for watch lists in even medium-depth leagues this year. Unfortunately, last year’s draft class was especially brutal for first-base talent, with all of two guys drafted as cold cornermen garnering so much as a $200,000 bonus. But then there are some intriguing names on down the 2017-and-beyond line, and organizational purview will of course add depth to this list as the season wears on and hope for more polished leather wears out.

Here is my look from last week at catchers, which includes an introduction to the series. And now, on to the depths of the first-base position for 2017.

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January 19, 2017 6:00 am

Tale of the Tape: Brandon Belt vs. C.J. Cron

5

Mark Barry

Which of these two alliterative West Coasters is the better bet for your fantasy team in 2017?

This week we’re taking a look at two young-ish, alliterative first basemen repping the West Coast. At 28 years old, Brandon Belt is coming off of one of his most productive seasons as a pro, one year removed from signing a lucrative contract extension to keep him by the Bay. C.J. Cron got off to a hot start in 2016, but the embers were quickly extinguished by an errant Mike Wright fastball (bet you didn’t think you were going to read about Mike Wright today, huh?) in July, leading to surgery and missed time for the 27-year-old slugger. Who will be better long term? I’m glad you asked. Let’s dive in.

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January 19, 2017 6:00 am

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 First Basemen

4

Bret Sayre

Stacking up the players at this position for the long haul.

We, at Baseball Prospectus, have been talking about cold corner inhabitants for a while now (three days and change to be exact, depending on when you are reading this) and the party continues to rage on. Yet before we rage, we shall calibrate—since rankings aren’t useful without knowing what you’re reading. The list you are about to read here presupposes a 16-team standard (read: 5x5 roto) dynasty format, in which there are no contracts/salaries, players can be kept forever, and owners have minor-league farm systems in which to hoard prospects. So feel free to adjust this as necessary for your individual league, whether it’s moving non-elite prospects without 2016 ETAs down if you don’t have separate farm teams or moving lower-risk, lower-reward players up in deeper mixed or -only formats.

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