CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Vote in the Internet Baseball Awards for a chance at a free copy of Dollar Sign on the Muscle
Voting ends in 15 days and 15 hours

<< Previous Article
Baseball ProGUESTus: H... (07/09)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Tra... (07/09)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Sec... (07/17)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Home-Co... (07/10)

July 10, 2013

Fantasy Freestyle

The Resurgence of John Danks

by Jason Collette

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Shoulder injuries are a very scary thing for pitchers. Fans get frustrated at pitchers that go the rest-and-rehabilitation route, which almost inevitably only delays the surgery that most of those pitchers undergo. It is tough to blame teams and pitchers for going the conservative route after looking at what happened to the likes of Brien Taylor, Mark Prior, and, most recently, Johan Santana. And we can now add another pitcher to that fray: John Danks.

Danks had his 2012 season cut short by a shoulder injury that was initially diagnosed as small tear that would not require surgery. May became June, which became July, and August brought along a surgery that included repairing a shoulder capsule tear, damage to his rotator cuff, and a debridement of his biceps tendon. Worse yet, all of this happened in the first season of Danks’s latest contract extension, which will pay him $57 million through the 2016 season.

The good news is the early returns in 2013 have been promising, particularly since the lefty returned from the disabled list in late May. He has logged a 4.31 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP while holding opposing hitters to a .256 batting average. His ERA does not pair up well with his WHIP, because he has allowed 11 home runs in just 56 1/3 innings of work. That home-run issue is something that has plagued him from time to time in the past, but his overall production is very much like his work before the 2012 season.

YEAR

PA

BA

OPS

K%

BB%

2009

839

.245

.726

17.8%

8.7%

2010

878

.237

.657

18.4%

8.0%

2011

728

.274

.752

18.5%

6.3%

2012

238

.273

.790

12.6%

9.7%

2013

228

.256

.742

18.0%

3.1%

Danks has recovered his ability to strike batters out that he lost with the unhealthy shoulder last year, while also finding the strike zone with increased regularity compared to previous seasons. This is good news considering the fact Danks is working with less velocity since his return from surgery.

One thing that has helped Danks regain his ability to strike batters out with decreased velocity is an increase in the use of his changeup.

Danks is both using his changeup with a higher frequency and using it more against same-handed hitters, which was something Ben Lindbergh covered last week. Danks used his changeup around 27 percent of the time from 2009 to 2011, but that usage has jumped up to approximately 34 percent this season, as he works to reinvent himself.

The fact that Danks has been able to find some of the best success of his career in terms of swings and misses despite diminished velocity is encouraging. Watching Danks pitch his last two outings provided enough positive evidence for me to trade Brad Miller for him straight up in an AL-Only keeper league yesterday.

Jason Collette is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jason's other articles. You can contact Jason by clicking here

Related Content:  MLB,  Fantasy,  John Danks

5 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Baseball ProGUESTus: H... (07/09)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Tra... (07/09)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Sec... (07/17)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Home-Co... (07/10)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Edinson Volquez
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Are Elite Pitchers Becomi...
Premium Article Pitching Backward: In Love With Lohse
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Angels vs....
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Recap
Premium Article Moonshot: Fastballs and the Collapsing A's
Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Orioles vs...

MORE FROM JULY 10, 2013
Premium Article Manufactured Runs: The Mystery of the Missin...
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Matt Harvey, Ross Detwiler, ...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Chicago Firepower
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July ...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, July 10
Fantasy Article Sporer Report: Home-Cooking Starters
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: July 10, 2...

MORE BY JASON COLLETTE
2013-08-02 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 53 is Live!
2013-07-23 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 52 is Live
2013-07-10 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Win a Book!
2013-07-10 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: The Resurgence of John Da...
2013-07-10 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 51 is (Finally) ...
2013-07-02 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Not Dunn Yet
2013-06-28 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 50 is Live!
More...

MORE FANTASY FREESTYLE
2013-07-29 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Dumping and Correctly Cal...
2013-07-22 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Does Skill Matter?
2013-07-17 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Second-Half Risers and Fa...
2013-07-10 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: The Resurgence of John Da...
2013-07-09 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Vetoes
2013-07-02 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Not Dunn Yet
2013-07-01 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: A Primer on Player Valuat...
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2013-07-12 - Premium Article What You Need to Know: The Indians' and Orio...