CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (06/16)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Cat... (06/12)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Tim... (06/19)
Next Article >>
The Week In Quotes: Ju... (06/17)

June 17, 2013

Fantasy Freestyle

Auction Data: Where the Bargains Fall

by Mike Gianella


Nothing annoys me more than when a reader asks a good question and I don’t get around to answering it. One of my favorite things as a fantasy baseball writer is answering readers’ questions directly. So while this question isn’t a particularly relevant one midseason, hopefully it will still provide some value for my readers, and is something that they will remember and take with them into 2014 and beyond.

Have you ever tried charting auctions to watch where the money gets spent?

The answer is yes. Yes, I have.

For years, I have kept a round-by-round log of my American League home league auctions. This log is primarily for my own personal use. I like to look back and see how I valued players, what they went for, and how I did at predicting how well or poorly each player would do. But I can also use these data to see how my auctions typically progress. Where does the money typically get spent: in the beginning, in the middle, or at the end?

Table 1: Home League Auction Data by “Round”: 2004-2013

Round

Year

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

2004

14

21

-22

-25

-38

-5

-6

-15

4

12

21

7

12

8

2005

-13

-12

-23

-16

-24

-5

0

-17

22

4

18

19

20

10

2006

10

-11

-23

-13

-13

5

13

-2

3

5

21

12

8

2007

-20

-6

-10

-19

-13

-21

-5

7

7

20

14

18

14

2008

-22

-7

-9

-6

-7

6

14

-21

-9

3

-2

28

17

2009

-8

-10

-8

-4

-11

-17

-7

14

5

18

10

10

6

2010

-20

-18

-21

-7

1

8

10

3

4

16

10

11

5

2011

-4

-8

-7

-11

-17

-5

13

2

11

7

14

5

2

2

2012

1

-21

-18

1

-1

-6

7

4

5

-2

17

16

17

2013

10

-24

13

-16

4

-10

-15

-10

10

-12

22

13

17

Totals

-52

-96

-128

-116

-119

-50

24

-35

62

71

145

139

118

20

As I always do, before I move forward with the analysis, it’s useful to explain what you are looking at in the chart above.

Each “round” consists of 12 players purchased with the exceptions of Rounds 13 and 14, which are often “irregular” in shape. Typically, there are on average about 10 players frozen per team, which is why this isn’t a 23-“round” auction.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Related Content:  MLB,  Fantasy,  Auctions

3 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (06/16)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Cat... (06/12)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Tim... (06/19)
Next Article >>
The Week In Quotes: Ju... (06/17)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week Four
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, Apr...
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Squandered Promise of the D...
Premium Article Explaining Spending
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Platoonies Never Say Die
Overthinking It: The Obligatory Article Abou...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Pineda and Pine Tar, ...

MORE FROM JUNE 17, 2013
Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: June 17
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Blanks Shoots Padres ...
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Profar-Free TA
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, June 17
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of June 14-16
The Week In Quotes: June 10-16
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: June 17, 2...

MORE BY MIKE GIANELLA
2013-06-24 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: The Biggest Losers (So Fa...
2013-06-20 - Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 12
2013-06-20 - Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: What Have You Done for Me La...
2013-06-17 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Data: Where the B...
2013-06-13 - Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week 11
2013-06-13 - Fantasy Article Bullpen Report: Buyers and Sellers
2013-06-10 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fast Starts and Slow Star...
More...

MORE FANTASY FREESTYLE
2013-06-26 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Patience is a Virtue
2013-06-24 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: The Biggest Losers (So Fa...
2013-06-19 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Time for a Change
2013-06-17 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Auction Data: Where the B...
2013-06-12 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Catcher Acquisition: A Mi...
2013-06-10 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fast Starts and Slow Star...
2013-06-05 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Can (Domonic) Brown Do En...
More...