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June 5, 2014

Free Agent Watch

Week 10

by Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre


Welcome back to our weekly walk through some of the players who may want to keep an extra eye on in your leagues. Mike and I will be tackling this topic on Thursdays again and focusing on a singular hitter and pitcher in four of the more popular formats: shallow mixed, deep mixed, NL-only and AL-only. These are certainly not the only players who are worth pickups, but it gives us a nice opportunity to write about players we have close tabs on in our leagues.

12-TEAM MIXED

Mark Reynolds, 1B/3B, Milwaukee Brewers
We all know what Reynolds is at this point, and it’s that knowledge that led to him be a very underwhelming draft pick this year. In fact, even in Mixed LABR, a 15-team league, Mike and I were able to secure Reynolds in the reserve round. However, 13 homers later (including five in the last two weeks), he’s become a very legitimate shallow league option. All of the rate stats are right in line with his career numbers, and most importantly, his fly ball rate has harkened back to his big power days at 48.2 percent. On the other hand, you may be tempted to see his .227 BABIP and think he’s capable of bringing his batting average up in a meaningful way. It may sneak up to around .220, but with a 25 percent infield-fly-ball rate, anything higher than that would take good fortune. —Bret Sayre

Comparable Player: Pedro Alvarez

Henderson Alvarez, SP, Miami Marlins
Especially after a complete-game shutout of an admittedly depleted Tampa Bay Rays team, I was very surprised to see how low Alvarez’s ownership levels remained. Right now, he’s owned in just seven percent of ESPN leagues and less than 20 percent of Yahoo! formats. Sure, the strikeout rate isn’t super attractive, but unless you’re in a K/9 league, he will get enough of them due to his bulk innings that it won’t matter so much. The strong ground-ball rate, strong offense in front of him, and generous home park (Alvarez has historically had issues with the long ball) are all factors in his favor and make him someone who should be owned across just about all leagues at this point. On top of that, he has a very favorable short-term schedule (his next three starts come against the Cubs, Pirates, and Mets). —Bret Sayre

Comparable Player: Tim Hudson

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<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Kee... (06/05)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (05/30)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week... (06/12)
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