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February 14, 2014

Fantasy Team Preview

Philadelphia Phillies

by Mike Gianella


It’s easy and fun to make jokes about how old the Phillies are, but the team’s advanced age curve does have an impact from a fantasy perspective. Nine players on the team’s projected Opening Day roster are 33 years of age or older. Post-peak players aren’t worthless and certainly can provide fantasy value. However, discounts have to be built in for potential injuries and breakdowns, especially in deeper leagues where good replacement level players are harder to find. The Phillies are becoming a Bermuda Triangle in fantasy: a lot of players are worth owning, but the risk factor here is high in many cases.

Projected Lineup

  1. CF Ben Revere
  2. SS Jimmy Rollins
  3. 2B Chase Utley
  4. 1B Ryan Howard
  5. RF Marlon Byrd
  6. LF Domonic Brown
  7. C Carlos Ruiz
  8. 3B Cody Asche
  9. Pitcher

Utley is arguably the best hitter in the Phillies lineup at-bat for at-bat, but he has played 115, 103, 83, and 131 games over the last four years. He’s productive but offers a combination of age and injury risk. Howard has even more questions surrounding his health/long term outlook. A 30-HR, 100-RBI season would be a nice get for fantasy owners, but seems like a stretch at this point.

The Phillies had a pretty quiet offseason, with Byrd the most significant acquisition. It isn’t a good idea to rely on him to duplicate last year, but he is unlikely to completely drop off like he did in 2012. Rollins and Ruiz continue the theme of older players who can’t be counted on to do bounce back/do what they have done in the past. Revere is a potential stolen base king, but even in a steals depressed context, it’s difficult to carry a player who is so one-dimensional.

Projected Bench

The best options for deep league players are Mayberry and Ruf, depending on what happens with Howard against left-handed pitching. Ruf had the better numbers last year but is the rare player who unifies sabermetric and scouting guys in disbelief that the magic can continue. Galvis and Frandsen are both likely to get time in the infield for aging veterans Rollins and Utley but are worth little in fantasy.

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<< Previous Article
Fantasy Article Dynasty League Positio... (02/14)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Team Preview: ... (02/12)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Team Preview: ... (02/18)
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Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Extensi... (02/14)

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