CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Eyewitness Accounts: S... (09/06)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Mo... (09/04)
Next Column >>
Pebble Hunting: The Je... (09/09)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/07)

September 6, 2013

Pebble Hunting

Mike Trout vs. David Price

by Sam Miller


On Thursday, the best 22-year-old hitter you’ve probably ever seen faced the defending American League Cy Young Award winner and, more recently still, the Cliffliest pitcher in the league. Mike Trout entered the game second in the league in OBP and third in slugging percentage, an almost indefensible hitter who was third in the circuit in extra-base hits and also third in infield hits. In his previous 200 plate appearances, he he had .380/.512/.627. Since late June, his BABIP was .464. Etc. David Price entered the game on a 12-start run (since returning from the disabled list) in which he had struck out 67 while walking only seven, in 89 innings. In that time he threw 71 percent strikes, up from 65 percent in his Cy Young 2012 season.

Or, to simplify: It’s the league’s walk leader against the pitcher with the league’s lowest walk rate. The only thing that could make this matchup any better is if I was eating a burrito while watching. Well, hey, would you look at this….

Previous matchups
Price and Trout faced each other three times in a game in August 2012. Trout didn’t put a ball in play, drawing a five-pitch walk surrounded by two backward Ks. This is particularly notable in that Price is really good at getting backward Ks against righties: 33 of his 83 strikeouts against righties have been looking, including 13 with his cutter and 15 with his sinker, and overall his strikeout-looking rate is nearly double the league average. Says R.J. Anderson, “he's got a very specific formula for dispatching RHB and he never sees lefties really. Once he gets to two strikes against a right-hander he’s able to go away with the cutter or inside with the fastball. Both wind up over the black.” That’s almost exactly what happened when he faced Trout last year. The first plate appearance:

Trout froze on the cutter away. The third plate appearance (after a walk in which Trout never swung):

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Related Content:  David Price,  Mike Trout

2 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Eyewitness Accounts: S... (09/06)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Mo... (09/04)
Next Column >>
Pebble Hunting: The Je... (09/09)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (09/07)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article What You Need to Know: August 29, 2014
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: This Article Mentions Fehlan...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, August 29
Premium Article The Call-Up: Dilson Herrera
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, Augu...
Prospectus Feature: Roast A Parks
Premium Article Raising Aces: Mis-Priced

MORE FROM SEPTEMBER 6, 2013
Premium Article Raising Aces: Taijuan Walker, the Debut Ante
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Thursday's Wild Card ...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, September 6
Fantasy Article Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24
Fantasy Article Five to Watch: Would-Be, Could-Be Closers
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: September ...
The BP Wayback Machine: Locking it Up: Does ...

MORE BY SAM MILLER
2013-09-09 - Pebble Hunting: The Jeff Mathis Effect on Jo...
2013-09-09 - BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 2...
2013-09-09 - BP Unfiltered: Does The Windows 8 Kid Really...
2013-09-06 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Mike Trout vs. David Price
2013-09-06 - BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 2...
2013-09-05 - BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 2...
2013-09-04 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Most Depressing Age-27 S...
More...

MORE PEBBLE HUNTING
2013-09-13 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Casting the Most Unconventio...
2013-09-11 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The A's and Building a Bullp...
2013-09-09 - Pebble Hunting: The Jeff Mathis Effect on Jo...
2013-09-06 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Mike Trout vs. David Price
2013-09-04 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Most Depressing Age-27 S...
2013-08-30 - Pebble Hunting: What We Rap About When We Ra...
2013-08-26 - Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Five Myths About the Angels'...
More...