CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Futures Guide 2014 is Now Available in Paperback and Three E-book Formats.

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (05/08)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Ask... (05/08)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fou... (05/10)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Painting the Black: Ha... (05/08)

May 8, 2013

Fantasy Freestyle

Fernando Rodney: Tapped Out?

by Jason Collette


This year’s player profile for Fernando Rodney closed with this note: “The Rays' 2013 option on Rodney pays him $2.5 million. If he's only half as good as he was last year, he'll still be a bargain.”

So far, the Rays, their fans (save your tired jokes), and fantasy owners wish he was even a fourth as good as he was last year. The Archer is struggling to hit his targets in 2013.

Saying Rodney is missing his targets is being kind. Carlos Marmol is the closer people love to make fun of for wildness and a propensity to blow saves, but these days, it is rather tough to differentiate between Marmol and Rodney. Marmol has walked 19 percent of the hitters he has faced while throwing just 56 percent of his pitches for strikes, while Rodney has thrown 58 percent of his pitches for strikes while walking 17 percent of the hitters he has faced. That 58 percent rate from Rodney matches his career-low rate from 2011.

Last season’s 417 opponents’ OPS has more than doubled, moving up to 836 in 2013. He is permitting hitters to get on base at a .373 rate, getting fewer swings and misses, enticing fewer overall swings from hitters, and getting fewer chases. The life on Rodney’s pitches is visibly different, and the fact that hitters are swinging at his pitches out of the zone just 23 percent of the time this season compared to 34 percent in 2012 is evidence of diminished movement.

While watching Rodney pitch, you can see that his mechanics are all over the place. In 2012, his primary delivery involved what essentially was a slide step toward home plate, as demonstrated here:

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Related Content:  Fernando Rodney,  Balance

2 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around ... (05/08)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Ask... (05/08)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fou... (05/10)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Painting the Black: Ha... (05/08)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Fantasy Article Free Agent Watch: Week Four
Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, Apr...
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Squandered Promise of the D...
Premium Article Explaining Spending
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Platoonies Never Say Die
Overthinking It: The Obligatory Article Abou...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Pineda and Pine Tar, ...

MORE FROM MAY 8, 2013
The Lineup Card: 10 Things We've Learned So ...
Premium Article What You Need to Know: What Choo Think is Wr...
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, May 8
Out of Left Field: Your Summer Baseball Gift...
Premium Article Painting the Black: Hanson Devil
Premium Article Daily Roundup: Around the League: May 8th, 2...
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Ask the Experts

MORE BY JASON COLLETTE
2013-05-19 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 45: You Spin Me ...
2013-05-15 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: An Out-of-Tune Vogelsong
2013-05-14 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 44 is live
2013-05-08 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fernando Rodney: Tapped O...
2013-05-05 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 43: Poetic Justi...
2013-04-30 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Nate McLouth's Renaissanc...
2013-04-28 - BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 42: Stay Hot
More...

MORE FANTASY FREESTYLE
2013-05-15 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: An Out-of-Tune Vogelsong
2013-05-13 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look B...
2013-05-10 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Four Hot Hitters
2013-05-08 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Fernando Rodney: Tapped O...
2013-05-08 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Ask the Experts
2013-05-07 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Beware of the Tribe
2013-05-03 - Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Lineup Movers
More...