CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Internet Baseball Awar... (11/09)
<< Previous Column
Resident Fantasy Geniu... (11/05)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (11/15)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage: 201... (11/12)

November 12, 2012

Resident Fantasy Genius

The Value Picks We Got Right

by Derek Carty


A couple weeks ago, I looked back over my best and worst predictions of the 2012 season, but I held off on examining the guys I singled out in my preseason Fantasy Tier Rankings as “value picks.” I thought it would be interesting to look at them separately, which I’ll take the time to do today. I’ll focus solely on guys from the one-, two-, and three-star tiers; that’s where you’re going to find the most value, since everyone knows that Albert Pujols is good, even if he was technically one of my “value picks.”

In each of the tables below, you’ll find my value picks along with their stats, their final value in mixed and AL-/NL-only leagues according to our PFM, what the player cost in Tout Wars (Mixed for three stars and AL/NL for one and two stars), and how they performed relative to their Tout Wars price. Keep in mind that when making these tiers I wasn’t attempting to beat Tout’s prices. Tout Wars is made up of some of the smartest fantasy baseball players on the planet and is a rigorous standard to hold oneself to. Instead, I was calling a player a “value” based on my subjective notion of how they would be valued in a normal, non-expert league. I’m using Tout Wars because it’s the only objective standard I have to compare to (and because I love challenges), so keep in mind that in a non-expert league, it’s likely some of these players would have cost less on draft day (and the profit margin would have been higher).

Three-Stars

Name

POS

PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG

Mixed $

AL/NL $

Tout Mixed

Diff.

Ryan Doumit

C

528

56

18

75

0

0.275

$13

$14

$6

+$7

Edwin Encarnacion

1B/3B

644

93

42

110

13

0.280

$29

$32

$9

+$20

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

4 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Internet Baseball Awar... (11/09)
<< Previous Column
Resident Fantasy Geniu... (11/05)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (11/15)
Next Article >>
Premium Article Collateral Damage: 201... (11/12)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Scouting the Draft: Corner Outfielders to Kn...
Premium Article Daily Hit List: Tuesday, May 21
Baseball ProGUESTus: Dollar Sign on the Glis...
Premium Article Punk Hits: Eyes on the Prize
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Shift's PR Problem
Premium Article What You Need to Know: Corb Your Enthusiasm
Overthinking It: The Pitches No Zone Can Con...

MORE FROM NOVEMBER 12, 2012
Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Colorado Ro...
Baseball Therapy: Assessing the Risk: Hamilt...
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: How Many MVP Votes Will Ryan...
Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Monday, November 12
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The One Where David Ro...
Premium Article Collateral Damage: 2012 Year-End Injury Summ...
The Week In Quotes: November 5-11

MORE BY DEREK CARTY
2012-11-19 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Scouting Hyun-Jin R...
2012-11-15 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Reviewing Our 10 Bo...
2012-11-14 - Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Toronto Blue Jays ...
2012-11-12 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The Value Picks We ...
2012-11-05 - Resident Fantasy Genius: Q&A with Brian Kenn...
2012-10-29 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got Wro...
2012-10-24 - Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Ti...
More...

MORE RESIDENT FANTASY GENIUS
2012-11-26 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Reviewing This Offs...
2012-11-19 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Scouting Hyun-Jin R...
2012-11-15 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Reviewing Our 10 Bo...
2012-11-12 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The Value Picks We ...
2012-11-05 - Resident Fantasy Genius: Q&A with Brian Kenn...
2012-10-29 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got Wro...
2012-10-22 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got Rig...
More...