October 8, 2012

Playoff Prospectus

ALDS Game Two Preview: Yankees at Orioles

by Daniel Rathman

The Orioles are not allowed to lose one-run games, so after Russell Martin led off the ninth inning of Game One with a home run, Jim Johnson decided to serve up a four-run rally, turning a 2-2 nailbiter into a 7-2 rout. Can the O’s even the series before heading up to the Bronx? Here are the PECOTA odds and projected starting lineups for Game Two:

Yankees (Andy Pettitte) at Orioles (Wei-Yin Chen) – 8:00 p.m. ET

PECOTA Odds of Winning: Yankees 52.2 percent, Orioles 48.8 percent

Projected Starting Lineups:

Yankees vs. Chen (L)

Orioles vs. Pettitte (L)

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers. Not a subscriber? Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web. Cancel anytime. That's a 33% savings over the monthly price! That's a 33% savings over the monthly price! Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in. 2 comments have been left for this article. BP Comment Quick Links code of conduct Schere (39923) Hardy has batted in the 2-hole all year despite his .282 OBP. Some day, perhaps the O's will return him to the bottom of the lineup. But for now, he's probably the worst 2-hitter in baseball. Oct 08, 2012 11:30 AM link rating: 0   Daniel Rathman BP staff (31349) It's interesting that two playoff teams (the Reds, Zack Cozart) have number-two hitters with sub-.300 OBPs. Oct 08, 2012 13:54 PM link   Sorry, fantasy subscribers cannot comment on exclusive premium content. << Previous Article Monday Morning Ten Pac... (10/08) << Previous Column Playoff Prospectus: NL... (10/08) Next Column >> Playoff Prospectus: AL... (10/08) Next Article >> Playoff Prospectus: AL... (10/08) RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS Daily Hit List: Friday, May 24 Transaction Analysis: Demotion Pictures What Makes a Good Changeup? What You Need to Know: Searching for Jesus Eyewitness Accounts: May 24, 2013 Overthinking It: The Longest Plate Appearanc... Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framin... MORE FROM OCTOBER 8, 2012 Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: N... Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Recap: Tig... Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Nat... Bizball: Inside 2012 MLB Attendance, Plus Po... Transaction Analysis: Managerial Movement The Week In Quotes: October 1-7 Collateral Damage Daily: Monday, October 8 MORE BY DANIEL RATHMAN 2012-10-10 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four Preview: ... 2012-10-09 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Three Preview:... 2012-10-09 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Preview:... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Preview: Y... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: N... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: R... 2012-10-07 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Preview: Y... More... MORE PLAYOFF PROSPECTUS 2012-10-09 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Preview:... 2012-10-09 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Recap: Car... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game One Recap: Yan... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Preview: Y... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Preview: N... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Two Recap: Red... 2012-10-08 - Playoff Prospectus: ALDS Game Two Recap: Tig... More... Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Customer Service  |  Newsletter  |  Masthead  |  Glossary  |  Contact Us Copyright © 1996-2013 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.            Surprise Me!