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August 27, 2007, 11:05 PM ET
Brewers Blowing It

by Nate Silver

The original title of this post was to be “Milwaukee Blows”, but I have a lot of friends and family in that state (my parents met at Madison, where my dad was briefly in the same graduate school program as Dick Cheney), so we’ll take it easy.

The Brewers have blown a lot of leads this year — 13 times they have been ahead by at least three runs, and gone on to lose the ballgame. Even more remarkably, nine of those losses have come since July 28, which is the sort of thing that gets managers and pitching coaches fired.

Our friends at ESPN Radio Milwaukee asked us if this is an historic number: has a team ever turned that many 3-run leads into losses and gone on to make the playoffs? The answer is yes, although it isn’t easy to do. Since 1959, just two teams have blown more than 13 3-run leads and advanced to the playoffs: the 1974 Pirates, who lost 14 ballgames that way, and the 1963 Dodgers, who lost 18 (that Dodger team had a staff ERA of 2.85, so this has to be one of the stranger statistics of all time). Several other teams did blow exactly 13 games and make the playoffs — but of course, the Brewers still have five more weeks to surpass that threshold.

The all-time leaders in this category (well, since 1959) are listed below. Thanks to BP MVP Bil Burke for processing the request.

year  team  blown
2000	HOU	20
1998	SEA	20
1998	FLO	19
1999	KCA	19
1971	WS2	19
1996	KCA	18
2002	TOR	18
1963	CHN	18
1963	LAN*	18
2004	PHI	17
1963	PHI	17
1986	OAK	17
2005	TBA	17
1973	MIL	16
2002	TBA	16
2004	CIN	16
2006	KCA	16
2003	TOR	16
1997	KCA	16
1987	ATL	16
1989	SEA	16
1996	BOS	16
2000	PIT	16
1999	SLN	15
1973	ATL	15
1992	PHI	15
2001	PIT	15
2000	CLE	15
1997	ANA	15
1985	CLE	15
1963	HOU	15
2004	MON	15
2000	KCA	15
1997	BOS	15
1998	LAN	15
1970	SFN	15
1986	LAN	15
2003	CLE	15
1980	MIL	15
2001	FLO	15
1960	CHN	14
2002	TEX	14
1987	CLE	14
1996	DET	14
1986	MIN	14
1987	BOS	14
1991	CLE	14
1999	SFN	14
1962	CHN	14
1971	MIN	14
1974	PIT*	14
1975	HOU	14
1991	MON	14
2002	PHI	14
2004	TOR	14
1996	SFN	14
2001	TBA	14
2004	COL	14
1959	DET	14
1998	SLN	14
2002	DET	14
1973	TEX	13
2000	MIN	13
1995	DET	13
1996	SEA	13
1999	OAK	13
2000	TEX	13
2004	CLE	13
1995	SEA*	13
1998	CHN*	13
1978	LAN*	13
1979	SEA	13
2002	ANA*	13
2004	DET	13
2007	MIL	13    <------------------------
1989	BOS	13
1995	MIN	13
2000	OAK*	13
2005	BOS*	13
1979	KCA	13
2006	LAN	13
1988	KCA	13
1999	CHN	13
2004	SFN	13
2005	TEX	13
1979	NYA	13
1984	MIL	13
* made playoffs

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