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05-27

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8

Fantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

02-26

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8

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part Two
by
Mike Gianella

02-25

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9

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part One: 1-55
by
Mike Gianella

01-26

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14

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Second Base
by
Mike Gianella

01-12

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18

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

03-27

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP
by
Wilson Karaman

01-27

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21

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Third Base
by
Craig Goldstein

01-20

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16

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Second Base
by
Mike Gianella

12-30

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Consuming the Positional Series
by
Jeff Quinton

02-12

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15

Pebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect Trajectories
by
Sam Miller

10-09

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34

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: I’ve Been Thinking About...
by
Jason Parks

04-16

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30

BP Unfiltered: Tracking 2012's Top Prospects
by
Bradley Ankrom

11-02

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0

Wezen-Ball: Player Rankings for Type A/B Calculations, 1982-1984
by
Larry Granillo

02-23

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9

Fantasy Beat: (Update) Combined Outfielder Rankings
by
Marc Normandin

01-04

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10

Fantasy Beat: Rankings Review: First Base
by
Marc Normandin

12-11

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29

Fantasy Focus: Third Base Rankings Review
by
Marc Normandin

12-04

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23

Fantasy Focus: Second Base Rankings Review
by
Marc Normandin

11-20

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37

Fantasy Focus: First Base Rankings Review
by
Marc Normandin

05-19

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0

Prospectus Preview: Monday's Games to Watch
by
Caleb Peiffer

04-02

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0

Prospectus Preview: Wednesday's Games to Watch
by
Caleb Peiffer

01-10

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0

Future Shock: AL Top 11 Prospects Update
by
Kevin Goldstein

11-06

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0

Prospectus Toolbox: Free Agent Compensation Rankings
by
Derek Jacques

10-17

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0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Digging in the Hit List Sandbox
by
Jay Jaffe

04-27

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1

Lies, Damned Lies: The PECOTA Top 100
by
Nate Silver

02-01

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0

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, Introduction
by
Nate Silver

02-24

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0

Fantasy Focus: Building a Fantasy Farm System
by
Jeff Erickson

06-17

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0

College World Series
by
Boyd Nation

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

May 27, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Draft Rankings: The Updated Top 300

8

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

Mike and Bret revise their preseason rankings, incorporating early-season performance.

This is an updated list of the Top 300 players as ranked by Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella. This list is a consolidated ranking of the positional rankings from earlier this week, and assumes the same eligibility requirements as those articles.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

February 26, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part Two

8

Mike Gianella

Breaking down the remaining rotation options into fantasy-value-based bins.

To read the previous articles in this series, follow the links below:

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

February 25, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part One: 1-55

9

Mike Gianella

From Clayton Kershaw to Luis Severino, the top three tiers of our rotation-arm rankings.

To read the previous articles in this series, follow the links below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 26, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Second Base

14

Mike Gianella

Breaking down the second sackers into fantasy-value-based bins.

To read the previous editions in this series, follow the links below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 12, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers

18

Mike Gianella

Breaking down this year's backstop group into fantasy-value-based bins.

Today, we kick off our positional tier rankings. For the fifth year in a row, we have made this into a collaborative effort. Players at each position will be divided into five tiers, represented by a “star” rating.

Five-star players are the studs at their position. In general, they are the players who will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and they will fetch mixed-league auction bids in excess of $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be early-round selections, and they are projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late-round sleepers and roster placeholders. The positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of last year’s values but rather try to offer some insights into what we expect will happen in 2016.

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP

5

Wilson Karaman

Comparing when the fantasy staff would advise you to take players to when they're actually being selected.

This article took shape thanks to the comments and suggestions of BP readers Tuck and TroJim. The former noted that a column elaborating on some of the larger discrepancies between Mike Gianella’s Top 300 list and current ADP numbers might be a helpful exercise in helping drafters determine value, and I agree. And then in a response to questions about the utility of our Darkhorses series focusing on generally known and highly drafted players, TroJim made the following excellent point: “Like the stock market... some people try to get rich on penny stocks and others find success in discerning which blue chips will perform the best.”

And lo, a column was born. I’m going to focus this article on the players with the largest gaps between our own ranking and ADP from the top 84 names on Mike’s list, as that cutoff represents the top six rounds of a standard 14-team league. I don’t think I’m breaking much ground with this declaration, but the top six rounds of a draft are extremely important rounds. These are your blue chip players, the foundation upon which your team is built. It’s possible to win with an underwhelming start, but it’s awfully difficult.

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January 27, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Third Base

21

Craig Goldstein

Breaking down the position into fantasy-value-based bins.

To read the previous editions in this series, follow the links below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

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January 20, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Second Base

16

Mike Gianella

Breaking down the position into value-based bins.

To read the previous editions in this series, follow the links below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 30, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Consuming the Positional Series

2

Jeff Quinton

How to make the most of the upcoming rankings.

Thanks to an annual calendar and our current place on that calendar, we can write sentiments such as, “with 2014 soon coming to an end, baseball looks toward the horizon with excitement, knowing the 2015 season soon approaches.” For the fantasy baseball community, even closer than the actual baseball season comes rankings, sleeper, bust, and strategy season. Continuing this onslaught of excitement is the Positional Series that will be rolled out here at Baseball Prospectus. The plan is that this series will roll out using the same format as last season, just bigger and better. One-year, three-year, and dynasty rankings will be produced, players will be profiled, prospects will be analyzed for fantasy purposes, sleepers and busts will be selected, and relevant strategies will be discussed.

This is a safe place and no one would blame you if you were salivating just a little bit (if more than a little bit, one might consider a shawarma or a handful of almonds) because all this information, content, and analysis sounds like a great way to prepare for the upcoming season. Alas, there is a wrinkle here that once ironed out, should further improve this said preparation; that being what we take away from all this information. The first part—the rankings or how players compare—is obvious. The second and potentially more beneficial part—the thinking behind the rankings and analysis—is not as obvious. Below we will take a look at why we are too likely to get caught up in the former, all while overlooking the latter too frequently. We will also take a look at how to improve these tendencies for this upcoming offseason.

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February 12, 2014 6:00 am

Pebble Hunting: The Importance of Top Prospect Trajectories

15

Sam Miller

Does a big drop in a top prospect's ranking presage a disappointing career to come?

If you’re the sort of fan with only enough mental storage space to keep track of the top 101 or so prospects, you may officially quit paying attention to Mike Olt, Trevor Story, Rymer Liriano, Kaleb Cowart, Taylor Guerrieri, Bubba Starling, Danny Hultzen, Mason Williams, Luis Heredia, Arodys Vizcaino, J.R. Graham, Alen Hanson, Allen Webster, Jake Marisnick, Justin Nicolino, Hak-Ju Lee, Casey Kelly, Tyrell Jenkins, Clayton Blackburn, Dorssys Paulino, Sean Nolin, Michael Fulmer, Lewis Brinson, Delino DeShields. All were top 101 prospects last year, but things happen to prospects (they break your heart) and none is this year. You can just rewrite over those brain cells.

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October 9, 2012 5:00 am

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: I’ve Been Thinking About...

34

Jason Parks

Jason's been thinking about the offseason, including rankings, playoff performances, and pre-playoff non performances.

I’ve been thinking about….. prospect rankings. The time of year is near, and I’ve started to make calls and I’ve started to take notes and I’ve started to put the parts of the machine together. One of the reasons I was never keen on prospect ranking had more to do with the process than the finished product, which, I will admit, has value despite a shelf life that makes it obsolete before you can find comfort in it. The process is the real creature here, as the definition of prospect value is always up for debate, with some offering grand rewards for high ceilings, some for skill maturity, some rewarding proximity to the majors, and some ranking prospects based solely on statistical output. Because value is in the eye of the value beholder, there isn’t a wrong way to organize and rank prospects, as the subjective nature of the process keeps us tied to individual philosophies and category weights. But one shouldn’t assume that all rankings are therefore created equal, and that throwing darts onto a board with prospect faces is a better method of classification than picking up a phone and talking to the industry tasked with prospect evaluation.

Or is it? My eyes have been privy to a few teams’ internal prospect rankings, compiled by their scouts on the ground and their analysts in the office, and even though the process of the product is more complex, I’ve been just as bewildered looking at a team’s list as I have been looking at a Bleacher Report slideshow of the top prospects in the game. The truth is that I’m not sure how the new BP rankings will be received, and even though they will be thoroughly researched and examined, the weight I assign to any specific attribute or characteristic will be based on a personal preference, and as a result, the BP list that I put a bow on will look different than the one Nick would compile, or Jason, or Mark, or Chris, or anybody else who decided to make a list. That uniqueness is both valued and open to exposure, with the latter stemming from the aforementioned subjectivity of the process itself, as each list, regardless of author, is different and therefore inaccurate at some level when judged against the reader’s personal preferences and experiences.

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Introducing the Top 101 and Top 11 Prospects stats pages.

4/27 ​UPDATE: ​The Baseball Prospectus Prospect Tracker is now located at baseballprospectus.com/prospect_tracker.

Read the full article...

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