Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospectus Today: Cent... (07/21)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Under The Knife: Takin... (07/20)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Under The Knife: Back ... (07/24)
Next Article >>
The Biz Beat: Doom and... (07/22)

July 21, 2009

Under The Knife

Toeing the Line

by Will Carroll


Jason Schmidt (0 DXL)
I'll be honest—I didn't even notice that Schmidt was going to pitch last night until I was checking out the new features of MLB At Bat* and saw "Dodgers—Schmidt." I guess I should have been reading Dodger Thoughts more closely, but yes, Jason Schmidt is back in the rotation. (Victor Rojas points out that Schmidt is the eighth-highest-paid pitcher in the game.) Schmidt pitched... passably well. His fastball is below average, coming in at 87, so his command and control are key. He mostly pitched around people, willing to give up a walk rather than a big hit. Schmidt doesn't look like he's going to help the team much, but he might help them from hurting themselves. If he can eat some innings, that's some that won't fall on Chad Billingsley or Clayton Kershaw. It won't earn what he'll be paid, but it's important.

*: The iPhone application just keeps getting better. Now all games are available for MLB.tv subscribers on the iPhone, though the standard stupid blackout restrictions apply.

Jonathan Broxton (0 DXL)
Broxton continues to struggle with a toe problem. Some are trying to make this into something about his weight, but toe injuries are just flat-out painful and tend to linger. It's more pronounced in football, where the running and cutting taxes the toe more, and because the positions players are asked to put themselves in actually can cause turf toe and other toe issues. The All-Star closer has been shaky since the toe injury cropped up, but Joe Torre keeps sending him out there, and he gets it done. He's turned into more a of Mitch Williams type for now, indicating that the toe is causing some change in his mechanics that's altering his control. Stan Conte wouldn't let Broxton out there if he could do more damage, but I'm concerned about whether the mechanics and the toe are something of a chicken/egg issue. We'll have to continue to watch this closely and I'm still relatively sure that as the Dodgers start thinking about October, they'll find a way to get Broxton some rest. I think the issues that have arisen in front of him in the pen might be why they're delaying and keeping him out there so often.

Brett Myers (75 DXL)
We've heard about Alex Rodriguez, Alex Gordon, and even Carlos Delgado being "ahead of schedule" at some point in their hip rehabs, but Myers might be ahead of all of their timelines. Myers is so far ahead that he'll throw a bullpen session this weekend, stunning even his doctors. Myers was initially given little chance of returning at all this season, but now there's a chance he could end up a key part of their playoff run with a late-August return. There's still several steps to go and we've seen with others that there can be setbacks, but with as little as we know about this operation, we know less about how it will affect a pitcher. Myers is doing very well, but anything can happen here. The speculation is that Myers will go into the bullpen, but I don't understand why he'd need to. There's plenty of time to build his arm strength back, so this may say more about their belief in Pedro Martinez or their lack of belief in Brad Lidge.

Edinson Volquez (60 DXL)
The Reds are on a strange perch between their present and future, and between winning and losing. Paul Daugherty pointed out recently that if the NL Central winner is just an 88-win team (which is in line with what the Playoff Odds Report has to say on the subject), then the Reds would need to go 44-26 the rest of the way to hit that mark. That's not something this team seems likely to do as constructed, especially when it's missing Jay Bruce and Ramon Hernandez. Dusty Baker has been pointing to the pitching to carry the team instead. Volquez made it through the first of three bullpen sessions scheduled for this week (scheduled for Monday-Wednesday-Friday) without much issue. He's not throwing at 100 percent, but he was throwing pretty well while showing no problems with his elbow. Assuming that he makes it through the sessions, the Reds have another piece of info as they decide whether to be buyers or sellers.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

18 comments have been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospectus Today: Cent... (07/21)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Under The Knife: Takin... (07/20)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Under The Knife: Back ... (07/24)
Next Article >>
The Biz Beat: Doom and... (07/22)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Introducing SIERA
Premium Article Future Shock: Dodgers Top 11 Prospects
Fantasy Article Team Health Reports: Washington Nationals
Fantasy Article Team Health Reports: Florida Marlins
Premium Article Expanded Horizons: Catching conundrum
Introducing SIERA
Premium Article Prospectus Hit and Run: The NL East

MORE FROM JULY 21, 2009
Premium Article Prospectus Today: Central Dilemmas
BP Fantasy Beat: Rookie Review
Premium Article Future Shock: Development Disasters
Premium Article You Could Look It Up: A Nationals Disgrace?

MORE BY WILL CARROLL
2009-07-29 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Trade Targets
2009-07-27 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Metastrophe?
2009-07-24 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Back in Action
2009-07-21 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Toeing the Line
2009-07-20 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Taking Hits
2009-07-19 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Surprise
2009-07-13 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Midseason THR Updates
More...

MORE UNDER THE KNIFE
2009-07-29 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Trade Targets
2009-07-27 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Metastrophe?
2009-07-24 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Back in Action
2009-07-21 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Toeing the Line
2009-07-20 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Taking Hits
2009-07-19 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Surprise
2009-07-13 - Premium Article Under The Knife: Midseason THR Updates
More...

INCOMING ARTICLE LINKS
2009-07-24 - Prospectus Hit List: Halladay to Holliday