Future Shock: Rangers ... (03/10)
Team Health Reports: S... (03/10)
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March 11, 2009 Team Health ReportsToronto Blue Jays
Head Trainer: George Poulis Trend: Neutral. Having a number of injury-prone players breaking down in the same year might just be happenstance, but then again, a lot of those same players are back. Poulis and his staff have always put up numbers in the top third, so falling back for one year isn't so bad. Looking through their roster, it's obvious that there are some successes here. B.J. Ryan returned healthy and was effective. Vernon Wells returned twice from traumatic injuries, and both before the expected recovery times, yet he also had no ill effects or relapses. The concern is that the continued breakdown of their young pitchers will not only increase their days lost, but pull down the talent level of the major league club. It's the one big weakness of the Jays' medical staff, and perhaps all that's kept them from a Dick Martin Award. The Shape of the Season:
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Halladay is 32 this year and has 131 career wins. So he'd need to average almost 19 wins/year for the next 9 years to get to 300. Seems highly unlikely.
And while the broken leg and appendix were fluke things, Halladay has had forearm problems multiple times before; he generally misses a handful of starts each year (and yet still puts up 220+ innings).
Plus, as they're gearing up for 2010 this year, I don't see why they'd consider trading Halladay in midseason.
Will did say 4-man rotation.
The Jays have let him pitch on short rest on a regular basis for the past few years - they just spread out the other 4 starts around him. If Halladay can get 5 extra starts each year he could credibly average 23 wins per season, and that would shave a few seasons off that 300 win projections.