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February 19, 2009

Team Health Reports

Cincinnati Reds

by Will Carroll

CINCINNATI REDS
Team Audit | DT Cards | PECOTA Cards | Depth Chart

Head Trainer: Mark Mann
Player Days Lost: 1,083
Total Dollars Lost: $10,560,476
Injury Cost: $21,107,250

Trend: Neutral. The Reds haven't been above average in any of the past five years, but much of that has been a direct result of Ken Griffey Jr.'s presence on the team, as well as their having a tough time keeping pitchers healthy. Last season, despite Griffey not hitting the DL in Cincy, a number of fluke injuries, including two knee fractures to their shortstops, amped up their final tally as far as days lost. There were also a broad spectrum of injuries with no discernible pattern, both traumatic and non-traumatic, to pitchers and players. The team's risk profile is similar to last year's, so Mann and his staff will have to do a better job of staying ahead of the injuries if this team is to have any hope of competing in the division.

The Shape of the Season:

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16 comments have been left for this article.

BP Comment Quick Links

code of conduct

stepsinsc

(33767)

In what direction do the modifiers "high" and "low" point for each color? Does "high green" mean close to yellow? (I would have thought it meant "very green", i.e. no risk.) Does "low yellow" mean close to green or close to red?

Feb 19, 2009 09:22 AM

rating: 0

Will Carroll

BP staff

(1112)

There's an underlying number (0-100, though this year's range was 11-74), so "high" means that it was close to the top of that band's range and "low" means close to the bottom of the range. A high green and low yellow might be 2 apart.

Feb 19, 2009 09:51 AM

G. Guest

(44778)

So Visually...

High Red (Highest Risk)
Red
Low Red
High Yellow
Yellow
Low Yellow
High Green
Green
Low Green (Lowest Risk)

Feb 19, 2009 14:41 PM

rating: 1

R.A.Wagman

(32721)

Will - the confusion is that you're mixing your metaphors.
How about adjusting to the following:
Dark Red (most risk)
Red
Light Red
Dark Yellow
Yellow
Bright Yellow
Dark Green
Green
Light Green

Just a suggestion

Feb 19, 2009 19:11 PM

rating: 0

Will Carroll

BP staff

(1112)

No. I'm not complicating this any more than it needs to be. I already get enough complaints about using colors from our colorblind readers.

Feb 20, 2009 07:06 AM

R.A.Wagman

(32721)

I was really referring to your descriptions of the colours, as opposed to the colours themselves.

Feb 20, 2009 08:47 AM

rating: 0

SC

(27400)

What would Keppinger have received? If it goes wrong for Gonzalez, his health becomes pretty important to the team.

Feb 19, 2009 09:44 AM

rating: 0

Will Carroll

BP staff

(1112)

Guessing here is a pretty high yellow.

Feb 19, 2009 09:52 AM

Dan

(14055)

When you say Cueto is one of the 5 highest reds this year, you mean in all of baseball??

Oy!

Feb 19, 2009 09:44 AM

rating: 0

Dan

(14055)

Hey Will, a general question that's related to Volquez and Cueto...

If you were in charge of a team that was out of the race by August (like, say, the 2008 Reds), and you had 2 young promising starting pitchers (like, say, Volquez and Cueto), and you decided your #1 goal for the remainder of the season was to do what was best for the long-term development of those two... how would you handle them the rest of the way?

It pained me to see Cueto and Volquez going out there every 5th day, even in meaningless games in September, and throwing their 100-120 pitches.

Your thoughts on the best way to handle that?

Feb 19, 2009 09:47 AM

rating: 0

Will Carroll

BP staff

(1112)

Cueto I probably would have shut down, though interestingly, his average velocity went up. I'm not sure what that means. I'd certainly have thought about it in late August, early Sept.

Volquez I just would have put on a very hard pitch count and found a time or two to skip him in the rotation.

Feb 19, 2009 09:54 AM

ElAngelo

(942)

Where would Homer Bailey fit in, if at all?

Feb 19, 2009 10:49 AM

rating: 0

Will Carroll

BP staff

(1112)

Gotta give him a chance, but at this stage, I have even less expectations for him than I did two years ago ... and that wasn't much.

Feb 19, 2009 12:19 PM

jake29

(47101)

What are Votto's chances of hitting the 75th percentile this year?

Feb 19, 2009 15:18 PM

rating: 0

Glenn B.

(20870)

As a Reds fan, I'm just glad to see that Stormy projects to be healthy.

Feb 19, 2009 15:18 PM

rating: 0

jdseal

(46813)

I guess you can't list every last player on the roster, but I'm interested in where Norris Hopper would rate. He showed amazing potential for one month in 2007 and hasn't been healthy since, but he's the type who has to be completely healthy to be worth much.

Feb 22, 2009 07:17 AM

rating: 0

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<< Previous Article

Prospectus Hit and Run... (02/18)

<< Previous Column

Team Health Reports: A... (02/18)

Next Column >>

Team Health Reports: D... (02/23)

Next Article >>

Attack of the Finesse ... (02/19)

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