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April 12, 2005

Prospectus Hit List

Week of April 10, 2005

by Jay Jaffe

Rk Team
Overall W-L
Pyth Pct
Comment
1 Marlins
3-3
0.889
Stingy fish: only nine runs allowed thanks to shutouts by Dontrelle Willis and Josh Beckett.
2 Brewers
3-2
0.747
Davis and Sheets and pray for sleet? Not with a retractable dome as home. Besides, new Brew crew has allowed only 2 HR so far, best in MLB.
3 Tigers
3-3
0.735
D'Meathook has cooled since Opening Day hat-trick put him on 486-HR pace, but 1.403 OPS isn't too shabby.
4 Phillies
3-3
0.679
Hot week from Pat Burrell (.480/.483/.960) offers hope for recapturing 2002 form.
5 Dodgers
4-2
0.667
Offense rolling despite 2-for-27 start from J.D. Drew, but bullpen shaky without Eric Gagne: 14 ER in 19.2 IP.
6 Padres
3-3
0.656
Xavier Nady equals last season's HR total in first week (3) to lead potent Pads.
7 Blue Jays
4-2
0.652
Players whose names begin with H--Hillenbrand, Hudson, and Hinkse--drew one walk in 72 plate appearances.
8 Astros
4-1
0.599
Note to Phil Garner: Adam Everett (.111/.304/.167) leading off isn't helping that offense.
9 Cubs
3-3
0.591
Mark Prior's season debut on Tuesday will have every Cubs fan on edge.
10 Reds
3-3
0.588
"I don't care what they say about home runs in Great American Ball Park, it can't possibly be as homer-friendly as Citizens Bank. There is no way," said Eric Milton. With 5 HR allowed in 9.2 innings, Milton's pet gopher is still following him.
11 A's
3-3
0.579
Pitchers not named Barry Zito: 1.05 ERA in 42.2 innings.
12 Devil Rays
3-3
0.535
Even famous fan Billy Koch is grubbing for a spot in the Rays' bullpen.
13 Giants
4-2
0.515
Barry Me Not: .360/.407/.440 with two walks and no HR for Pedro Feliz, who has all of team's at-bats as leftfielder.
14 White Sox
4-2
0.500
Starters: 12 ER in 40 innings. Relievers: 13 ER in 15 innings.
15 Orioles
3-3
0.500
Holding their own despite slow start from Sammy Sosa (.200/.259/.240).
16 Twins
3-3
0.481
Loss of inning-eater Carlos Silva (torn meniscus, right knee, All-Star Break or later) puts Kyle Lohse and Joe Mays on the spot.
17 Rangers
3-3
0.469
Ranger danger: bullpen leads majors with four blown saves.
18 Mariners
2-4
0.469
It's all Ichiro: .478/.538/.522. Rest of team: .233/.270/.358.
19 Angels
3-3
0.447
Bats didn't make trip to the City of Angels (whichever one they're claiming this week): team hitting .221/.272/.361.
20 Royals
3-3
0.437
Impressive starts from Denny Bautista and Runelvys Hernandez (in return from Tommy John Surgery) offer encouragement that Lima Time (10.80 ERA in 6.2 innings) is hardly the rotation's only hook.
21 Indians
3-3
0.432
Rough start for starters: 5.57 ERA. Juan Gone to DL, Grady Sizemore returns.
22 Diamondbacks
3-3
0.425
If Troy Glaus can homer four times a week, then yes, he's worth the money. Seven hits and not a single among them.
23 Yankees
3-3
0.425
Mo woes end Sox series on sour note, then big money trio of Wright, Johnson and Pavano took lumps from O's.
24 Braves
4-2
0.371
Mixed bag from John Smoltz as he returns to rotation: 7 runs in 1.2 IP Opening Day KO, then 15-K gem vs. Mets.
25 Red Sox
2-4
0.332
Averted sweep in Bronx by roughing up Mariano Rivera, then rang in the new year at Fenway with Bombers in the house.
26 Mets
1-5
0.331
Willie's win worth waiting for: vintage Pedro in 2-hit, 9-K complete game.
27 Cardinals
2-3
0.280
Albert Pujols and Larry Walker are on track, but rest of team--hitters and pitchers--lagging behind.
28 Rockies
1-4
0.276
Rocky Horror Show: 9.86 team ERA despite only two home games.
29 Nationals
3-3
0.252
Now on television!
30 Pirates
2-4
0.182
Which is worse: one HR by entire team in first week, or that it was hit by Tike Redman?

Jay Jaffe is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
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Premium Article Under The Knife: No In... (04/12)
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Prospectus Hit List: P... (03/29)
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