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August 14, 2014

TTO Scoresheet Podcast

Episode 31

by Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

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AL:

Shane Greene (61% available):
Greene has been solid through a handful of starts for the Yankees and seems to be getting regular chances the rest of the way. Allowing an ERA under 3.00, he’s probably due for some regression, but even if his run prevention catches up to his peripherals, he’ll still be a helpful guy to have around for the rest of the year.

Brandon Guyer (78% available):
With a name that’s probably top 10 on Jared’s “best player names for puns” leaderboard, Guyer is a player that can really help a team in the right situation. As an outfielder getting somewhat regular play, he’s a useful bat, getting on base a reasonable amount of time and showing some pop against left handed pitching. He’s not nearly as good against righties, so make sure you use him accordingly. Having him hit in a high-leverage situation against a righty would be almost as painful as the pun Ben drops when suggesting him on this week’s podcast audio.

J.A. Happ (52% available):
Because you really don’t want to see Pitcher AAA during the stretch.

Caleb Joseph (91% available):
Obviously, Joseph is much more famous this week than last. That could cause him to be overdrafted, were it not pretty much impossible to blow a 44th-round draft pick in Scoresheet. With his defensive prowess, he has locked in the majority of playing time, and he still may run into one now and then. He’d be perfect as a bench catcher if your starter is injury-prone and you don’t want to risk September.

Rob Refsnyder (71% available):
Refsnyder is probably vaguely “overrated” as a prospect in real life, of course depending upon who is doing the rating. His defensive lapses won’t hurt a Scoresheet player, though, as he’ll have second base eligibility no matter where he plays, with the ability to hit enough to force his way into semi-regular playing time in September.

Nolan Reimold (87% available):
His .463 slugging would rank 22nd in the bigs if he had played enough. It will be difficult to find a better backup outfielder/bench bat with pop at this late stage of the game.

Chris Taylor (66% available):
Everybody can use a shortstop that hits, and Seattle is lucky to have a hot start from 23-year-old Chris Taylor. In the wake of shipping off Nick Franklin and the debacle formerly known as Brad Miller, Taylor is riding his .375/.415/.479 slash line to regular playing time so far in August. With the competition behind him looking paltry in comparison, Taylor figures to get enough leash if he comes back to earth that he’s worth having regardless. If he keeps up the hot hitting, he could be your playoff starter, and if not he makes for a useful bench bat. Grab him in the last supplemental and keep an eye on whether he looks fit for that starting spot on your playoff roster at the end of the month.

Christian Walker (84% available):
If Bret Sayre’s own Stash List involves some educated guesswork, then stashing a player in the 44th round for a Scoresheet playoff run Is a fool’s errand. Fortunately, we’re just the fools to try. Walker isn’t anywhere near elite as a prospect, but he has some chance to come up in September and make an immediate impact, with the downside of a pick-controlled minor leaguer heading into 2015.

Vance Worley (67% available):
His 2.51 ERA will only go up by season’s end, but it means he’s a great candidate for pitching depth during the stretch run and may even be a candidate for the fourth spot in some rotations.

NL:

Sam Dyson (95% available):
Yes, we’re recommending both the puncher and punchee in the Marlins’ bullpen. Dyson is fringier than Hatcher, but he’s played well enough to stick in the pen, still has the home ballpark on his side, and has banked 20 solid innings that will count towards the playoffs.

Jake Goebbert (96% available):
We’re counting on the Padres to shut down Quentin as they stumble towards the end of one of the bleakest seasons by a team in recent memory. Liriano should step in, but Goebbert may also appear off the bench and provide the marginal pop and presence that you could expect from a minor league lifer nearing his baseball peak. Goebbert is another good source for late-game pinch-hitting.

Chris Hatcher (90% available):
Your heart will never want you to draft another reliever, but sometimes you have to ignore Roxette’s advice and go with your brain. Hatcher is striking out 9.5 guys per nine while only walking a little over one per nine, suggesting he has the potential for a lights-out September.

Rymer Liriano (54% available):
San Diego doesn’t have much to be excited about, but they’re hoping Rymer Liriano can breathe some life into the rest of their season. Slow to develop and missing all of 2013 due to injury, Liriano broke out this year in the upper minors. As a potential option for helping this year and worth a flier as a potential protect going into next year, Liriano is worth a look for teams in the mix and those on the outside looking in on the playoffs.

Evan Marshall (70% available):
Just like the bigs, Scoresheet often rewards those who can capture a hot bullpens. And while those arms can be variable, a decent approach is sorting available pitchers by their strikeout rate. Which leads to Marshall, a former fourth-rounder who is striking out 9.65 per nine.

Ben Paulsen (94% available):
A classic Coors-flation target for deep leagues. Paulsen has made his way through the Rockies’ system on the fringes of prospecthood, but a blazing 30-at-bat stretch pretty much guarantees him a September call-up and a spot on your playoff bench as a top pinch hitter. Should 30 at-bats change the Rockies’ view of him? We don’t make the rules.

Ramon Santiago (57% available):
Eligible at 2B, 3B, and SS with solid fielding ratings across the board, Ramon Santiago has been playing a few days a week for the Reds and is getting on base a decent amount of the time. This late in the season, it’s awful to see Infielder AAA show up on any of your box scores, and he’s a serviceable bat available to help tide you over.

Tsuyoshi Wada (78% available):
Tsuyoshi Wada is a soft tossing lefty that some solid off speed stuff that’s allowed him to post an ERA of 3.25 so far with peripherals to support it. He’s older and there’s probably reasonable chance that the league will figure him out after a few more times through, but he’s been good so far and he’s available often enough that he’s worth a flier. He’s getting regular turns in the rotation now and could be a useful arm down the stretch to help stave off the dreaded Pitcher AAA.

Zach Walters (60% available):
We’re talking a small sample size of only 56 plate appearances so don’t get too worked up, but if he were eligible, Walters would have the second-highest slugging percentage of all shortstops. He doesn’t really get on base, but there’s always going to be room for a middle infielder with that kind of pop.

This week in the podcast:
The Outcomes talk about the upcoming supplemental draft and reminisce about the draft. Come for the baseball talk, stay for the Washington, D.C. tourist talk.

Download Here (1:12:56)
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