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March 25, 2014

Prospectus Preview

AL East 2014 Preseason Preview

by Andrew Koo and Zachary Levine


In the week leading up to Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus is conducting a division-by-division dialogue, asking and answering five questions about each team. Below, Andrew Koo and Zachary Levine discuss the American League East.

Other preseason previews: NL East | NL Central

TAMPA BAY RAYS
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

PECOTA Team Projections
Record: 91-71
Team WARP: 40.3 (13.5 pitching, 26.8 non-pitching)
Runs Scored: 731
Runs Allowed: 641
Team TAv: .271
Team FRAA: 29.1

1) Owner Stuart Sternberg has admitted that the Rays have overspent to compete this year. Overall, the team has few glaring weaknesses, but if they had a few extra dollars, where would you spend it?

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10 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

Biesterfield

Count me shocked if the Orioles score the least amount of runs in the divison

Mar 25, 2014 06:35 AM
rating: 4
 
tballgame

The third question/answer for the Red Sox is confusing. Andrew: Nava hits lefties better and Gomes hits rights better, Zachary: so Nava should hit solely against rights this year. Someone is turned around.

Mar 25, 2014 06:53 AM
rating: 0
 
Biesterfield

The first sentence should be reversed. Nava hits RHP better and Gomes LHP.

Mar 25, 2014 06:56 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Ben Lindbergh
BP staff

Fixed.

Mar 25, 2014 06:59 AM
 
fawcettb

This is everything the Preview of the NL east wasn't. Brilliant, serious analyses. Thank you.

Mar 25, 2014 07:22 AM
rating: -2
 
nschneider

As always, a stacked division. Fourth place team projected for 82 wins, last place for 78.

Mar 25, 2014 07:38 AM
rating: 0
 
CalWhite

Torontonian is the accepted usage... :-)

Mar 25, 2014 08:05 AM
rating: 1
 
Greg Ioannou

Really? My friends call ourselves Torontulas. :o)

Mar 25, 2014 18:17 PM
rating: 1
 
oldbopper
Other readers have rated this comment below the viewing threshold. Click here to view anyway.

A real analysis, one that can be questioned, but far better than the Marx brothers imitation I read yesterday. The Rays have Longoria, a somewhat overrated Zobrist and a lot of very average players, with, admittedly, really good starters. The bullpen isn't as good as the Red Sox, nor is the lineup even close. The Sox starters could be good, like last year, or could look like Doubront has in his last 2 spring training outings. Lackey and Peavy do not engender a great deal of confidence either, but the lineup can really rake. The left side of the infield just might startle everybody offensively. The Yankees look like this years surprise. The outfield can hit and run and the starting pitching has looked very good in, I know, spring training. The lefty bats should put a plethora of pop flys into the first few rows just behind the second baseman. Meanwhile, Robertson will be a perfectly acceptable Mariano replacement. The Blue Jays look like the bottom feeders because the pitching stinks but the Orioles can wheel out a long string of good hitters. They were the winners of the Hot Stove League by waiting and getting the best value for their bucks. I can't believe the O's got a real live major league player for the remains of Alex Gonzalez.

Mar 25, 2014 19:08 PM
rating: -6
 
Scot

the NL East preview was so bad I almost didn't read this one, but I'm glad I did. Nice article.

Mar 26, 2014 07:40 AM
rating: 0
 
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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospectus Preview: NL... (03/25)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Prospectus Preview: NL... (03/25)
Next Column >>
Premium Article Prospectus Preview: AL... (03/26)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: Hi... (03/26)

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