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October 10, 2013

Fantasy Freestyle

Looking Back: 10 Bold Predictions

by Bret Sayre


April is a time of goldmines and landmines for fantasy players. The annals of rotisserie leagues are filled with owners who jumped in head first on a player who could not maintain a small-sample stretch. And we see it every year. Using 2013 as an example, let’s take a look back at the 10 players who hit eight or more homers in April (see if you can spot the two players who actually hit more than 15 homers from May 1 on):

I’ll give you a hint: it wasn’t Mark Reynolds.

In what’s quickly becoming one of my favorite traditions, I laid out 10 trends that I believed in this season as the calendar flipped to May. And because October is a time of reflection (and Jose Lobaton walk-off homers), it has come time to look back upon those 10 items and grade myself on the quality of my predictions. It’s report card time!

1. Adam Wainwright will be a top-five starting pitcher

What I Said: “Like I’ve been saying for the past eight months, the 2012 version of Adam Wainwright was way more similar to the elite version than it appeared at first glance. All of the important underlying statistics were nearly identical. But so far this year, he’s taking it to another level… Love him, trade for him, just don’t say that he’s back because he never went anywhere.”

What Happened: He’s unlikely to end up winning the Cy Young Award that I predicted he would in BP’s pre-season award voting, but the six months of ticket taking on the Wainwright bandwagon paid off in all of the leagues I was able to grab him in. He ended up finishing as the no. 3 starting pitcher for fantasy, behind just Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw, and is firmly back in the conversation of the best pitchers in baseball (fantasy or otherwise).

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<< Previous Article
Dollar Sign on the Mus... (10/10)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Lak... (10/08)
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Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Car... (10/15)
Next Article >>
Pebble Hunting: The Se... (10/10)

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