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May 7, 2013

Minor League Update

Games of Monday, May 6

by Zach Mortimer

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Pitching Prospect of the Day: Yordano Ventura, RHP, Royals (Double-A Northwest Arkansas): 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 10 K; elite fastball; easy plus curveball; changeup has made huge steps forward and now has solid-average potential; most scouts now believe he will stay as a starter; number-two ceiling; will be able to provide value to the Royals in 2013, either with his own skills or as the centerpiece of a trade to address a major-league need; 23.1 IP, 17 H,  6 ER, 9 BB, 33 K in five starts.

Position Prospect of the Day: Adam Walker, RF, Twins (Low-A Cedar Rapids): 3-5, 2B, HR, 2 R, 5 RBI, 2 K; plus-plus raw power; developing hit tool; solid-average runner; crude in the outfield; power makes him an interesting prospect to follow as he progresses; .288/.351/.558 with 6 2B, 2 3B, 6 HR in 104 at-bats.

Other notable prospect performances from May 6:

“The Good”

  • Martin Agosta, RHP, Giants (Low-A Augusta): 5.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 10 K; 22-year-old college arm carving up Low-A; solid-average fastball; slider has average potential; changeup is plus; 31.1 IP, 22 H, 7 ER, 13 BB, 45 K in six starts.
  • Tyler Anderson, LHP, Rockies (High-A Modesto): 6.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 6 K; solid-average fastball; plus changeup; fringy breaking ball; plus pitchability; 39.2 IP, 33 H, 14 ER, 10 BB, 36 K in seven starts this season.
  • D.J. Baxendale, RHP, Twins (High-A Fort Myers): 7.0 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 10 K; fringy fastball; plus potential curveball; changeup is a work in progress; college arm; will need to prove himself at higher levels; 36.1 IP, 24 H, 6 ER, 6 BB, 35 K in six starts.
  • Clayton Blackburn, RHP, Giants (High-A San Jose): 5.0 IP, 2 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 9 K; plus fastball; potential plus changeup; potential solid-average curveball; good pitchability; big, filled-out frame.
  • Bryan Brickhouse, RHP, Royals (Low-A Lexington): 6.2 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 K; fastball works in the low 90s and can touch higher; shows feel for spinning the curveball effectively, but lacks consistency; changeup can get firm; some see him as a high-leverage reliever; 33.2 IP, 27 H, 9 ER, 7 BB, 30 K in 6 starts this season.
  • Glynn Davis, CF, Orioles (High-A Frederick): 2-3, 2B, 3B, 3 RBI, 2 BB, K; plus-plus runner; potential plus center fielder; good bat speed; swing can get long versus breaking stuff; bat will need to take at least a few steps forward.
  • Mike Foltynewicz, RHP, Astros (Double-A Corpus Christi): 5.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 9 K; plus fastball; potential solid-average changeup; potential solid-average curveball; big frame; profiles best as a middle-of-the-rotation starter; this was his Double-A debut.
  • Michael Reed, OF, Brewers (Low-A Wisconsin): 2-3, 2B, 2 RBI, BB; plus runner; solid-average range; solid-average arm; hit tool may be average; power may be below average, at best; .282/.347/.388 with 5 2B, 2 3B, 0 HR, and 6 SB in 85 at-bats this season.
  • Angel Sanchez, RHP, Dodgers (Low-A Great Lakes): 7.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; fastball can touch plus velocity; slider with plus potential; developing changeup; command wavers; already 23 years old; 33.0 IP, 29 H, 17 ER, 13 BB, 33 K in six starts.
  • Reid Scoggins, RHP, Angels (Low-A Burlington): 3.0 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 7 K; fastball can touch plus-plus velocity; slider has solid-average potential; future reliever; delivery has considerable effort in it; 18.0 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 5 BB, 22 K in six outings this season.
  • Jorge Soler, RF, Cubs, (High-A Daytona): 2-4, 3B, HR, 2 R, RBI; plus-plus raw power; plus arm; developing hit tool; solid average runner; good right-field profile.
  • Tyler Smith, RHP, Rangers (Low-A Hickory): 6.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 8 K; upper 80s-low 90s fastball; slider and changeup are both fringy; will have to prove himself at each level; 29.1 IP, 25 H, 10 ER, 8 BB, 26 K in eight appearances.
  • Andrew Toles, CF, Rays (Low-A Bowling Green): 2-3, 2B, 3B, R, RBI; solid-average hit tool; gap power; solid-average runner; will need to take steps forward with plate discipline; athletic player whose stock is on the rise; .328/.365/.538 with 10 2B, 6 3B, HR in 119 at-bats.
  • Jesse Winker, LF, Reds (Low-A Dayton): 2-5, HR, 2 R, 2 RBI; potential for a plus hit tool; plus power upside; advanced baseball instincts; arm is average; may be limited to left field; bat will have to reach ceiling for him to profile in left; .284/.393/.474 with 7 2B, 3B, 3 HR in 95 at-bats this season.

 “The Bad”

Donnie Joseph, LHP, Royals (Triple-A Omaha): 0.2 IP, 1 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 2 K; acquired for Jonathan Broxton in 2012, Joseph has a setup ceiling but may fit better in middle relief.

“The Ugly”

Roman Quinn, SS, Phillies (Low-A Lakewood): 0-4, 3 K; plenty of tools, but hit tool still needs maturation; .204/.271/.287 with 31 K in 108 at-bats.

Zach Mortimer is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Zach's other articles. You can contact Zach by clicking here

29 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links

evo34

Anything on Gerrit Cole or Mike Olt? Truly horrific starts of the season for each. Olt appears to still be out (but not on the DL). Kind of odd.

May 06, 2013 23:29 PM
rating: -2
 
Behemoth

Truly horrific seems a bit excessive for Cole. Yeah, he's had some control problems, but it's 29 innings.

May 07, 2013 03:02 AM
rating: 4
 
evo34

A 21/17 K/BB ratio for a top pitching prospect is horrific in my book.

May 07, 2013 03:19 AM
rating: -3
 
Behemoth

It's still 29 innings. There can be any number of reasons why these things happen. Maybe he's been asked to work on particular things, maybe a lot of it's random chance, maybe his mechanics are slightly off. I'd suggest that, unless there's some particular reason to worry, such as his stuff being weaker, you're placing too much weight on one data point here.

May 07, 2013 04:55 AM
rating: 6
 
mrenick

I'd suggest that "anything on player X" is an open ended question asked to see if the author of the article might know any more information (such as the reasons you mentioned) regarding the player in question. We are all aware that sample sizes in May are small. However, that doesn't preclude us from inquiring as to the nature of results that stand out as being different than expected. I don't think it's unreasonable to ask if Zach has any more information on Cole's control struggles. I do think its a little unreasonable to assume the genesis of the question is based on the commenters focusing too excessively on a single data point.

May 07, 2013 05:32 AM
rating: 3
 
evo34

I called it a "horrific start." How is that putting "weight" on anything? If you have no information to add (and clearly you don't), that's totally fine....and why I posed the question to Zach, not you.

May 07, 2013 20:37 PM
rating: -2
 
grandslam28

Olt has some eye problems and might get lasik or new contacts, kind of like freeman last year

May 07, 2013 06:41 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

I addressed the Olt issues in a few MLU's. I figured the point was out there that he is struggling mightily. He is getting his eyes checked, but Jason Cole wrote about him a few ten pack's ago if you want to take a look for more information.

When it comes to Cole, it is tough because I saw him at his best last year. I went so far as to saying his stuff looked like Verlander's, in a final interview I had with a team (maybe that is why I am writing here and not there lol). I have not seen him this year, but I always find it hard to believe he does not dominate every start with stuff like his.

May 07, 2013 07:00 AM
 
sgrcuts

I feel like Cole must be working on something new or something that the Pirates want him to. The drop in K rate is so great there has to be something else going on. Whats interesting is that his ERA is the lowest its been in his pro career, and his FIP is the highest.

May 07, 2013 08:33 AM
rating: 3
 
R.A.Wagman

A small request - I think this is something that KG used to do. Please include players who have lost rookie eligibility, but have yet to establish themselves in the majors. For example, I am thinking of Anthony Gose's horrific performance yesterday. Heard anything from scouts? He is no longer rookie-eligible, but is still very much a prospect.
Thanks

May 07, 2013 05:31 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

Well you guys finally caught on to this. I figured it would not be long, but I am a sucker for the lower minors. A majority of my contacts cover the lower minors, I find the lower minors more interesting, and I think that Triple-A numbers can get very misleading. If I hear a specific thing from a source I will make sure I include it in the MLU, but I may be wrong in saying I always thought people were more interested in the up and comers as opposed to the prospects playing the waiting game in Triple-A. This may be just my philosophy, and I am willing to adapt if that is what you(the readers) would like.

May 07, 2013 07:05 AM
 
spundin

I think its helpful if you're in a fantasy league where a guy is rumored to be or will be recalled. I'm in favor of all levels.

May 07, 2013 08:16 AM
rating: 3
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

All levels are always checked. As always all relevant prospects will checked(will include relevant post prospects).

May 07, 2013 10:44 AM
 
jellyhorn

like this too

May 07, 2013 09:39 AM
rating: 1
 
HugeShoulderpad

This reader has seen so many low minors guys flame out I'd definitely prefer to hear what's going on closer to the majors.

May 07, 2013 10:56 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

Are we all hard, cold and unimaginative today? Just messing of course, just understand by the time prospects reach AA it is much easier to draw the line with prospects and non prospects. Therefore, the number of actual prospects at the upper minors is slimmer than in the lower minors.

May 07, 2013 11:05 AM
 
BarryR

Please adapt :)
I understand your preferences, but I look at this first thing every day and every day I am struck by how many of these things are of virtually no use to me. Low A ball guys like Reed, Sanchez, and Smith are not interesting to me; they aren't doing anything special and they are a long way from being anything. I am a major league baseball fan and am more interested in guys who are likely to have an impact on MLB this year, or, in the case of Gose, less likely to than previously thought, which is an interesting story as well.
I don't want to discourage you from pointing out emerging players of note at whatever level,and surely we want to hear about top 101 guys who are struggling, wherever that might be. But updating us on notable performances by high-level prospects should be a part of this.

May 07, 2013 11:03 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

I understand that everyone has different things they look for. My philosophy when writing this every night its to provide the most information I can for the readers. A majority of the time that is in the form of players in the lower minors. However, I do not shy away from including players in the upper minors. I was not including post-prospects previously, but I understand that could be useful for many people. I think the main point I am trying to get at that seems to be going a little unnoticed is that the amount of actual "prospects" in Triple-A are limited. Believe me anyone that has a good/bad night in Triple-A that is a legitimate prospect will be included.

May 07, 2013 11:30 AM
 
BarryR

Thanks for the replies on this subject, Zach. I think we all realize the amount of time and effort that go into these reports, and be assured, we do appreciate it.

May 07, 2013 20:08 PM
rating: 2
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

Oh no problem. I love discussion believe me anytime it can get started up I'm all ears.

May 07, 2013 20:20 PM
 
evo34

Disagree. I like to hear about the players whose performances have been the most unusual -- that is, those most likely to represent a change in prospect value -- whether it's an 18 year old or a 24 year old.

May 07, 2013 20:44 PM
rating: 2
 
OonBoon

You guys got me addicted to Billy Hamilton stats last year and, darn it, I want my BH update

May 07, 2013 05:51 AM
rating: 2
 
ttt

189/256/270 in Louisville. He had one day with more than two hits (4) and only two days with two hits. I have a feeling he would fit into "the bad" more often than anywhere else.

May 07, 2013 06:39 AM
rating: 1
 
gweedoh565

jinx!

May 07, 2013 06:40 AM
rating: 3
 
Mike V.
(596)

ttt

May 07, 2013 11:49 AM
rating: 1
 
gweedoh565

They're not that pretty so far, aside from the SB's:

AAA Louisville: .189/.256/.270 17 SB, 2 CS

May 07, 2013 06:40 AM
rating: 2
 
Jim Humdingding

If you can get any updated info on Urrutia, it would be appreciated. Thanks for the great work.

May 07, 2013 10:52 AM
rating: 1
 
Daddyboy

Wow, I'm surprised at this discussion. I assumed most of us know about guys at AA - AAA, and have access to almost everything there is to know about them. I am most interested in the lower level guys, that don't have much or anything written about them, just because there isn't much data about them. My focus is on who the short season and low A guys are that we will be reading about and looking at in high A and AA, in a year or 2. So my 2 cents is keep doing what you're doing Zach.

May 08, 2013 09:57 AM
rating: 1
 
BP staff member Zach Mortimer
BP staff

That is what I figured... I can adapt, but my goal is to give updated information on lesser known quality prospects.

May 08, 2013 12:39 PM
 
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