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October 7, 2012

Playoff Prospectus

Cardinals-Nationals Division Series Preview

by R.J. Anderson


Fresh off winning the first-ever National League wild card game, the Cardinals have the honors of hosting the top-seeded Nationals for a best-of-five series.

Lineups (AVG/OBP/SLG/TAv)

Cardinals
CF-L Jon Jay (.305/.373/.400/.286)
RF-S Carlos Beltran (.269/.346/.495/.298)
LF-R Matt Holliday (.295/.379/.497/.310)
1B-R Allen Craig (.307/.354/.522/.308)
C-R Yadier Molina (.315/.373/.501/.315)
3B-R David Freese (.293/.372/.467/.290)
2B-L Daniel Descalso (.227/.303/.324/.240)
SS-R Pete Kozma (.333/.383/.569/.326 in 82 plate appearances)

Nationals
RF-R Jayson Werth (.300/.387/.440/.303)
CF-L Bryce Harper (.270/.340/.477/.291)
3B-R Ryan Zimmerman (.282/.346/.478/.287)
1B-L Adam LaRoche (.271/.343/.510/.303)
LF-R Michael Morse (.291/.321/.470/.276)
SS-R Ian Desmond (.292/.335/.511/.290)
2B-S Danny Espinosa (.247/.315/.402/.255)
C-R Kurt Suzuki (.235/.276/.328/.225)

St. Louis again holds the offensive edge against their opponents, though the lead is slighter this time around. This is a tough lineup, even without Lance Berkman and Rafael Furcal. Jay is close to being a prototypical leadoff hitter: he hits for average, gets on base, and is the team’s best stolen base threat, in terms of volume and efficiency. Following Jay is a slate of well-rounded hitters. From Beltran through Freese you have players capable of doing it all at the plate. The seven-through-nine spots are the closest thing an opposing pitcher has to a reprieve, especially if Kozma’s uncharacteristically good offensive production ceases. 

The Nationals strike out a lot, but make up for it by hitting for power. Their lineup features six players with 15 or more home runs, including four who hit 20-plus. Three of the Nationals starters stole more than 15 bases (Desmond, Espinosa, and Harper). Add in their ability to keep managers honest with a decent alternation of left-handed and right-handed batters, and this is a hard lineup to muzzle.

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<< Previous Article
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