CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Premium and Super Premium Subscribers Get a 20% Discount at MLB.tv!

<< Previous Article
The Week in Quotes: Ju... (07/09)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (07/05)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (07/12)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Value Picks: Second, S... (07/09)

July 9, 2012

Resident Fantasy Genius

Making the Most of Midseason Free Agents

by Derek Carty

the archives are now free.

All Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible.

Not a subscriber? Get exclusive content like this delivered hot to your inbox every weekday. Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

Subscribe for $4.95 per month
Recurring subscription - cancel anytime.


a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Purchase a $39.95 gift subscription
a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Welcome to the All-Star break, fantasy players.  If you’re reading this right now, chances are you still have a pretty good chance of winning your league, so congratulations!  Today, I wanted to talk about a good value proposition that usually presents itself around this time of year.

If you’ve followed my early-season advice of being aggressive with your FAAB budget, chances are you’re sitting somewhere in the middle of the pack in terms of FAAB remaining.  You’ve made a few buys, many of which have hopefully worked out, but several of your competitors have been pinching pennies in anticipation of MLB’s trade deadline while a few others have blown their stakes early.  In Tout Wars and LABR, I find myself in this exact position:

LABR NL — Remaining FAAB

OWNER

REMAINING FAAB

Brandon Funston

$109

Bob Radomski

$94

Eric Karabell

$88

Lawr Michaels

$87

Steve Gardner

$83

Steve Moyer

$71

Derek Carty

$66

Ray Flowers

$62

Doug Dennis

$52

Tristan Cockcroft

$33

Wolf/Colton

$32

Dalton Del Don

$27

Ambrosius/Childs

$15

 

Tout Wars NL — Remaining FAAB

OWNER

REMAINING FAAB

Steve Gardner

$98

Dean Peterson

$93

Phil Hertz

$85

Scott Wilderman

$81

Tristan Cockcroft

$80

Derek Carty

$58

Peter Kreutzer

$45

Melnick/Greco

$40

Nate Ravitz

$35

Brian Walton

$13

Todd Zola

$11

Scott Pianowski

$4

Mike Gianella

$0

This can actually be a very advantageous position to find yourself in at this time of the year.  Obviously it would be preferable to have $109 like Yahoo!’s Brandon Funston does (if you’re wondering, he has over $100 because he got compensation for losing Wilson Ramos to injury), but given that having less means you spent early and have subsequently been accruing stats for months, being in the middle here is a great spot to be.  Right now, the beginning of July, is basically the eye of the storm.  We’ve passed the primary minor-league call-up period—the Bryce Harpers and Mike Trouts of the world have already been recalled—but we’re not yet at the trade deadline—so the specters of Zack Greinke and Brandon McCarthy league-switches still loom.  But right now, all is calm.

What we’ll see now are a couple of straggler call-ups and a minor-ish trade or two in advance of the deadline.  This year, two such examples of this are Jim Thome crossing to the American League and Starling Marte on the verge of being recalled by the Pirates.  This is great news for you middle-of-the-pack-FAABers.  These players often can have significant value—not Greinke value, but far more than the usual Wilson Valdez and Matt Diaz riff-raff you’ll find on the waiver wire—and you’re in prime position to scoop it up.

You see, those who are at the top of the FAAB list are jockeying for position, keeping their eye on the prizes of the July 31 deadline.  They are unlikely to be spending much as they prepare for a hectic round of dib-calling on the elite league-crossers.  None of these guys at the top are going to bow out of the Cole Hamels sweepstakes to take a shot at Jim Thome.  They’ve waited this long; they feel they can afford to wait another two or three weeks and hope to hit the lottery.

And, of course, those who have already spent their FAAB and are below you in the pecking order aren’t much of a threat, since you cover them (this is especially true in leagues with Vickrey bidding) and since they may be reluctant to spend the rest of their few remaining dollars when we’re still only halfway through the year.

Once you come to terms with the fact that you won’t be getting Shane Victorino or Matt Garza, you can find great joy in acquiring a guy like Starling Marte right now.  Described by Kevin Goldstein in his Pirates Top 11 as a “potential stud,” Marte could be a five-category fantasy contributor if given regular at-bats, which seems pretty likely following Jose Tabata’s demotion.  And because the bidding for this kind of guys is likely to be much less intense than if he’d been called up even a month ago, you not only get the benefit of spending early on the April and May studs and accruing their stats for the bulk of the season, but you also get a discount on these good-but-not-great July roto-league joiners as well.  Just make sure you outbid those lower than you.  You may wind up with only a few bucks left to spend over the rest of the season, but this could be your last chance to acquire an impact player, so make it count.

1 comment has been left for this article.

<< Previous Article
The Week in Quotes: Ju... (07/09)
<< Previous Column
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (07/05)
Next Column >>
Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Geniu... (07/12)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article Value Picks: Second, S... (07/09)

RECENTLY AT BASEBALL PROSPECTUS
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Kendrys Redux
Premium Article Skewed Left: The Mismatched Incentives of Dr...
Premium Article Notes from the Field: What's Wrong With Appe...
Premium Article The Call-Up: Chris Taylor
Premium Article Raising Aces: Shelby Miller's Fall From Grac...
The Week in Quotes: July 21-27, 2014
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Bochy and Peavy, Back ...

MORE FROM JULY 9, 2012
Premium Article Out of Left Field: Ending the Empire
Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Blind BABIP Test: Result...
Fantasy Article Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for ...
The Week in Quotes: July 2-July 8
What You Need to Know: Monday, July 9
Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Monday, July 9
Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 9

MORE BY DEREK CARTY
2012-07-19 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Time to Get Real Va...
2012-07-16 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: To Platoon or Not t...
2012-07-12 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Quit Wasting Your D...
2012-07-09 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Making the Most of ...
2012-07-05 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Thome Trade Tests A...
2012-07-02 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Does the Knucklebal...
2012-06-28 - Premium Article Top 10 Trade Targets
More...

MORE RESIDENT FANTASY GENIUS
2012-07-19 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Time to Get Real Va...
2012-07-16 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: To Platoon or Not t...
2012-07-12 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Quit Wasting Your D...
2012-07-09 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Making the Most of ...
2012-07-05 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Thome Trade Tests A...
2012-07-02 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Does the Knucklebal...
2012-06-25 - Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Potential League-Ho...
More...