CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Articles Tagged Wins 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

12-07

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Wins: A Deeper Dive
by
J.P. Breen

12-04

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers
by
Wilson Karaman

12-03

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Pitcher Wins: The General Landscape
by
J.J. Jansons

03-23

comment icon

21

The Darkhorses: Wins and Strikeouts
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-24

comment icon

11

The Darkhorses: Wins
by
BP Fantasy Staff

11-11

comment icon

14

Baseball Therapy: The Cost of a Cost-Controlled Win
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-10

comment icon

2

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 240: Several of the Finest Listener Emails
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

05-23

comment icon

8

Baseball Therapy: Are Starters Motivated by Wins?
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-02

comment icon

10

Baseball Therapy: WARP for People Who Didn't Like Math Class
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-25

comment icon

6

BP Unfiltered: Wins, and When Things That Don't Matter Start to Matter
by
Sam Miller

02-23

comment icon

12

Inside The Park: Ode to a Terrible Stat
by
Bradford Doolittle

02-23

comment icon

0

The BP Wayback Machine: Randomness in Team Standings Predictions
by
Keith Woolner

10-14

comment icon

20

Spinning Yarn: The Glavine Line
by
Mike Fast

07-30

comment icon

12

Ahead in the Count: The Poor Return on Dan Haren
by
Matt Swartz

02-04

comment icon

30

Ahead in the Count: Revising Player Contract Valuation, Part 3
by
Matt Swartz

01-20

comment icon

25

Checking the Numbers: Valuing Volatility
by
Eric Seidman

12-17

comment icon

26

Ahead in the Count: Anatomy of a Blockbuster
by
Matt Swartz

06-21

comment icon

25

Prospectus Idol Entry: Do You Hate Pitchers' Won-Loss Record? Blame Your Grandfather
by
Matthew Knight

06-05

comment icon

24

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Next 300
by
Jay Jaffe

06-04

comment icon

10

You Could Look It Up: The No-Decision Kings
by
Steven Goldman

11-07

comment icon

5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Divisionology
by
Jay Jaffe

04-05

comment icon

0

Preseason Predictions
by
Baseball Prospectus

12-12

comment icon

0

Predictatron Post-Hoc
by
Jason Paré

11-09

comment icon

0

Predictatron Recap
by
Ben Murphy

10-16

comment icon

0

Future Shock: Monday Morning Ten-Pack
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-16

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

comment icon

0

Future Shock: Where Did the Tigers and the Athletics Come From?
by
Kevin Goldstein

10-14

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Four
by
Joe Sheehan

10-14

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: The Best and Worst of Mets and Cardinals Postseason Pitching
by
Jim Baker

10-13

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day Three
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: The Games Go On
by
Joe Sheehan

10-12

comment icon

0

Player Profile
by
Marc Normandin

10-11

comment icon

0

Remembering Buck O'Neil
by
Alex Belth

10-11

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: LCS, Day One
by
Joe Sheehan

10-09

comment icon

0

Completely Random Statistical Trivia
by
Keith Woolner

10-09

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Six
by
Joe Sheehan

10-07

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Four
by
Joe Sheehan

10-06

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Three
by
Joe Sheehan

10-06

comment icon

0

Prospectus Matchups: October Musings
by
Jim Baker

10-05

comment icon

0

Prospectus Today: Division Series, Day Two
by
Joe Sheehan

11-22

comment icon

0

Lies, Damned Lies: Defending Jeffrey
by
Nate Silver

03-24

comment icon

0

2005--Setting the Stage
by
Keith Woolner

04-22

comment icon

0

Doctoring The Numbers: Hot Starts (a.k.a. Should Royals Fans Get Excited Yet?)
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-12

comment icon

0

Call It In The Air!
by
Dave Pease

04-01

comment icon

0

Projected 1998 National League Standings
by
Baseball Prospectus

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 7, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Wins: A Deeper Dive

0

J.P. Breen

Examining pitchers who could outperform their 2015 run-prevention efforts and deliver greater 'W' totals in 2016.

As the Baseball Prospectus Fantasy Team boldly pushes forward in our Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns series, be sure to catch up with previous installments over the past couple of weeks. Before we do, please make sure to take a look at J.J. Jansons excellent intro piece that aired last week and Wilson Karaman’s smart look at under/overachievers in the Win category.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 4, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers

0

Wilson Karaman

Examining the pitchers who exceeded or fell short of expectations in the W department last season.

As the Baseball Prospectus Fantasy Team boldly pushes forward in our Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns series, be sure to catch up with previous installments over the past couple of weeks. I was tempted to just submit the shrugging emoji as my column here, but there probably is some value in looking back at how certain pitchers got to their Win totals in 2015. Before we do, please make sure to take a look at J.J. Jansonsexcellent intro piece that aired yesterday. And then be sure to tune in on Monday when J.P. Breen will take a look at some deep league options who may or may not generate outsized Win totals in 2016 depending on how much rum Jobu has in his cup come April.

Underachievers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 3, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Pitcher Wins: The General Landscape

0

J.J. Jansons

As back-end starters leave games earlier, the elite ones are becoming more valuable than ever.

As the BP Fantasy Team maniacally moves forward in our Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns series, be sure to catch up with previous installments over the past couple of weeks. We’re providing a 10,000-foot view of each category—such as this article here—to go with a specific article on 2015 over/underachievers and another one targeted for deeper leagues. This series is tackling two birds with one stone: (1) breaking down individual player performances; and (2) re-calibrating the fantasy discussion by placing roster strategy at the center.

Wilson Karaman, who just needs some tasty waves and a cool buzz to be fine, will be around tomorrow to look at pitcher wins as they relate to shallower leagues, and J.P. Breen will be telling you exactly how many wins Zach Davies and other deep-league starters will earn in 2016 shortly thereafter.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 23, 2015 6:00 am

The Darkhorses: Wins and Strikeouts

21

BP Fantasy Staff

The fantasy gang picks the pitchers it believes could lead the league in these two categories.

The goal of this series is simple: We’re telling you who, in our estimation, has a reasonable shot at topping the fantasy charts in a specific category despite not projecting as a top-10 finisher before the season begins, per PECOTA.

If you remember this exercise from last year, there are a few more changes, which I’ll pull directly from Bret Sayre’s email to the fantasy team outlining this series:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 24, 2014 6:00 am

The Darkhorses: Wins

11

BP Fantasy Staff

A look at the pitchers our fantasy crew believes can outperform their PECOTA projections in wins.

One of the fun ways we all try to outsmart our opponents in fantasy is by searching for hidden value in players who, for one reason or another, we suspect have the ability to outpace their projections (and, relatedly, their draft cost). Our Darkhorses series features staff picks for players who could very well outpace their PECOTA projections for the year and provide the top overall production in one of the standard 5x5 categories. We’ve all picked one player currently projected by PECOTA to fall outside of the top 10 and one longer-shot player currently projected outside of the top 25. We’re taking a look at pitching this week, following our run on offense a week ago. To read the earlier editions in this series, click below:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

November 11, 2013 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Cost of a Cost-Controlled Win

14

Russell A. Carleton

And why scouting and player development are your team's hidden superstars.

It’s free agent season, a time traditionally reserved for the baseball commentariat to wonder aloud how we’ve gotten to the point where passably decent outfielders are worth $10 million a year. The standard line is that, in the free agent market, one win above replacement retails for about $5 million. More recent research suggests that GMs actually ended up paying about $7 million per win for free agents during the 2013 season.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Ben and Sam answer listener emails about the best name for a future baseball player, no-trade clauses, RBI and wins, and a starter with Mariano Rivera's cutter. Cameo by a raccoon.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

May 23, 2013 5:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Are Starters Motivated by Wins?

8

Russell A. Carleton

The win might be a silly statistic, but does it affect pitchers' performance?

On Monday’s edition of MLB Now, anchor Brian Kenny once again made the case against using wins as a measure of pitcher quality. Citing recent games such as Matt Harvey’s brilliant nine-inning, one-hit no-decision, he argued that the win is an overrated statistic that doesn’t do a good job of describing the pitcher’s performance. After Kenny’s presentation, former pitcher Al Leiter came out to give a rebuttal. Leiter had an interesting take on the issue. He said that Kenny wasn’t respecting the human element of the game, and he suggested that the win statistic might actually make starters perform a little better in some key situations.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

A handy guide to understanding what WARP means without many numbers.

Over the weekend, there were plenty of end-of-season retrospectives from columnists who cast non-existent ballots for the MVPs, Cy Young award winners, and Rookies of the Year. As might be expected, many of the columnists brought up the WARP (Mike Trout) vs. Triple Crown (Miguel Cabrera) angle. There was a common theme running through the pieces that argued for Cabrera: WARP is a complicated and math-heavy stat, and because it is so complicated, how can we be sure that Trout was actually the better player?

Read the full article...

Josh Outman didn't get to finish his fifth inning, despite being up by eight. Will this be the sort of conflict that dooms the Rockies' four-man rotation?

You don't care whether Josh Outman gets credited with a victory, but Josh Outman cares whether he gets credited with a victory. On Saturday, with his pitch count well past the limit his manager has set for his new four-man starting rotation, Outman was pulled from his start. He was leading by eight runs, with two outs in the fifth inning and, therefore, an out short of getting credit for the win. He became the first starter since at least 2000 (as far as I went back) to leave a game with two outs in the fifth inning while leading by at least eight runs.  

Read the full article...

We all know wins aren't a good way to judge pitchers, but we'd miss them if they went away.

"My choice for the front-runner is Welch, but I know a lot of people say Clemens. I know what Clemens has done for Boston, but now is not the time to change the rules. The guys who won it the last three years won the most games and had good stats. If Bob Welch continues to win at this pace, and he doesn't get it, something is terribly wrong with the judging."
| A's pitcher Dave Stewart, in a 1990 Sports Illustrated story on that season's Cy Young voting

Bob Welch had just won his 20th game when his Oakland teammate was asked about the voting, and it was just Aug. 17. It was his 13th season and the first and last time that the 33-year-old Welch would win 20 games.


Read the full article...

The calendar has advanced, but baseball's probabilistic nature ensures that calling team win totals hasn't gotten much easier.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

With our depth charts and team projections up and running, now seems like a fitting time to repeat Keith's caveats about the inherent limitations of such worthwhile exercises, nearly six years after his words originally ran on March 24, 2005.


Read the full article...

<< Previous Tag Entries No More Tag Entries