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Week ending on Friday, October 5 2012.


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Friday, October 5

Premium Article Playoff Prospectus: National League Wild Card Game (UPDATED)

by R.J. Anderson

The Cardinals play the Braves in Atlanta for a spot in the Division Series

Playoff Prospectus: American League Wild Card Game (UPDATED)

by Derek Carty

The Orioles and Rangers, two of the least-likely teams to be playing in a wild-card game, are set to fight for their playoff lives.

Advance Scout: The Difficulty of Scouting Yu Darvish

by Dan Brooks

Even if you figure out what Darvish has done, you might not know what he's about to do.

Premium Article Raising Aces: For Those About to Watch (We Salute You)

by Doug Thorburn

One pitcher per playoff team who makes a convincing case in favor of watching every pitch of post-season baseball.

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Miguel Cabrera's Retroactive Triple Crowns

by Sam Miller

We went 44 seasons without a Triple Crown. In how many of those seasons would Cabrera's 2012 have been good enough to win?

Premium Article Overthinking It: Baltimore's Best Bet to Beat Texas

by Ben Lindbergh

If the Orioles want to extend their surprise season beyond the wild-card game, they should make the most of what got them there.

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Friday, October 5

by Corey Dawkins

Brian McCann is probably going to have shoulder surgery this winter.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 57: The Teams That Will Win a World Series in the Next Five Years/Are Beat Writers Becoming More or Less Important?/The O's Start Saunders

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam are joined by Marc Normandin, formerly of Baseball Prospectus and currently of SB Nation, to discuss which teams will win a World Series in the next five years, the changing role of beat writers, and Joe Saunders, the Orioles' starter in tonight's play-in game.

BP Unfiltered: Grant Balfour's Fab Five

by Daniel Rathman

Grant Balfour became the first pitcher ever to throw a perfect inning on five consecutive days.

BP Announcements: Friday Wild Card Roundtable HERE

by Ben Lindbergh

Chat with the BP staff while you watch the wild cards kill each other off on Friday, from first pitch to last.

The BP Wayback Machine: Who Can Say No to Twins?

by Joe Sheehan

A look back at baseball's most recent single-elimination game.

Thursday, October 4

Premium Article Ask the Industry: Mike Trout vs. Miguel Cabrera

by Jason Parks

What do MLB front office types think of the Trout-or-Cabrera MVP debate?

Premium Article On the Beat: Planning a Play-In Strategy

by John Perrotto

The Braves aren't huge fans of the wild card play-in game, but they have a strategy for their upcoming meeting with the Cardinals. Also, a few minutes with Robin Ventura and Chris Speier.

What You Need to Know: Thursday, October 4

by Daniel Rathman

After a wild ride, the Oakland Athletics emerged victorious in the AL West.

In A Pickle: Stop What You're Doing and Read About Adam Dunn

by Jason Wojciechowski

This is a lot of interesting information about Adam Dunn. That's what this is.

Premium Article Fall Instructional League Report: Red Sox/Orioles

by Chris Mellen

Part Two of Chris' four-team Fall Instructional League visit sees some top prospects and some unknowns from two AL East teams.

Premium Article Prospect Profile: International Focus

by Hudson Belinsky

The Twins have signed a few players from unlikely countries recently. Is this a new direction, and is it going to pay off?

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Thursday, October 4

by Corey Dawkins

Matt Kemp and Carlos Quentin are set to go under the knife this offseason.

The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, October 4

by Matthew Kory

...to the ennnnnnnd of the road, still I caaaaannn't let go.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 56: A Very Special Simulpodcast with FanGraphs Audio

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam join/are joined by Carson Cistulli of FanGraphs for a longest-ever episode about the worst predictions teams and players made about themselves, Bryce Harper's historical significance, and the baseball players who led the league in our hearts in 2012. We talked for almost an hour, so adjust your commutes accordingly.

Wednesday, October 3

What You Need to Know: Wednesday, October 3

by Daniel Rathman

Welcome to Game 162, when wild cards, division titles, and Triple Crowns are still at stake.

Regular-Season Awards: Handing out the Hardware

Baseball Prospectus

The end of the season has arrived, so BP is ready to hand out its awards for the best of 2012.

Premium Article Manufactured Runs: Mariners to Move Safeco Fences In

by Colin Wyers

A look at Seattle's plans to move in the fences of their ballpark to boost offense.

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: A Very Good Team and a Very Bad Season

by Sam Miller

The Angels signed the best free-agent hitter and pitcher available, added the best rookie ever, and still missed the playoffs. Was it anyone's fault?

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Fall Instructional League Wrap-Up

by Jason Parks

Back from Arizona, Jason sifts through his remaining FIL notes on talent from the Dodgers, Rangers, Royals, and Indians.

Premium Article Sobsequy: The Unbearable Blandness of Joe Girardi

by Adam Sobsey

More access to Joe Girardi doesn't make for a more interesting story, which explains why Gay Talese's new profile of the Yankees' skipper can't compare to "Silent Season."

Premium Article Punk Hits: The Bay Area Body-Swap

by Ian Miller

Jemile Weeks and Brandon Crawford have essentially swapped career trajectories this year. Can each find success in the future?

Premium Article The Platoon Advantage: What We Mean By Worthless

by Bill Parker

Almost no popular statistic will be "worthless," exactly, and a good discourse might require more specific objections.

Western Front: If It Wasn't for Accountability, I Wouldn't Have Any Ability

by Geoff Young

The season is nearly at an end. How many predictions made in the early going actually panned out?

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Wednesday, October 3

by Corey Dawkins

Max Scherzer is the latest player to fall victim to a celebration gone wrong.

BP Unfiltered: What We Didn't See Coming

by Sam Miller

The A's success was so unexpected that we had plenty of time to say incriminatingly dismissive things about them.

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for October 2

by Larry Granillo

The tater trots for October 2: Chris Davis keeps Baltimore in the hunt for the AL East title with a record-home run.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, October 3

by Matthew Kory

Oh man the season is over.

BP Unfiltered: Nothing Can Be Uncontroversial (A Collection of Tweets)

by Sam Miller

There are people who believe Mike Trout doesn't deserve any awards this year.

Wezen-Ball: Is Miguel Cabrera Getting Enough Attention?

by Larry Granillo

Some seem to think that Miguel Cabrera's race to the Triple Crown isn't getting enough attention for such an historic feat...

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 55: Shrinking Safeco/The Unpredictability of Japanese Players

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss the Mariners' decision to bring in (and lower) Safeco Field's fences, then talk about what the seasons of Tsuyoshi Nishioka and Norichika Aoki say about the difficulty of projecting the performance of Japanese imports.

Tuesday, October 2

Head Games: The Other Thing R.A. Dickey Does Well

by Will Woods

R.A. Dickey will make his final start of the season tonight. You know how good he's been at retiring batters, but you might not know about something else he excels at.

Baseball Therapy: WARP for People Who Didn't Like Math Class

by Russell A. Carleton

A handy guide to understanding what WARP means without many numbers.

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Tiebreak That Would Bring Baseball to its Knees

by Ben Lindbergh

Ever wondered what would happen if five teams tied for a division title? Don't expect any answers: the scary thing is, no one knows.

Premium Article Bizball: Do the Dodgers Really Have a "Secret Deal" to Avoid Revenue-Sharing?

by Maury Brown

A look at whether the Dodgers' new regional sports network will help them avoid revenue-sharing duties.

Premium Article Fall Instructional League Report: Rays/Twins

by Chris Mellen

Recent BP addition Chris Mellen files from the Instructional Leagues, where he covers other people's recent additions.

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Ever-Changing Mechanics of Carl Crawford

by Chad Moriyama

What can a closer look at Carl Crawford's shifting approach at the plate tell us about his likelihood of success in Los Angeles?

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Nishioka Unsinks His Cost

by R.J. Anderson

The Twins get some salary relief, and Steve Pearce is on the move again.

Fantasy Article Value Picks: Starting Pitching Review

by Paul Sporer

Paul closes out VP's season with his starting pitcher review.

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Tuesday, October 2

by Corey Dawkins

Dustin Pedroia is out with a fractured ring finger.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, October 2

by Matthew Kory

With a funny line about Jason Bay!

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for October 1

by Larry Granillo

The tater trots for October 1: Miguel Cabrera closes the refrigerator door...

BP Unfiltered: The Third-Best ERA in History

by Sam Miller

Meet Rob Murphy, the man on the all-time ERA leaderboard.

BP Unfiltered: Putting the V in MVP

by Colin Wyers

What does valuable mean?

What You Need to Know: Tuesday, October 2

by Daniel Rathman

Mike Trout and Miguel Cabrera don't have anything to play for the rest of this season, but they have two more games to state their case for MVP.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 54: Jeff Luhnow's Season-Ending Interview Idea/Why Players and Executives Disagree About the AL MVP

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss Jeff Luhnow's plan to interview his players at the end of each season, then talk about why players and front-office executives are backing different candidates for AL MVP.

Monday, October 1

Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: October 1

by BP Prospect Staff

Prospects have a long way to climb to reach the majors. After their 2012 efforts, these guys need to keep climbing.

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Uplifting, Inspirational Yankees

by Sam Miller

When you're cheering at full volume, it's easy to see October baseball as good vs. evil, but there's plenty of humanity on both sides.

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: When Do Players Stop Developing?

by Russell A. Carleton

How old does a player have to be before we should stop expecting him to improve?

Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The 2012 Fantasy Fantasy Awards

by Derek Carty

The fantasy team votes on the year's bests, worsts, and mosts.

The Week in Quotes: September 24-30

by Hudson Belinsky, Jonah Birenbaum, Andrew Koo and Matthew Rocco

Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Monday, October 1

by Corey Dawkins

Jayson Nix is likely out for the division series, but Mark Teixeira is set to return.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, October 1

by Matthew Kory

No team's playoff odds are between 5 percent and 95 percent. We're almost there, folks.

BP Unfiltered: Edwin Starr and the NL MVP Race

by Sam Miller

The best MVP arguments taken from soul music lyrics of the 60s, 70s and early 80s.

BP Announcements: Current and Historical Umpire Stats Now Available

by Bradley Ankrom

Current and historical umpire statistics are now available in the sortable statistics.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 53: Is the Second Wild Card Working?/Explaining Mainstream Screeds Against Advanced Stats

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss whether the second wild card has made the stretch run more exciting, then talk about why papers publish columns that criticize advanced stats without making an effort to understand them.

What You Need to Know: Monday, October 1

by Daniel Rathman

Both Yoenis Cespedes and the A's have surpassed all expectations for 2012.

Fantasy Article Value Picks: Relievers Review

by Dan Mennella

Dan takes a look back at his best and worst bullpen calls this season.

Sunday, September 30

Tater Trot Tracker: Michael Morse's Totally Bizarre Grand Slam Trot

by Larry Granillo

A very bizarre thing happened in St. Louis on Saturday.

Saturday, September 29

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for Sept. 28: Bobby Abreu, All Alone

by Larry Granillo

The trot times for Sept. 28, when Bobby Abreu has the slowest non-injury related trot recorded.

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