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Rany Jazayerli 

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09-24

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The BP Wayback Machine: Dayton Moore's First Week
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-03

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The BP Wayback Machine: Hot Starts, Part III
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-29

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The BP Wayback Machine: The Right Team for the Test?
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-16

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The BP Wayback Machine: Improvement Ratio
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-20

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The BP Wayback Machine: The Importance of Being 1-0
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-27

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The BP Wayback Machine: Props for the Ozzeroo
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-15

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The BP Wayback Machine: Sweet Relief
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-10

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The BP Wayback Machine: The Doctor is...Gone
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-09

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Prospectus Q&A: Chris Hayes, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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Prospectus Q&A: Chris Hayes, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-28

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Doctoring The Numbers: When the Rains Come
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Dodgers and Nationals
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: Royals and Phillies
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-12

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Brewers and Giants
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-27

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Cubs and the Red Sox
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mariners, Braves, and Diamondbacks
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mets, Rangers, and Orioles
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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Doctoring The Numbers: Angels, Indians, and Reds
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Marlins, White Sox, and Rays
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Diving into Data
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Charlie Haeger
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-28

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Hope and Faith: How the Kansas City Royals Can Win the World Series
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Worst. Contract. Ever.
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-31

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-02

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Playoff Prospectus: Tigers versus Yankees
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-08

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-11

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-21

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2006--Setting the Stage
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-15

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Nine
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-23

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You're Gonna Laugh...
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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Top 50 Prospects
by
Rany Jazayerli and Dayn Perry

10-06

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Playoff Prospectus: Props for the Ozzeroo
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-09

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-19

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-28

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2005--Setting the Stage
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-17

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Doctoring The Numbers: A Star No One Sees
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-22

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Top 50 Prospects
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-18

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Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Wes Ferrell
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-16

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Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Ron Herbel
by
Rany Jazayerli

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Flashing back to Rany Jazayerli's assessment of the Kansas City squad that Moore inherited.

Over the next five days, the Royals and Tigers will continue to battle for the AL Central crown. Today we flash back to June 2006, when the Royals hired Dayton Moore to be their new general manager and Rany Jazayerli wondered whether Moore and the Royals could conceivably follow the turnaround modeled by... the Detroit Tigers and their talented GM, Dave Dombrowski.

At some point, an extreme performance can't simply be chalked up to simple sample size issue. Any team can play .250 ball for a week, or two weeks, or even a month. But it is now the middle of June, and as I write this the Royals have won barely one-quarter of their games--only a narrow victory over the Angels on Wednesday kept them from falling back to exactly .250--over a span of 64 games, or 40% of the season. "On pace" is an overused term in sports, but when we say the Royals are on pace to finish 43-119, equaling the 2003 Detroit Tigers' AL record for losses in a season, that is a pace not to be taken lightly. This team doesn't just suck; it sucks at a truly historical level.

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When do hot starts become significant?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

The Royals are off to a fast start this season. How much does that mean? Their early success a decade ago prompted Rany to assess the predictiveness of hot starts in the piece reprinted below, which was originally published as a "Doctoring the Numbers" column on May 6, 2003.
 


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The Rockies have tried to make a four-man rotation work before.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

This season isn't the first time the Rockies have experimented with a four-man rotation: they tried it in 2004, too. It didn't make much sense then, either, as Rany opined in the piece reprinted below, was which was originally published on May 3, 2004
 


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Roy Halladay is struggling early this spring, but this is nothing compared to the obstacles he overcame early in his career.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

Roy Halladay has had a rocky start to his exhibition season, but in 2000, he experienced far greater struggles in games that counted. Just over a decade ago, Rany Jazayerli covered both that disastrous season and the impressive turnaround that followed it in the article reproduced below, which originally ran as a "Doctoring the Numbers" column on March 6, 2002.
 


Read the full article...

Does dropping the first game of the World Series to the Cardinals mean Texas is in trouble?

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

In the wake of the Cardinals' Game 1 victory, revisit Rany's investigation of what it means to go down 1-0, which originally ran as a "Doctoring the Numbers" column on October 28, 2001.

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In part two, Rany examines just how important age is for a draft pick.

Yesterday’s column made the claim that small differences in age among high school hitters can have a dramatic impact on their return as draft picks. Today, I intend to prove that claim.

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One of BP's co-founders returns to reveal an important amateur draft inefficiency.

Everyone missed on Mike Trout. Don’t get me wrong: Trout was a well-regarded player headed into the 2009 draft, a certain first-round talent. But he wasn’t—yet—a phenom. Everyone liked Trout; it’s just that no one loved him. Baseball America ranked him as the 22nd-best player in the draft. No one doubted his athleticism or his work ethic; a lot of people doubted the level of competition he faced as a high school player from rural New Jersey. The Angels drafted him with the 25th pick overall, and they’ll tell you today that they knew he was destined to be a special player. What they won’t tell you is that they had back-to-back picks at #24 and #25, and they announced Randal Grichuk’s name first.

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We dig into the archives to give Ozzie Guillen a proper sendoff.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

In the wake of Ozzie Guillen's final game at the helm of the White Sox, let's take a look at a snapshot of the skipper in happier, World Series-winning days, which originally ran as a "Playoff Prospectus" article on October 6, 2005.

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As the Braves ride another strong bullpen to a playoff spot, rediscover the relief corps that helped them reach the playoffs in 2002.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive (and mostly free) online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audiencesend us your suggestion.

Jonny Venters and Craig Kimbrel were still years away from the majors when Rany wrote a paean to the Braves bullpen, which originally ran as a "Doctoring the Numbers" column on June 18, 2002.

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Continuing our series of excerpts from the archives, we revisit the birth of the Three True Outcomes over a decade down the line.

While looking toward the future with our comprehensive slate of current content, we'd also like to recognize our rich past by drawing upon our extensive online archive of work dating back to 1997. In an effort to highlight the best of what's gone before, we'll be bringing you a weekly blast from BP's past, introducing or re-introducing you to some of the most informative and entertaining authors who have passed through our virtual halls. If you have fond recollections of a BP piece that you'd like to nominate for re-exposure to a wider audience, send us your suggestion.

Join Rany on a tour of the pantheon of TTO heroes well over a decade after his words originally ran as part of the "Doctoring the Numbers" series on August 15, 2000.

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Completing the interview with the Royals' in-system submariner by turning to platoon splits, the Age of Disco, and vegemite.

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A conversation with that rarest of cats in the minor leagues, the inked Wildcat from Northwestern.

Chris Hayes has emerged from the humblest of baseball backgrounds to the doorstep of the major leagues. A walk-on at Northwestern University, Hayes worked his way up to the team's closer his senior year. Following graduation he spent a year in the independent leagues before signing with the Kansas City Royals as an undrafted free agent in 2006.

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