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Prospectus Hit List for July 10



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for July 9 Hit List for July 11
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Everybody get up, everybody get up, hey hey hey hey, hey hey hey hey, hey hey Hit List

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

54

34

57.3

56.5

54.9

.579

.559

56.6%

39.7%

96.2%

1.5%

4.3%

Adam Wainwright has a 2.25 ERA and is hitting .125. How would Adam Wainwright fare against himself? A) Whatever computer boy, B) Hush, Stats-face, C) Shut it, Pimply Basement-dweller, D) Not well.
2

55

37

54.6

53.9

53.4

.562

.582

66.5%

22.9%

89.4%

2.9%

1.9%

David Ortiz went 4-for-5 with two doubles and a homer. David Ortiz is irrepressible. He's not repressible either. Might be pressable though.
3

52

38

54.5

54.7

52.6

.555

.535

85.5%

5.6%

91.1%

1.1%

-2.6%

If you were designing a super hero duo for the 21st century, it would have to be the Upton brothers, right? Oh, I forgot to mention that you're also their mom.
4

49

40

53.1

58.6

58.2

.592

.611

85.3%

5.5%

90.8%

-4.1%

7.9%

Miguel Cabrera homered. Boring. Wake me when he wins the quintuple crown or something.
5

54

37

52.5

51.9

50.4

.548

.568

46.2%

39.0%

85.2%

3.7%

9.7%

The best thing about the A's having a winning season is now Brad PItt can buy a new pickup truck.
6

50

40

51.4

53.0

53.2

.564

.544

16.4%

65.7%

82.0%

-1.4%

-7.6%

Joey Votto has not walked in 43 of his 90 games. The thousands of people to witness that filth feel helpless, empty.
7

51

40

51.1

53.8

54.1

.554

.573

22.3%

41.0%

63.3%

4.2%

18.1%

The Rays have won 10 of 11. I know you can look that up yourself but it sounded spectacular so I thought I'd mention it here with a joke. David Hasselhoff. There.
8

53

36

49.4

48.7

50.3

.539

.519

27.1%

61.7%

88.8%

-0.3%

-5.3%

Pedro Alvarez came up three times. He homered and struck out twice. He’s a three true outcomes hitter with only two outcomes.
9

53

37

48.7

49.1

49.0

.554

.573

52.7%

32.6%

85.3%

4.8%

5.2%

Adrian Beltre went 4-for-4 with two home runs which isn't as good as 2-for-2 with four home runs but whatevs.
10

49

42

47.3

45.9

46.6

.494

.514

4.8%

16.1%

20.9%

-4.7%

-16.7%

Manny Machado homered. That counts as two doubles, right?
11

47

43

46.7

44.7

45.4

.501

.521

13.4%

12.5%

25.9%

5.1%

-15.1%

In eight starts since June 1, Ubaldo Jimenez has an ERA below 3.00. Call 1-800-JIM-ENEZ! Operators are standing by ready to believe you!
12

47

43

46.2

43.9

43.9

.506

.486

40.1%

4.1%

44.2%

-5.5%

11.7%

Ian Kennedy is 3-5 with a 5.31 ERA. Hey, looks like the Yankees were right about him after all!
13

43

48

45.6

46.9

44.8

.483

.463

8.3%

0.9%

9.2%

0.7%

-12.1%

22,733 fans attended Petco to see last night's Rockies/Padres game. If four of them who aren't related to the Rockies could name three Rockies in the starting lineup, I'd be shocked.
14

43

44

44.6

38.6

39.3

.475

.495

1.4%

1.5%

2.8%

0.5%

1.0%

James Shields' first inning vs. Yankees: one run, four singles, three outs. James Shields' next six innings vs. Yankees: no runs, one single, 18 outs.
15

48

42

44.3

41.1

41.5

.518

.538

6.2%

18.2%

24.4%

-7.3%

-4.2%

Travis Hafner in April: .318/.438/.667; Travis Hafner since May 1: .178/.255/.308.
16

43

46

44.2

46.0

44.8

.529

.548

1.1%

7.8%

8.9%

-3.6%

-4.5%

Joe Blanton: five innings, six runs, three walks, three strikeouts, four homers allowed, one and a half years left on his contract.
17

40

48

44.1

45.6

45.5

.486

.466

0.0%

1.7%

1.7%

0.8%

1.1%

The Cubs hit five home runs. The CUBs hit five home runs... THE CUBS HIT FIVE HOME RUNS!
18

43

46

43.6

41.4

43.3

.494

.514

0.3%

2.6%

2.9%

-1.0%

-2.8%

Poor Josh Johnson. He pitched so well but got the loss anyway. I wonder what will now come of his career?
19

46

44

43.5

41.9

41.8

.514

.494

11.7%

13.5%

25.2%

-3.2%

5.8%

The Nationals have been hit by only 16 pitches all season, 32 fewer than first place Pittsburgh. What's wrong, Washington? Don't you want to be more like Pittsburgh?
20

44

45

42.1

44.2

43.3

.537

.517

45.7%

2.4%

48.1%

6.5%

14.9%

Can acquiring Ricky Nolasco change your season? If your season is one game long, yes!
21

45

46

40.7

41.9

42.0

.468

.448

2.4%

3.4%

5.8%

1.1%

2.6%

In a one-run game in the ninth, Phillies manager Charlie Manuel was without his $13 million closer. The Phillies won. Interesting.
22

41

50

40.2

40.2

39.9

.454

.435

1.5%

0.2%

1.7%

0.5%

-3.9%

Stults ‘stonished stammering stands-dwellers with stupefying non-stilt-standing stunts.
23

39

48

40.2

39.1

38.9

.470

.451

0.4%

0.7%

1.1%

0.1%

0.0%

Yes, Marlon Byrd is slugging over .500, but his on-base percentage is wait why am I doing analysis this is the Hit List Marlon Byrd drugs not good poop joke done!
24

40

49

39.5

42.8

43.9

.486

.466

4.4%

0.4%

4.8%

-1.9%

-8.8%

On the bright side Barry Zito struck out five and pitched six innings. On the dark side everything else.
25

40

50

38.5

42.2

42.5

.466

.486

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.5%

-0.1%

Brad Miller has five hits in nine at-bats against Boston. Is he for real? Yes! You can touch him and everything!
26

37

52

38.0

40.5

41.8

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Wily Peralta threw the Brewers' first complete game since April 2011. Ryan Braun was not suspended. Good day.
27

37

50

37.9

39.3

39.7

.430

.450

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

There was a brief period where Mars was in its outer orbit and Saturn was behind Jupiter that we thought maybe, just maybe, this season wouldn’t be a total mess for the Twins. *sigh * Something to tell the grandkids about, for sure.
28

35

52

36.9

37.8

36.2

.442

.462

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Justin Verlander started. The White Sox scored 11 runs. Both happened in the same game! Isn't baseball amazing?
29

32

57

33.3

30.6

31.2

.380

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Marlins have lost six in a row and it’s looking like if they don’t do something soon their season may start circling the drain.
30

32

58

31.2

26.3

28.4

.354

.372

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Down 9-1 in the ninth, the Astros scored four runs. Gamers or number-padders? You decide!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


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