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11-25

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Christian Yelich is Poised to Break Out
by
Matt Collins

11-25

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Offseason Trades and Responding to the Default Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

11-25

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: 40-Man Additions to Know
by
Craig Goldstein

11-24

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0

Fantasy Team Preview: Detroit Tigers
by
Nick Shlain

11-21

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5

Fantasy Team Preview: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
by
Wilson Karaman

11-20

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Offseason Trades and the Default Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

11-20

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0

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-19

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4

Fantasy Team Preview: Kansas City Royals
by
Ben Carsley

11-18

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3

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-18

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Fantasy Busts
by
J.P. Breen

11-17

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0

Fantasy Team Preview: Oakland Athletics
by
Keith Cromer

11-14

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0

Fantasy Team Preview: Seattle Mariners
by
Nick Shlain

11-13

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8

Retrospective Player Valuation: American League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-13

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Fantasy MVPs of 2014
by
J.P. Breen

11-12

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9

Fantasy Team Preview: Cleveland Indians
by
Matt Collins

11-12

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2

Five to Watch: More Post-Hype Prospects for 2015
by
Ben Carsley

11-11

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0

Fantasy Team Preview: New York Yankees
by
Bret Sayre

11-11

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1

Retrospective Player Valuation: American League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-10

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7

Fantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue Jays
by
Wilson Karaman

11-07

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Fantasy Team Preview: Tampa Bay Rays
by
Jeff Quinton

11-06

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5

Five to Watch: Post-Hype Prospects for 2015
by
Craig Goldstein

11-06

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: What to Make of Odrisamer Despaigne
by
Keith Cromer

11-05

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Curb Your Pitching Enthusiasm
by
Nick Shlain

11-05

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0

Fantasy Team Preview: Chicago White Sox
by
J.P. Breen

11-04

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Players Looking for Bounce-Back Power
by
Matt Collins

11-03

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2

Fantasy Team Preview: Boston Red Sox
by
Ben Carsley

10-31

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4

Fantasy Team Preview: Houston Astros
by
Keith Cromer

10-20

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League
by
Mike Gianella

10-17

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Joe Panik
by
Ben Carsley

10-16

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Jon Jay
by
Jeff Quinton

10-15

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Lorenzo Cain
by
J.P. Breen

10-14

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Looking Back: Prospect Predictions
by
Craig Goldstein

10-13

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 1 - American League
by
Mike Gianella

10-10

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Shelby Miller
by
Wilson Karaman

10-08

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Looking Back at Super Subs
by
Paul Sporer

10-07

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Looking Back: My Favorite Endgame Targets of 2014
by
Bret Sayre

10-06

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Sergio Romo
by
J.P. Breen

10-03

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Denard Span
by
Wilson Karaman

10-02

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Trades and the Importance of Hustle
by
Jeff Quinton

10-02

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Edinson Volquez
by
Craig Goldstein

10-02

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: Are Elite Pitchers Becoming More Numerous?
by
J.P. Breen

10-01

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Josh Donaldson
by
Paul Sporer

09-29

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Expert-League Recaps
by
Mike Gianella

09-26

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Rankings Review
by
Craig Goldstein

09-25

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Using FIP to Find Value
by
Wilson Karaman

09-25

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Theory-Driven Versus Context-Driven Strategy
by
Jeff Quinton

09-25

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1

They Hold No Quarter: Starting Pitchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

09-24

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10

Dynasty Dynamics: Jumping Ship
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

09-23

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12

Fantasy Freestyle: Backing Off Backstop Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

09-22

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1

Interleague Report: Week 26
by
Jeff Quinton

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November 25, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Christian Yelich is Poised to Break Out

4

Matt Collins

Giancarlo Stanton isn't the only name to know in the Miami lineup.

Giancarlo Stanton has always been the focal point in Miami, and that is even truer now that he has signed his massive 13-year, $325 million contract. He’s not their only exciting young player, though. They have a pitching staff that includes Jose Fernandez, Henderson Alvarez, Nathan Eovaldi, and Jarred Cosart. Their outfield, besides Stanton, boasts players like Marcell Ozuna and Christian Yelich. It’s that last name I want to focus on here. Yelich is a player who obviously has a lot of traction in dynasty and keeper leagues, as he’s been touted as a top throughout his professional career. Well, things are setting up for him to take a real step forward in 2015, making him an intriguing early pick in redraft leagues as well.

Whether you’re in a league that uses batting average or OBP, Yelich is going to be helpful. At a time when the average outfielder is hitting .259 with a .321 OBP, the Marlins’ center fielder just finished his first full season and put up a .284 average and a .362 OBP. This comes from a player who consistently hit in the high-.200s or low-.300s throughout his minor-league career, and hit a similar .288 in his 273 MLB plate appearances in 2013. To make matters better, he did this with very respectable peripherals. Yelich watched his strikeout rate fall to 20.8 percent last season, while his walk rate stayed at a well above-average clip of 10.6 percent. And he did all that while keeping his swinging-strike rate below the league average.

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November 25, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Offseason Trades and Responding to the Default Effect

2

Jeff Quinton

A follow-up to last week's piece, explaining how to take advantage of offseason trade-market inefficiencies.

Last week, we discussed the ways that the default effect influences our dynasty- and keeper-league offseason trade markets. Today we will take a look at some ways to deal with and take advantage of these market realities. These ways can be broken down into two categories:

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November 25, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: 40-Man Additions to Know

1

Craig Goldstein

These prospects have cleared one hurdle keeping them from the majors, so they're worthy of your attention.

Late last week was the deadline for teams to add guys to their 40-man rosters, which is pretty much the only time anyone cares who is added to or taken off of a 40-man roster, which is why me bringing you fantasy takes on several of those players is perfect. No one cares what I have to say anyway. This is a look at guys that could matter in 2015, which means some of the more intriguing names that are still far away (Mauricio Cabrera, Brandon Drury etc) are being left off. Let’s get to the limited-upside prospects!

Jose Peraza - 2B - Atlanta
Not only did Tommy La Stella get shipped out of town, but Peraza got put on the 40-man, which means a relatively minor obstacle (but still an obstacle) is now out of his way. He’s performed well in a limited look at the upper levels, and has a good chance of contributing some time in the second half. He could make a case for reaching the major leagues earlier based on his defense (he’s a natural shortstop), but allowing his bat to mature isn’t the worst idea (or bad for fantasy owners) either. Even if he doesn’t hit, he’s a threat to contribute on the bases, so he’ll probably be worth adding no matter when he gets the call. His power comes from adding the extra base thanks to his speed, as he tends to just spin in place when he swings, without generating power by transferring his weight.


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November 24, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Detroit Tigers

0

Nick Shlain

Victor Martinez is back, Miguel Cabrera is still there, and those are two reasons why you shouldn't sleep on the fantasy options in Motown.

Even when the general manager is Dave Dombrowski, losing Jhonny Peralta, Omar Infante, Doug Fister, and Prince Fielder in one offseason is a bit much. The Tigers overcame their subtractions and, led by Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera, and Ian Kinsler, went on to win 90 games and a fourth consecutive American League Central division title, but they also had the worst Pythagorean win total (86) of the last four versions of this team.

At the trade deadline, the Tigers acquired David Price, almost acknowledging that Max Scherzer’s exit is inevitable. Early offseason moves like re-upping with Victor Martinez and the Devon Travis for Anthony Gose swap show that the Tigers will continue to be in win-now mode for the next few years. Before they address a few key areas of need, let’s take a look at the fantasy relevant players still under team control.

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November 21, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

5

Wilson Karaman

Two words: Mike Trout.

The Angels rolled their way to the best record in baseball last season on the strength of one of the best offensive units in the league. With a lineup featuring the current best player in the game as well as one of the greatest right-handed hitters in its history, they paced MLB with 773 runs scored and a collective .277 TAv. Pitching wasn’t quite as pretty, as the Halos’ 3.58 team ERA ranked just a middle-of-the-pack 15th even though they call one of the more pitcher-friendly parks in baseball home. Despite the overall mediocrity of the staff, there were several standout arms for fantasy purposes, with guys like Garrett Richards and Matt Shoemaker coming out of nowhere to produce strong returns on FAAB investments.

Despite the regular season success the Orange Countians were quickly dispatched from the playoffs by the Tasmanian Devil that was your October 2014 Kansas City Royals. But with only Jason Grilli headed from a contributing role into free agency this offseason they’ll head into 2015 as the early favorites to repeat as Western Division champions, and they currently project to feature pretty much the exact same cast of fantasy-relevant characters. Let’s take a look at what they have to offer.

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November 20, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Offseason Trades and the Default Effect

1

Jeff Quinton

Logic dictates that offseason trade activity should be virtually endless, so why doesn't this happen?

While no Major League Baseball games are currently being played, the offseason maintains a tight hold on our attention. The offseason brings every team back to 0-0 (for both major-league and fantasy baseball), and we are captivated by the hope of the new season and intrigued by the strategy each team will deploy.

Whereas in-season trades and moves tend to be limited by the competitive landscape, the offseason tends to be less limited, because more uncertainty exists about the upcoming season. In fantasy baseball, potential moves and strategies are even less limited in the sense that all teams have closer to equal resources because of parity-promoting rules and constructs such as salary caps, keeper limits, auction dollars, and draft rounds. Given all of this to go along with person-to-person inconsistency in valuing uncertain future assets (baseball players), one could assume that the offseason would be a time of torrent trade activity. In theory, each owner would continue to trade until he or she possesses each asset that he or she most values among his or her peers (obviously this depends on the value of the assets one originally owns, but you get the point). Put differently, because every owner would rank the top 300 players (or top 300 values in leagues with contracts) differently, one could assume that there would be trade after trade after trade until every discrepancy in valuation has been corrected.

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November 20, 2014 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Pitchers

0

Mike Gianella

An in-depth look at senior-circuit arms' fantasy performance during the past year.

This is the fourth part of a six-part series looking back at valuation in 2014. Today, I look at what pitchers earned in the National League.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below.

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November 19, 2014 10:08 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Kansas City Royals

4

Ben Carsley

The Royals don't have a ton of fantasy awesomeness. There's always Jeremy Guthrie!

2014 was a disappointing year for the Royals, as they lost the Wil Myers trade once and for all.

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November 18, 2014 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Hitters

3

Mike Gianella

An in-depth look at senior-circuit bats' fantasy performance during the past year.

Welcome, to my second annual look at retrospective player valuation here at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of posts examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2014. This is the third post in a series of six. The first two posts in the series focused on AL-only leagues. This post looks at last year’s National League hitters.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below.

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November 18, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Fantasy Busts

9

J.P. Breen

Examining a handful of players who underperformed fantasy investments badly in 2014.

Last week, I identified a quintuplet of players who vastly outperformed their preseason fantasy valuation, making them five of the most valuable fantasy players of the 2014 season. We flip to the infuriating side of the coin: five players who perhaps disappointed more than anyone else in Major League Baseball. It should be noted that I didn’t include guys like Joey Votto, who lost significant value due to time on the disabled list. These are players who unexpectedly sucked in 2014, but they did so for an extended period of time. There was no respite. These guys started 30-plus games or logged 500-plus plate appearances, and they were likely in your starting lineup all year. Those are the true value killers.

Let’s commiserate together.

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November 17, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Oakland Athletics

0

Keith Cromer

The A's are low on studs but have plenty of potentially useful fantasy role players.

What started out as such a promising 2014 for the A’s, a season that saw Oakland sitting at 72-44 on August 9th, and four games up in the AL West, ended in disaster, as they lost 30 of their last 46 games and finished 10 games behind the Los Angeles Angels. The historic collapse culminated in a 9-8, 12-inning loss to the Royals in an epic AL wild card game—a game they lead 7-3 in the eighth inning with their ace, Jon Lester, on the bump.

After that disappointing end to the 2014 season behind them, the Oakland A’s are looking ahead to 2015, and certainly have several question marks heading into this offseason. he A’s will need to address their middle infield - Lowrie and Callaspo are free agents- and the void in left field after the departure of Yoenis Cespedes. The A’s will also need to find some stop-gaps early on in the back end of their starting rotation while A.J. Griffin and Jarrod Parker both continue to rehab from their respective Tommy John surgeries.

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November 14, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Seattle Mariners

0

Nick Shlain

Two studs on the mound, two more at the plate, and notes on the rest of the Emerald City players who could hold fantasy value next year.

Staring a fifth consecutive fourth-place finish in the American League West in the face, the Mariners went out last offseason and signed Robinson Cano to the fourth-largest contract in baseball history at the time. The addition of Cano, a bullpen resurgence, and outstanding pitching from Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma led Seattle to a 16-win improvement in 2014. Approaching the offseason from the other side of the win curve now, the Mariners could eschew a big splash signing to merely fill their holes—designated hitter, shortstop, first base—and make it to the postseason. Before they make their moves, though, let’s take a look at the relevant fantasy players currently under the Mariners’ control.

Studs

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