CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Vote in the Internet Baseball Awards for a chance at a free copy of Dollar Sign on the Muscle
Voting ends in 1 day and 4 hours

Fantasy Articles 

Search Fantasy Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

12-07

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Strikeouts
by
Matt Collins

12-06

comment icon

4

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

12-06

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Strikeouts
by
George Bissell

12-02

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: Stolen Bases
by
Greg Wellemeyer

11-30

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Base Over/Underachievers
by
Wilson Karaman

11-29

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Stolen Bases
by
George Bissell

11-28

comment icon

1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA: A Deeper Dive
by
Greg Wellemeyer

11-22

comment icon

1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The ERA Over/Underperformers
by
Wilson Karaman

11-21

comment icon

10

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: ERA
by
George Bissell

11-18

comment icon

8

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-17

comment icon

2

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Home Runs: A Deeper Dive
by
Greg Wellemeyer

11-16

comment icon

2

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-15

comment icon

3

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Home Runs: The Over/Under Achievers
by
Wilson Karaman

11-14

comment icon

4

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Home Runs: The Landscape
by
George Bissell

11-11

comment icon

7

Retrospective Player Valuation: AL Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-09

comment icon

1

Retrospective Player Valuation: 2016 AL Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

10-17

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: An Avoid Retrospective
by
Wilson Karaman

10-10

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: A Target Retrospective
by
Wilson Karaman

10-04

comment icon

8

Closer Report: It's Award Season!
by
Matt Collins

09-29

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch
by
Wilson Karaman

09-27

comment icon

2

Closer Report: Week 26
by
Matt Collins

09-26

comment icon

0

Deep League Report: Week 26
by
Scooter Hotz

09-23

comment icon

1

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25
by
Greg Wellemeyer

09-21

comment icon

0

Deep League Report: Week 25
by
Scooter Hotz

09-20

comment icon

1

Closer Report: Week 25
by
Matt Collins

09-19

comment icon

0

The Buyer's Guide: Ender Inciarte
by
J.P. Breen

09-16

comment icon

12

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24
by
Scooter Hotz

09-15

comment icon

1

Fantasy Freestyle: What I Learned This Year
by
Wilson Karaman

09-15

comment icon

6

Dynasty Dynamics: The Barren Land of Fantasy Backstops
by
Ben Carsley

09-13

comment icon

0

Closer Report: Week 24
by
Matt Collins

09-13

comment icon

0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 24
by
Mike Gianella

09-12

comment icon

0

Deep League Report: Week 24
by
Scooter Hotz

09-12

comment icon

0

The Buyer's Guide: Deep Minor-League Grabs
by
J.P. Breen

09-09

comment icon

1

Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success
by
Mike Gianella

09-09

comment icon

13

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23
by
Scooter Hotz

09-07

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Three Thoughts About 2016
by
J.P. Breen

09-06

comment icon

0

Closer Report: Week 23
by
Matt Collins

09-06

comment icon

1

Deep League Report: Week 23
by
Scooter Hotz

09-02

comment icon

0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 92
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

09-02

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

09-02

comment icon

4

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22
by
Scooter Hotz

09-01

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Low-Minors Prospects I Like
by
Wilson Karaman

08-31

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: Worrying About Innings Limits
by
J.P. Breen

08-30

comment icon

0

Closer Report: Week 22
by
Matt Collins

08-29

comment icon

1

The Buyer's Guide: Hernan Perez and Friends
by
J.P. Breen

08-29

comment icon

5

Deep League Report: Week 22
by
Scooter Hotz

08-26

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: DRA Do-Gooders
by
Wilson Karaman

08-26

comment icon

15

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21
by
Scooter Hotz

08-25

comment icon

3

Dynasty Dynamics: What the Hell Is Happening: AL Edition
by
Ben Carsley

08-23

comment icon

6

The Buyer's Guide: Keon Broxton
by
J.P. Breen

<< Previous Column Entries No More Column Entries

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 7, 2016 8:30 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Strikeouts

0

Matt Collins

Who really stepped up to miss bats, and who will need to try a little harder in 2017.

On Tuesday, George Bissell broke down the landscape around the league with respect to strikeouts. Unsurprisingly, he found that K’s are continuing to rise for both starters and relievers. However, with the shrinking workloads being given to starters, it’s getting harder and harder to find those true fantasy assets who can accrue massive strikeout totals. Today, we will look at some of the pitchers who over performed or under performed their expected value in this category.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 6, 2016 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Hitters

4

Mike Gianella

The speed merchants sat atop the mixed league valuations in 2016. Should we expect more of the same in 2017?

Welcome to my fourth annual look at retrospective player valuation at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of articles examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2016. This is the fifth article in a series of six. The first four articles in the series focused on NL-only and AL-only leagues. The final two posts examine mixed leagues, with this article examining hitters.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below. (If you have been reading along for the entire series, note that there are some changes for the mixed league articles).

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 6, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Strikeouts

0

George Bissell

We are in uncharted territory with this category, so let's make a plan.

Nearly a quarter of all major-league plate appearances (21.1 percent) ended with a strikeout last season. A decade ago, that number was just 17.1 percent. Isolated from broader historical context, those numbers don’t accurately reflect the scale of the league-wide rise in strikeout rate over the last decade. Pitchers struck out opposing batters at the highest rate in the modern era, which dates back to 1947 (according to Sam Miller on a recent episode of the Effectively Wild podcast), in each of the past nine seasons. Meanwhile, walk rates have remained relatively stagnant, ebbing and flowing between seven and nine percent, during the same period.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 2, 2016 9:51 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: A Deeper Dive: Stolen Bases

0

Greg Wellemeyer

Run fast, my young risers.

The Risers

Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 30, 2016 12:10 pm

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Base Over/Underachievers

0

Wilson Karaman

Speed kills, and it's hard to project, too.

Yesterday George Bissell laid out the speed landscape, which last year continued to appear significantly less densely populated than it had in years (and especially decades) past. Go forth and acquire speed, young bloods, for it is an asset in demand. Let’s take a look at some of the players who over- and under-performed relative to pre-season expectations in 2016, before diving a little deeper into the category later this week.

Overachievers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 29, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: Stolen Bases

0

George Bissell

Are fantasy owners finally running on empty?

While home run totals have experienced a meteoric rise over the past two seasons, stolen bases have followed an inverse trend, especially during the last five years. Here’s an oversimplification: After major-league teams swiped just 2,505 bases in 2015, the lowest single-season total since 1974, they managed just 2,537 thefts league-wide in 2016.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 28, 2016 9:09 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA: A Deeper Dive

1

Greg Wellemeyer

How to view Michael Fulmer and Aaron Sanchez for 2017, and why Coors Field ruins everything.

No time for wasted words as we collectively crawl out of our Thanksgiving stupor. George Bissell wrote about the ERA landscape, Wilson Karaman wrote about some over- and under-achievers, and here’s the ERA deep dive:

The Risers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 22, 2016 8:06 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The ERA Over/Underperformers

1

Wilson Karaman

Who surprised last year and what does that mean for 2017?

Yesterday, George Bissell gave a rousing introduction to our bloated American landscape of low innings totals, high earned run averages, and higher ace valuations in turn. With managers increasingly inclined to limit third-time looks, workhorse starters are becoming as rare as split-ticket voters, and an old-world strategic play of bulking up rotation back-ends with average innings-eaters may just be gone forever by the wayside. Before we get too lost in nostalgia, let’s take a look at a few guys who either over- or under-performed in the category of ERA.

Over-Performers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 21, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: The Landscape: ERA

10

George Bissell

It's not exactly business as usual for how we view starting pitchers in fantasy.

The league-wide proliferation of home runs has fueled a rapid increase in run scoring over the past two seasons. After nearly a decade of offensive decline, major-league pitchers were the ones most adversely affected by the recent onslaught of round trippers. A confluence of factors like injuries, the aforementioned offensive uptick, and fewer starters eclipsing the 200-inning plateau have widened the gap between the upper echelon fantasy starters and the remainder of the talent pool. Before we take a deep dive into the fantasy ramifications of these latest developments, within the context of ERA, let’s survey the overall landscape.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 18, 2016 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Pitchers

8

Mike Gianella

It's the good stuff. Not like those imitation AL pitchers.

Welcome to my annual look at retrospective player valuation here at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of posts examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2016. This is the fourth post in a series of six. The first two posts in the series looked at AL-only leagues, the next two shifted their focus to NL-only, and the final two posts will examine mixed leagues.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 17, 2016 11:16 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Home Runs: A Deeper Dive

2

Greg Wellemeyer

Can you count on this year's unexpected sluggers to produce in 2017?

Today we wrap the first categorical overview with a deeper dive into some players who posted unexpected home run totals in 2016. If you haven’t already, I highly suggest you read George Bissell’s summation of a season that saw more balls leave the yard than any save Y2K, as well as Wilson Karaman’s breakdown of some high profile over- and under-achievers.

The Risers

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 16, 2016 8:07 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Hitters

2

Mike Gianella

Just as we thought heading into the season, it was the Villar and Murphy show in the junior circuit.

Welcome to my annual look at retrospective player valuation here at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of posts examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2016. This is the third post in a series of six. The first two posts in the series focused on AL-only leagues, the next two shift their focus to NL-only, and the final two posts will examine mixed leagues.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Column Entries No More Column Entries