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Prospectus Hit List for June 18



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for June 16 Hit List for June 20
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

You've been waiting for a Hit List like this to come into your life. You've been waiting for a Hit List like this, a List that will survive.

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

43

28

49.1

47.5

47.5

.659

.677

67.6%

26.9%

94.5%

0.2%

1.4%

You know those stats that say so-and-so could go 0-for-50 and still be having a good season? So Josh Donaldson was like hmmm...
2

43

28

41.5

41.2

41.1

.581

.562

65.8%

26.9%

92.7%

-1.9%

-4.2%

Buster Posey is slugging .418 which is either an attempted tribute to number 42, Jackie Robinson, or he’s just not hitting that well. So Giants fans, he’s repping a Dodger badly, or he’s not good: you decide!
3

41

31

39.9

37.9

37.9

.544

.564

53.2%

13.5%

66.7%

-5.7%

-11.0%

On the first pitch of the game, the Blue Jays hit 1.000/1.000/4.000. On all subsequent pitches they didn’t hit.
4

39

34

39.9

39.7

38.5

.538

.518

33.5%

48.6%

82.1%

1.0%

-2.8%

Thing about Puig’s bat flipping is Dodger Stadium is a non-flippers park, so his flipping is even more impressive when you include that park adjustment.
5

37

34

39.8

37.2

37.3

.533

.553

4.1%

24.8%

28.9%

2.8%

-4.9%

The best hitter in Spring Training was Brad Miller who OPS’d 1.314 is something that I wouldn’t say in or near Seattle for a while.
6

36

33

38.9

38.2

38.2

.548

.528

63.7%

8.9%

72.6%

3.8%

-4.6%

The Nationals used six pitchers in last night’s game, three with ERAs in the 1.00s and none of whom had an ERA above 2.99. They combined to give up five runs.
7

39

32

38.9

41.9

41.9

.569

.550

53.0%

26.7%

79.6%

4.0%

12.2%

You gotta love how the Cardinals casually plucked one of the best young starters in baseball with the 19th pick in the 2012 draft. Oh, wait, did I say love? I meant hate with the white-hot intensity of a thousand suns.
8

43

29

38.8

38.4

37.6

.548

.528

39.0%

35.2%

74.2%

4.3%

11.1%

Turns out Ryan Braun didn’t need to cheat after all because all you need for a great on-base percentage is a good-‘n-pissed off Kirk Gibson.
9

38

32

38.8

43.7

44.0

.587

.606

27.7%

54.1%

81.8%

3.0%

-4.1%

After Mike Trout's second homer last night, the Angels color guy said, "Memo to other teams, don't throw anything down." He should've stopped after "throw."
10

38

32

37.0

33.2

33.5

.506

.526

21.9%

12.8%

34.7%

4.8%

22.5%

With last night’s win, the Royals are now in first place. The last time the Royals were in first place was two seconds ago.
11

34

37

37.0

37.6

35.3

.501

.481

0.6%

6.4%

7.0%

-2.7%

2.4%

Troy Tulowitzki is hitting .361 and is the only qualifying player left with an OPS over 1.000. His OPS is 1.111.
12

36

34

36.7

34.2

33.4

.501

.481

4.8%

3.7%

8.6%

1.4%

-4.8%

Giancarlo Stanton went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and the Marlins hit a three-run home run and won anyway. It’s almost like they’re a real team. So cute!
13

36

34

34.6

34.0

34.1

.495

.515

11.5%

10.3%

21.8%

2.0%

3.4%

The Orioles are fourth in average, 16th in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging in case you still need to get them something for Father’s Day.
14

36

36

34.0

34.0

34.2

.480

.500

13.9%

10.5%

24.4%

-4.6%

-5.9%

The Indians have committed a league-leading 65 errors this season and that doesn’t even include having a racist logo and insensitive nickname.
15

36

34

34.0

34.4

35.7

.500

.480

27.5%

14.4%

41.8%

-7.7%

-16.1%

B.J. Upton’s OPS has dropped 174 points since leaving the Rays. Which means the Braves might need another outfielder. Quick! Trade for Desmond Jennings!
16

31

40

34.0

31.5

31.5

.451

.431

1.4%

0.7%

2.1%

-0.6%

-2.1%

Coming to a theater near you: Dice-K Matsuzaka is going to... [ominous music] pitch for your team!! [screaming sounds] Rated R for overly realistic situations and grotesque peripherals. Man: “Thirty walks in… 40.2 innings? Oh… my… god…” [woman screams]
17

33

38

33.8

34.5

34.0

.476

.496

7.6%

8.0%

15.6%

2.1%

-1.2%

Brock Holt became the first player to play center field and left field simultaneously when he raced into left field and caught a fly ball while Jonny Gomes was searching for his lost “H.”
18

34

36

33.7

36.0

36.7

.501

.481

3.4%

12.2%

15.5%

-3.4%

2.6%

There are many serious Pirates stats to contemplate but Cumpton pitched last night so I'm afraid all I have are giggles. /giggles
19

34

35

33.5

33.5

33.8

.488

.468

4.6%

13.2%

17.8%

1.3%

8.8%

The Reds lead baseball in sacrifice bunts, meaning maybe Dusty Baker has been sitting in their dugout with Groucho glasses this whole time.
20

36

31

33.3

35.2

34.5

.519

.538

57.0%

10.8%

67.8%

-5.4%

-8.7%

Over the past two days Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer have given up 17 runs in 10 innings to the 22nd ranked team in OPS, the Royals… “Wake up, Jimmy! You’re naked at school and you didn’t study for that test!” “Phew…”
21

34

37

32.9

32.6

32.4

.465

.485

2.8%

2.7%

5.5%

0.3%

-3.6%

Adam Dunn had four at-bats, one run scored on one hit, and one RBI. But he didn’t homer! Tease.
22

29

40

32.9

34.4

34.1

.473

.453

0.1%

0.9%

0.9%

-0.7%

-1.1%

Jeff Samardzija was in line for the win but the bullpen blew it errr ziip Jeff Samardzija was in line for the win but the bullpen blew it errr ziip Jeff Samardzija was in line for the win but the bullpen blew it errr ziip Jeff
23

32

37

32.4

32.5

32.6

.469

.489

4.4%

3.3%

7.7%

-0.2%

-2.1%

The Twins have allowed three runs in total over the last two days. During that time they are 0-2. Because, during that time, they were, are, and will still be the Twins.
24

36

33

31.8

31.3

32.5

.477

.497

26.8%

14.5%

41.3%

3.3%

11.1%

If the Yankees had signed Ubaldo Jimenez instead of Masahiro Tanaka they’d be 12 games behind Toronto instead of 4 and they’d also be the Orioles.
25

32

40

31.7

33.9

35.4

.462

.482

0.1%

0.9%

1.0%

0.2%

0.4%

“Five innings, four walks, and four runs for Dallas Keuchel, man that guy is terrible” – Me in every universe except this one
26

35

36

31.6

28.8

29.6

.440

.460

0.6%

5.8%

6.4%

-2.1%

1.8%

Mitch Moreland is leaning toward season-ending ankle surgery but not too far because his ankle is really messed up.
27

31

38

30.9

30.2

30.6

.444

.425

2.6%

1.4%

4.1%

1.5%

1.9%

Ryan Howard walked against left-hander Luis Avilan but Avilan was facing the wrong way on the rubber and thus pitching the other way around the Earth. Presumably.
28

30

44

30.6

32.1

32.1

.422

.402

0.1%

0.6%

0.7%

-0.2%

-1.7%

Kirk Gibson is now president of all baseball rules and sure, nobody elected him, but it’s an unwritten presidency and now that you’ve questioned it [throws ball]
29

28

44

30.3

35.0

35.1

.446

.466

1.0%

0.9%

1.8%

-0.6%

0.9%

We’ve done the math and even with an extra two percent the Rays would still be in last place.
30

29

42

27.2

25.2

25.0

.375

.356

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

-0.1%

-1.7%

The Padres have struck out 574 times this season, or 140 times more than Tony Gwynn did in his 20-year career.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
mhmckay

I shared your quote and Derek Norris beard photo with my wife and mother in law. They were both suitably impressed, and I received valuable "amusing husband / son-in-law" points, redeemable in ways I can't describe on a family website. Thank you Prospectus Hit List!

Jun 18, 2014 14:53 PM
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