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Prospectus Hit List for April 25



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 23 Hit List for April 28
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's Friday, Friday, gotta Fun Fact on Friday.

RkTmWLW1W2 W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

14

7

13.9

15.2

15.0

.597

.578

37.1%

23.9%

61.0%

0.5%

5.9%

Aaron Harang has an 0.85 ERA after striking out 11 and walking just WAKE UP AARON, YOU’RE LATE FOR SCHOOL
2

14

8

15.0

14.9

14.4

.594

.613

40.6%

23.6%

64.2%

2.9%

1.8%

Two seasons ago Scott Kazmir had a 5.34 ERA for the Sugar Land Skeeters. Now his 1.62 ERA is the 14th best ERA in the majors. The lesson? Sign Tracy McGrady immediately!
3

16

6

13.5

14.7

14.3

.581

.561

44.2%

18.7%

62.9%

1.4%

17.0%

The Brewers are 9-1 on the road, 7-1 in day games, and 10-0 when they play in front of a crowd of 30,000 or more. But, they’re just 3-3 when the game lasts less than 2:45! Achilles heel! Achilles heel!
4

12

11

13.2

14.4

13.5

.528

.508

4.0%

13.3%

17.3%

0.2%

3.7%

Charlie Blackmon’s OPS on the road is .746 which is pretty good considering traffic.
5

10

12

11.1

12.6

12.9

.537

.557

25.7%

18.2%

43.9%

-4.0%

-1.0%

Heath Bell’s night: hit-by-pitch, single, double, homer, who cares
6

11

11

13.1

13.0

12.7

.535

.515

16.4%

14.9%

31.3%

3.4%

7.4%

Of qualified players, the worst hitter in baseball is Reds shortstop Zack Cozart who is hitting .139/.162/.236.
7

10

12

12.1

11.9

12.4

.481

.461

1.7%

2.5%

4.2%

0.3%

2.4%

Adeiny Hechavarria has stolen one base and been thrown out stealing a league-leading three times. (They set off the giant smoking fish in left field for caught-stealings too.)
8

12

11

11.3

11.6

12.4

.532

.513

45.6%

18.5%

64.1%

-4.2%

-3.4%

The Nationals left 14 runners on base last night. Lucky tonight’s game is in Washington too.
9

12

11

12.5

12.0

11.9

.531

.512

34.1%

18.2%

52.3%

-4.4%

-14.7%

Kolten Wong is having a rough start to the season with just a .275 on-base percentage. On the plus side though, harder to get picked off if you’re not on base, right?
10

11

12

11.4

11.4

11.6

.480

.500

8.3%

6.8%

15.0%

-2.2%

-4.9%

Gordon Beckham returned to go 0-for-4 with three strikeouts, making it almost as if he never arrived.
11

10

11

12.4

12.0

11.5

.541

.561

25.8%

26.4%

52.2%

-3.7%

-0.3%

Who are these guys? What a bunch of no-names. I suppose it's like this with any team's accounting department staff email directory, but still.
12

14

8

10.9

11.8

11.5

.525

.545

27.3%

21.9%

49.2%

2.0%

17.3%

Hector Noesi has the worst ERA on the Rangers… and the Mariners.
13

9

14

10.9

10.3

11.2

.474

.454

4.5%

6.2%

10.7%

-2.1%

-8.3%

The Pirates… [must not make fun of Brandon Cumpton's name...] played a… [must not make fun of Brandon Cumpton's name...] baseball… game… IT’S TOO HARD
14

11

10

11.1

10.8

11.0

.485

.505

6.3%

4.5%

10.9%

2.0%

1.7%

Twins pitchers have 126 strikeouts combined. Give Jose Fernandez the same number of innings as the Twins and he’d have 282 strikeouts.
15

13

9

11.2

11.6

10.9

.528

.547

33.5%

19.6%

53.2%

3.7%

4.2%

Brett Gardner ended last night’s game with more runs scored than at-bats, and he had three at-bats.
16

13

10

12.2

12.0

10.9

.560

.540

70.7%

18.5%

89.2%

0.2%

-1.6%

When Yasiel Puig eats a bite of soup, he flips his spoon.
17

11

12

10.2

9.9

10.6

.470

.450

3.4%

10.2%

13.6%

0.7%

-4.5%

The Padres have been hit by one pitch this season. It was a big pitch.
18

11

11

10.4

10.3

10.5

.482

.502

12.8%

9.4%

22.2%

1.3%

-0.8%

It’s shameful that just 10,440 came to Progressive Field to see Bruce Chen nope actually that’s about right, never mind.
19

11

8

9.7

10.4

10.2

.543

.562

62.0%

9.2%

71.2%

4.4%

6.9%

Danny went 1-for-3 which is one hit more than Stephen Drew got, notes Danny Worth’s mom.
20

11

11

11.1

10.5

10.1

.496

.516

11.1%

12.2%

23.3%

-3.1%

-1.0%

The Blue Jays bullpen is so bad it’s not even the best at being the worst.
21

11

11

9.8

8.9

10.0

.466

.446

9.8%

10.4%

20.2%

4.0%

6.3%

Prepare to understand the depths to which you do not understand baseball: Ryan Howard is hitting .250/.321/.542 against left-handers.
22

12

10

11.4

10.2

10.0

.519

.499

21.6%

33.2%

54.8%

-1.5%

-8.0%

The Giants OPS is 18th in baseball in games the Giants win, and 18th in baseball in games the Giants lost. Overall the Giants OPS is 17th in baseball.
23

10

13

9.7

9.9

9.9

.487

.507

21.2%

18.9%

40.1%

-3.0%

-10.7%

How bad are the Red Sox right now? Outfielder Mike Carp’s ERA is less than two runs higher than two of their most prominent relievers.
24

10

11

9.8

9.8

9.6

.476

.496

10.6%

8.2%

18.8%

-3.9%

-4.5%

The Royals have hit fewer homers than words in this sentence.
25

8

13

9.7

9.0

9.4

.464

.484

6.1%

8.4%

14.5%

0.0%

-12.6%

Robinson Cano has a .687 OPS. Put a Mariner uniform on him and he turned into a $240 million Dustin Ackley. Maybe consider adding pinstripes?
26

7

14

9.2

9.6

9.2

.435

.415

0.9%

1.4%

2.3%

-0.6%

-0.7%

Last night the Cubs went 0-for-9 with runners in scoring position. On the season they have a .594 OPS in such situations, effectively making them, at the most important moments of the game, Zack Greinke.
27

11

10

10.9

9.1

8.9

.479

.499

8.4%

12.2%

20.7%

3.6%

4.0%

Chris Davis enjoyed beating the shift with two singles. Then he enjoyed the beat at The Shift with two singles. Life is good.
28

12

10

10.5

8.3

8.7

.453

.433

5.8%

7.4%

13.2%

2.0%

-0.8%

“Daisuke Matsuzaka got the save so sure the Mets season is going great.” “Are you being sarcastic?” “I have no idea.”
29

7

18

7.1

8.1

8.2

.392

.373

0.3%

2.7%

2.9%

0.0%

-0.7%

Roger Kieschnick struck out three times, grounded weakly to the pitcher, and made an error allowing two runs to score. That’s a tough night. I’m just glad nobody writes about me when I do a bad Hit List.
30

7

16

6.6

7.1

7.5

.362

.381

0.1%

0.4%

0.5%

-0.0%

-0.1%

Let’s play Find The DH. Here’s the Astros lineup by batting average: .269, .222, .217, .171, .190, .149, .247, .167, .211. Now guess! Did you guess? It’s the lowest one!

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


3 comments have been left for this article.
Pat Folz

"IT'S TOO HARD"

ooh ooh I get it!

Apr 25, 2014 23:47 PM
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+1

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Sharky

This is seriously (or irreverently) one of the best features on BP.

"Nationals left 14 runners on base. Fortunately tonight's game is in Washington too." Classic.

Also enjoyed the "Jenrry Mejia" to the tune of "Henry the Eighth I Am" a few days back. Genius.

Apr 26, 2014 16:40 PM
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+2

down_image
 
Sharky

Should mention: the Aaron Harang school wake up call was also solid.

Apr 26, 2014 16:41 PM
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0

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