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Prospectus Hit List for September 13



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 12 Hit List for September 16
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Seven a.m., waking up in the morning, Gotta be fresh, gotta go Hit List

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day 7-Day
1

79

68

73.5

66.2

67.7

.487

.507

0.0%

16.7%

16.7%

2.1%

6.6%

Derek Jeter should challenge the decision to be put on the disabled list and play during the appeal injured.
2

78

68

77.7

75.6

76.8

.527

.547

0.4%

22.0%

22.4%

2.8%

6.3%

Ryan Raburn's career splits in US Cellular Field: .315/.369/.553. He just hates phones so much.
3

85

61

84.8

84.0

81.9

.575

.594

84.7%

15.1%

99.9%

0.1%

5.0%

Yesterday they were 5-for-7 with RISP. One of the outs still scored a run. Stats are weird.
4

77

69

77.5

71.1

72.0

.510

.530

0.0%

4.6%

4.6%

-1.1%

3.5%

Hey, funny story. The Royals are on pace for their seventh-worst team OPS in franchise history (.697). But onto the funny story: I saw this horse the other day drinking water through a straw!
5

85

61

89.1

83.1

82.9

.582

.563

50.3%

49.6%

99.9%

-0.1%

0.5%

Which woodland critter will be their rally animal this postseason? They've already used a squirrel and a tortoise. May I humbly suggest the capybara. It's weird looking, but furry and could also play shortstop for them.
6

83

64

84.7

86.2

86.6

.579

.560

12.3%

85.8%

98.1%

-0.4%

0.2%

Rather fitting that Billy Hamilton keeps bumming rides off his teammates.
7

84

62

90.1

96.9

96.2

.629

.647

99.6%

0.3%

99.9%

-0.1%

0.1%

Victor Martinez's batting average after May: .228. His average now: .297. Thanks to all who donated to his Vicstarter.
8

77

69

73.9

76.0

74.5

.516

.496

0.0%

2.1%

2.1%

0.4%

0.1%

Well, ya picked a heck of a time for your first six-game losing streak. Admittedly, better now than Christmas.
9

89

59

90.9

90.1

89.5

.607

.626

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

The secret to September success? The Boston clubhouse is fully stocked with takeout grilled chicken and herbal tea.
10

67

79

68.5

65.4

67.3

.459

.479

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brett Lawrie's 0-for-5 gave him a WPA of -.460, so it's not fair to say the loss was all his fault. Not even half his fault. Just 46 percent his fault.
11

66

81

65.0

70.4

71.0

.463

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Tim Lincecum will have a difficult decision this offseason: some money or more money.
12

65

81

60.3

64.8

63.9

.435

.455

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Felix Hernandez doesn't have a complete game this year. Aaron Harang had two shutouts for them. They released the wrong pitcher IMHO.
13

66

79

62.2

62.4

62.6

.436

.417

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Good thing Brad Boxberger was good at pitching, otherwise he'd have to go back to work with his dad at the local Boxberger drive-in down on the corner.
14

68

78

60.4

60.9

62.7

.431

.412

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Everyone in the starting lineup scored a run yesterday, except for Roy Halladay, who walked with the bases loaded, which is twice as neat and made everybody else totes jelly.
15

70

76

72.1

73.9

72.9

.495

.515

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Colin Cowgill and Erick Aybar batting 1-2 is a good strategy because it perfectly sets up the two-out Mike Trout-in-scoring-position situation.
16

64

81

65.4

63.6

63.4

.442

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Six innings, four hits (three homers), three runs, one walk, 10 strikeouts. At this point, Aaron Harang is pitching as a performance artist.
17

88

58

88.7

87.2

83.7

.595

.576

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

"Wait, is that Freddy Garcia pitching for the Braves?" — Braves fans, some Braves players, and possibly even the Braves general manager
18

58

88

61.5

60.3

60.5

.411

.431

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Charlie Leesman's pitching line: seven seven batters faced, seven runs allowed, zero outs recorded, jumping his ERA from 1.59 to 7.15.
19

62

84

67.2

69.8

69.9

.460

.441

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Cubs used four pitchers in the eighth inning, probably not at the same time, which is a shame.
20

67

80

71.2

70.1

66.9

.468

.448

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Rockies' ballpark is not located on Rockie Road, because people would keep eating the street, then how would you get there?
21

50

96

54.4

48.1

50.6

.348

.366

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

A team made entirely of Jose Altuves and Brett Oberholtzers might actually be competitive, certainly adorable but perhaps raise ethical questions in the scientific community.
22

86

60

81.8

84.8

82.8

.574

.555

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Nothing can bring this team down! That is, until MLB finds out their major league roster is like 71 players.
23

54

91

58.1

53.6

54.7

.380

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Hopefully everybody with the Marlins learned a valuable lesson: never stare directly at a home run. It's kind of like the afternoon sun, a man's toupee, or the other person in the elevator.
24

63

82

65.2

68.5

70.3

.460

.440

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

They're spoiling the NL Central the only way brewers know how: doing everything at room temperature.
25

63

82

60.4

63.9

63.9

.433

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Let's play a game. Find Scott Diamond, and elbow him in the side saying "Diamond in the rough, huh?" Keep doing this. You get 50 points for every minute he does not call the police.
26

85

61

78.3

81.4

82.6

.561

.541

37.4%

62.5%

99.9%

0.1%

-0.1%

Once they finally clinch a playoff spot, it will be interesting to see what brand of grog they spray themselves with in celebration.
27

73

72

71.8

69.8

69.8

.490

.470

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.7%

Ripped from the headlines: Martin Prado has already shattered the franchise record for GIDPs in a season with 28. Orlando Hudson had 21 in 2003.
28

77

69

77.5

75.6

76.5

.525

.545

0.0%

3.8%

3.8%

-5.1%

-5.2%

Here's a list of players with 100+ PAs and a 1.000+ OPS: Miguel Cabrera, Chris Davis, Hanley Ramirez, Mike Trout … and Danny Valencia.
29

79

66

76.1

84.8

85.5

.561

.581

0.0%

66.7%

66.7%

3.9%

-7.6%

Evan Longoria hit a triple, which requires so many things to go right, specifically all three outfielders getting caught in separate bear traps.
30

81

64

80.3

79.7

78.8

.551

.571

15.3%

70.7%

86.0%

-2.7%

-8.8%

The Rangers may also break a Pirate-like streak: they may score fewer than 4.5 runs per game for the first time since 1992. The reverse curse could be reversed!