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Prospectus Hit List for May 10



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 9 Hit List for May 13
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

A Hit List so good that not even a major-league umpire could screw it up

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC% Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

10

25

10.7

9.6

10.7

.341

.359

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

This roster is so young, they've had complaints of prospects kickflipping off Tal's Hill.
2

10

25

11.6

10.8

10.8

.362

.344

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

Executives got nervous when no fans showed up to the ballpark until they realized it was an off day. Not until what they thought was the fourth inning, though.
3

16

15

16.2

15.5

16.5

.460

.479

0.4%

1.5%

1.8%

0.0%

0.4%

Oswaldo Arcia was a single and a double short of the cycle, which is like being a barf bag short of an airplane.
4

13

23

12.8

12.4

13.4

.434

.453

0.6%

2.4%

3.0%

-1.7%

-1.9%

They say up there that baseball is a game of centimeters. Or a game of centimetres. Or a game of poutines. Or a game of curling.
5

13

21

15.2

17.2

17.2

.472

.452

1.8%

3.8%

5.6%

-0.1%

-3.1%

Jeff Samardzija leads the majors with six wild pitches, which makes sense because he has long hair and consonants just flying every which way.
6

14

18

14.5

13.7

13.9

.453

.473

1.3%

4.6%

5.9%

-0.5%

-3.1%

It's almost Mother's Day, so hopefully you got her some Tyler Flowers.
7

16

20

14.8

14.4

14.6

.445

.425

2.6%

3.7%

6.3%

-6.7%

-12.8%

So far Delmon Young in fight field hasn't caused any revolts, but just to be sure, keep an eye on Eastern Europe.
8

16

18

15.2

14.6

15.0

.458

.438

3.0%

3.4%

6.4%

-0.5%

2.2%

Your team leader in wins: Jason Marquis. ...Congratulations?
9

16

19

14.4

16.2

16.1

.462

.482

3.2%

5.2%

8.4%

-0.0%

0.4%

They're last in the majors with just 10 stolen bases, none of which belong to Raul Ibaņez. Yet.
10

15

17

14.7

15.3

15.8

.474

.454

3.4%

5.5%

8.8%

-0.3%

-7.3%

Jean Segura is a baseball player having a great start to the season, and not a clothing store as previously thought.
11

14

17

15.3

14.5

14.2

.481

.461

5.1%

8.6%

13.7%

1.9%

0.5%

Brandon Lyon entered yesterday's game with a one-run lead, the bases loaded, and nobody out in the sixth inning. He gave up a sacrifice fly and was credited with a blown save. What a bum.
12

12

22

13.6

14.9

14.5

.475

.495

6.8%

12.1%

19.0%

2.1%

-10.6%

Perhaps this is the start of that inevitable 25-game winning streak! If not, they can always protest.
13

19

15

19.7

22.2

21.9

.536

.517

13.2%

11.3%

24.5%

-0.5%

7.1%

Good news: they only allowed six runs in a three-game series to the Yankees! The bad news: they lost the series.
14

21

14

20.1

19.2

18.9

.517

.537

8.5%

17.4%

25.9%

-3.5%

8.4%

That's now 16 times, mostly Nolan Reimold, they've batted their designated hitter ninth. It's kind of like a nicotine patch for the National League.
15

16

18

17.5

17.3

18.2

.519

.539

10.0%

16.7%

26.7%

1.6%

-3.0%

Congratulations to the Rays, the first winners of the season on a walkoff walk. Pretty good shrimp fishin' in the bay area.
16

18

18

18.8

18.4

17.8

.507

.527

13.0%

14.7%

27.7%

-4.0%

-9.4%

Yet another tough break as Adam Rosales' ninth inning walk yesterday was not ruled a 7-run homer.
17

18

16

17.0

16.5

16.9

.502

.482

11.7%

16.2%

27.9%

-3.0%

-5.3%

What's weirder: that Jason Grilli leads the NL in saves, that Mark Melancon leads the league in holds, or that they still keep track of holds?
18

18

13

17.5

16.0

16.5

.514

.534

7.1%

21.2%

28.3%

4.2%

2.9%

Eric Hosmer finally has caught up to Chris Getz on the season home run total (1).
19

13

20

12.3

14.8

15.0

.491

.471

18.6%

14.6%

33.2%

0.6%

-25.3%

I am assuming Zack Greinke is making his minor league rehab start using a hobo collarbone.
20

18

14

19.4

20.2

19.5

.553

.573

15.8%

26.7%

42.5%

4.0%

17.4%

They have six wins by seven runs or more. All of last year they had four.
21

20

15

17.5

17.0

17.2

.513

.493

26.8%

16.1%

42.9%

-6.4%

-6.1%

Kayakers used to love padding up to watch games at AT&T Park until they built those outfield seats, legend has it.
22

20

15

20.4

19.5

19.8

.548

.528

38.4%

20.9%

59.3%

4.7%

11.2%

Gerardo Parra had two hits and two outfield assists last night. He loves two of everything, just like that one Bible guy ... Jesus.
23

19

15

15.9

15.9

16.4

.515

.495

37.0%

24.5%

61.5%

3.8%

8.0%

Denard Span has more total bases against the Tigers than any team, and should start openly campaigning for more
24

21

12

21.1

17.8

17.5

.549

.529

40.1%

24.1%

64.2%

1.7%

14.4%

Off days are the perfect time for Cardinals pitchers to work on their beards, which mostly involves sleeping until noon.
25

21

14

20.0

20.5

20.3

.559

.578

31.8%

32.4%

64.2%

-1.6%

-10.6%

They moved Joel Hanrahan from the 15-day disabled list to the 60-day disabled list. I like to imagine this as them saying, "here, walk into this bigger hospital."
26

19

16

19.8

19.8

19.1

.555

.535

43.0%

25.3%

68.3%

-1.2%

3.6%

Off days are chili eating contest days! Jonathan Broxton KNEW he signed here for a reason.
27

20

13

17.7

16.8

16.7

.551

.570

49.1%

24.3%

73.4%

1.4%

-1.8%

Is it me or does this team get five times more intriguing when they don't have a designated hitter?
28

21

13

21.5

21.8

21.7

.575

.556

55.2%

22.1%

77.3%

5.9%

13.1%

Laird, McCann or Gattis? They'll just play all three behind home plate at the same time. NO WILD PITCHES, EVER.
29

21

13

20.7

21.4

20.6

.584

.603

76.9%

7.1%

84.1%

-0.1%

9.3%

They haven't blown a save opportunity yet in 10 tries, the only team remaining to be perfect in such situations.
30

19

13

21.0

22.8

22.1

.620

.638

75.4%

13.6%

89.1%

-1.8%

1.7%

They're 0-5 in LA and DC, formally cementing themselves as a wholesome midwestern team.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


6 comments have been left for this article.
mgolden
Other readers have rated this comment below the viewing threshold. Click here to view anyway.

Yes, Canada is different from the US in general, just as parts of both Canada and the US are different from each other. And Toronto is a lot more like Minneapolis than New York is like West TX. I read Baseball Prospectus to learn about baseball, not stupid stereotypes. Enough already.

May 10, 2013 07:10 AM
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Auggie6

You're a douche, do Canadians know what that means?

May 10, 2013 09:20 AM
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+2

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jmanig78

Dude, chill, I'm from Montreal and the comment made me laugh out loud.

BTW the Brandon Lyon thing I'm pretty sure happened to Mariano Rivera in a playoff game a decade or so ago.

BTW no. 2, Brandon Lyon is still pitching?

May 10, 2013 10:21 AM
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spekeburton2013

Kind of nice for the Cubs' comment to be a clerical error and not something original.

May 10, 2013 07:18 AM
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BP staff member Matt Sussman

Cut and paste error on my part. It's fixed.

May 10, 2013 08:40 AM
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0

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steve.k

i'm still laughing about the hobo collarbone

May 10, 2013 09:38 AM
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0

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