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Prospectus Hit List for April 29



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for April 26 Hit List for April 30
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Just another manic Hit List.

RkTmW LW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

18

7

16.7

16.5

16.4

.601

.620

35.3%

35.7%

71.0%

2.7%

9.0%

John Lackey won his first game since August 23, 2011, which put them up 8½ games of Tampa Bay — practically an insurmountable lead!
2

13

9

12.9

11.5

11.8

.517

.537

9.8%

13.8%

23.6%

-0.9%

0.9%

Yesterday night was their first Sunday loss this year — which includes two doubleheaders.
3

15

9

14.7

14.4

14.2

.560

.540

44.3%

18.1%

62.4%

-1.8%

-4.5%

Four straight losses and they still have the best National League record. Still, they could use another one of them fancy 12-1 streaks.
4

16

9

15.8

16.1

15.2

.590

.609

64.8%

13.2%

78.0%

-3.3%

3.9%

Six runs in a series in Target Field is one way, albeit an inadvisable one, of making Joe Nathan feel at home.
5

15

9

13.6

12.9

12.9

.566

.585

48.6%

29.3%

77.9%

2.5%

5.6%

Could their disabled list beat the Marlins? I mean today — even injured.
6

13

10

13.7

14.9

14.6

.591

.610

78.1%

7.9%

86.0%

0.9%

6.1%

I like to imagine every Tigers starter gets a free pizza from Mike Ilitch for every strikeout, which means Anibal Sanchez will soon have a weight problem.
7

15

10

14.4

15.8

15.0

.521

.501

4.3%

7.5%

11.9%

-1.0%

-3.5%

A million monkeys with a million typewriters couldn't type a narrative where Jon Garland was in a first-place team's rotation. But one of them did stumble upon "Yorvit Torrealba."
8

15

10

13.7

13.7

13.9

.528

.508

20.3%

17.9%

38.1%

6.4%

11.2%

We're going to have Russell Martin lead the team in home runs and see if anyone notices.
9

14

10

14.6

11.1

11.3

.519

.499

23.5%

19.0%

42.5%

-3.6%

6.9%

Jake Westbrook is your unlikely ERA leader, because velocity is not factored into ERA. Yet.
10

15

10

15.0

14.6

15.3

.531

.551

3.6%

12.8%

16.4%

-2.6%

5.4%

It would level the playing field a little bit of Chris Davis had to hit the rest of his home runs one-handed.
11

15

10

14.6

13.6

14.0

.549

.530

29.5%

27.3%

56.8%

1.8%

8.6%

Paul Goldschmidt has a terrible curse where everything he touches turns to goldschmidt.
12

11

10

10.4

10.7

10.9

.455

.475

0.4%

1.2%

1.6%

0.4%

-0.0%

Kevin Correia is eating several innings in Target Field, several of which are deep fried and on a stick, which can't be good for his health.
13

12

11

11.0

10.3

10.5

.473

.453

7.1%

7.7%

14.8%

-1.2%

1.6%

Yes, that was Yuniesky Betancourt batting cleanup for them. And why wouldn't he?
14

14

12

14.4

14.4

13.8

.527

.547

16.5%

15.8%

32.3%

1.9%

-11.8%

The postgame pie in the face is EXACTLY why Eric Sogard wears glasses.
15

13

12

12.6

12.8

12.9

.517

.497

17.3%

18.4%

35.8%

-3.8%

-14.4%

During their five-game losing streak they have been outscored by a combined seven runs, but they gave up six runs to San Diego in one inning.
16

13

12

11.2

11.7

11.4

.507

.487

36.6%

16.1%

52.7%

-4.3%

-4.0%

Adam LaRoche is clavicle-deep in an 0-for-25 stretch with no walks or hit by pitches, although that last part is ostensibly a good thing.
17

12

12

10.3

13.1

13.1

.536

.516

47.5%

20.3%

67.8%

4.8%

3.3%

Three of the four team shutouts were Clayton Kershaw starts. This is just me noticing patterns all over the place.
18

14

12

15.6

15.7

14.7

.566

.546

46.3%

22.4%

68.7%

2.7%

-3.2%

No truth to the rumor they are changing the name of the city to Cincinngrani. Just think of all the maps that would require changing.
19

9

13

10.0

10.7

10.4

.478

.498

8.4%

9.4%

17.8%

-0.6%

-4.1%

Days when Mike Aviles drives in five runs are days invented by one of the various trickster gods.
20

10

13

11.8

11.4

11.5

.490

.470

8.3%

7.8%

16.0%

-1.2%

-7.1%

With eight home runs in his first month, John Buck has the most dingers by a Mets catcher in one season since 2010.
21

12

13

13.2

14.0

14.8

.538

.558

11.2%

25.2%

36.3%

3.6%

5.2%

Jeremy Hellickson's ejection gave me an idea: rather than lose your manager, why not have your four other starting pitchers argue calls for you?
22

10

14

10.5

10.3

9.9

.449

.469

3.3%

5.1%

8.3%

-1.3%

-0.6%

Just checking in to see if Jeff Keppinger has walked yet. He has not, and his average (.202) is still higher than his on-base (.198).
23

12

14

11.9

12.1

12.4

.483

.463

10.8%

9.5%

20.3%

2.9%

2.3%

You just know somewhere someone is arguing for Ryan Howard to be a full-time pinch hitter based on his career .421/.476/1.026 line. It might be me.
24

9

15

9.1

8.9

9.8

.428

.409

1.3%

3.0%

4.3%

0.6%

1.7%

They may have swept the Giants, but the Padres won the first two games and the finale was won by a mysterious set of trees.
25

9

15

9.7

9.9

9.9

.477

.497

15.9%

21.1%

37.0%

-3.3%

-12.4%

One year ago yesterday, Mike Trout was called up to the major leagues. But you're right, the season's probably over for them.
26

9

15

10.2

11.7

11.6

.462

.443

2.9%

4.8%

7.8%

-2.4%

1.2%

Carlos Villanueva's mustache deserves its own set of separate baseball statistics.
27

11

16

9.8

11.7

11.7

.446

.465

2.8%

4.4%

7.1%

1.8%

1.4%

If he keeps pitching this well, fans will start referring to him by his actual name, Hisashi Iwakuma, and not "Pitchiro Suzuki."
28

9

17

9.3

8.7

9.2

.432

.451

1.3%

5.3%

6.6%

-1.8%

-8.5%

A 1-5 road trip to the United States is one reason to never go back to the United States. Another valid reason: you call this gravy?!
29

7

18

7.8

7.2

8.0

.343

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

Strikeouts are the new black.
30

6

19

7.1

6.1

6.5

.342

.324

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

-0.1%

Giancarlo Stanton watches his home run fly over the scoreboard. "You're free now, baseball," he says, shedding a single tear.