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Prospectus Hit List for September 13



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 12 Hit List for September 14
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Some teams are good, some are bad, but as a group they're .500.

Rk TmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

77

66

77.9

80.3

81.9

.555

.574

0.3%

24.3%

24.6%

-13.6%

-21.0%

"We're talking to Albert Pujols who homered in tonight's Angels game. Albert, can you tell us what it's like to play with Mike Trout?"
2

71

72

74.4

74.4

74.2

.514

.494

0.8%

3.0%

3.8%

1.0%

2.7%

The winning Diamondbacks offense consisted of five singles, four walks, a stolen base, and a sacrifice fly.
3

81

63

80.4

79.4

79.4

.556

.536

0.3%

99.5%

99.8%

0.5%

7.8%

Paul Maholm faced nine hitters in the fifth inning yesterday. He got one of them out. It was fellow pitcher Yovani Gallardo who sacrifice bunted.
4

80

62

68.8

66.5

68.3

.499

.519

16.1%

31.5%

47.6%

5.4%

10.3%

Nate McClouth: playoff team leadoff hitter. At this point the Orioles are just mocking us.
5

64

79

69.6

71.8

71.9

.485

.505

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Alfredo Aceves is taking a multi-step approach to getting the heck out of Boston. Step 1: Pitch badly. Step 2: Be a jerkstore. Step 3: Repeat as necessary
6

76

66

77.3

73.7

72.9

.528

.548

51.3%

2.0%

53.3%

-11.1%

-11.3%

Kevin Youkilis and his new mustache hit two homers. Don't tell me the mustache had nothing to do with it. That's just admitting you don't understand aerodynamics.
7

56

87

58.7

55.6

55.6

.395

.376

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Hope for a quicker turnaround than many are expecting? The Cubs bullpen has combined for a 4.72 ERA, worst in the majors.
8

87

57

81.4

79.3

76.7

.563

.543

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Ryan Ludwick is 34 years old, on his sixth team, and crushing the ball (.275/.345/.534). Things like this make me think we'll never get this whole analysis thing down.
9

59

84

53.8

58.1

59.2

.402

.422

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In the fierce battle for a better draft pick (and thus higher draft budget), Cleveland is being competitive by not being competitive.
10

57

85

61.4

58.1

58.1

.413

.394

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Troy Tulowitzki is back with the team, though he's not playing. I imagine this is sort of embarrassing for the rest of the club, like when your older brother comes back from college and sees that you still wet the bed.
11

75

67

74.6

77.2

77.5

.536

.556

48.7%

2.4%

51.1%

12.6%

2.1%

Max Scherzer's ERA by month: 7.77, 4.04, 3.86, 3.62, 2.25, 1.23
12

45

98

49.6

49.8

49.9

.340

.322

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jed Lowrie's triumphant return to the lineup came last night. Lowrie missed two months, during which the Astros went 11-40.
13

65

77

66.8

63.4

63.1

.455

.475

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Salvador Perez in 248 plate appearances: .319/.343/.515. (He's a catcher.) (For the Royals.)
14

74

69

73.4

72.3

72.1

.510

.490

1.0%

18.5%

19.5%

0.4%

3.4%

The Dodgers are supposed to be scary but they're not. They're like watching a monster movie at twice the speed so the characters walk too fast and talk with high-pitched voices.
15

63

81

61.5

63.4

64.2

.438

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

At this point the Marlins are just playing out the string, trying to use the remaining games to prepare for 2013, which explains why they gave two at-bats to... Austin Kearns?
16

72

71

75.5

75.2

72.4

.516

.496

0.0%

3.8%

3.8%

1.6%

3.5%

If the Brewers win a Wild Card spot I'll have to go back into the archives and delete so many of these comments.
17

59

84

61.0

63.4

63.2

.431

.451

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In the eighth inning of last night's game, the Twins used four pitchers, one for each run they gave up to Kansas City.
18

80

62

80.6

81.0

82.0

.570

.589

74.8%

17.5%

92.3%

7.1%

-0.7%

The Yankees are developing a reputation for not hitting in the clutch (going 0-for-13 with runners in scoring position last night didn't help), yet the team is 11th in team OPS with runners in scoring position.
19

65

78

66.3

69.7

71.7

.477

.457

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

I was going to say the Mets are a wounded chicken running around a courtyard, but no. Actually, they're the sautéed breast sitting on your plate
20

82

60

80.8

77.7

78.5

.562

.581

13.3%

79.6%

92.9%

6.0%

41.5%

Brandon Moss and his .262/.327/.568 line is the Baltimore Orioles of major leaguers.
21

72

71

70.8

73.3

73.4

.506

.486

0.0%

2.7%

2.7%

1.6%

2.7%

Jonathan Papelbon has pitched in six out of the Phillies' seven straight wins. “Pretty crazy, right?” said Papelbon while putting his arm back into a guitar case he keeps in his locker.
22

72

70

70.9

70.9

69.0

.498

.478

0.0%

5.6%

5.6%

0.3%

-14.3%

Once in the lead for a playoff spot, the Pirates are left wondering if they can even achieve a winning record. Twenty games left to prove they aren't who we thought they were.
23

69

75

67.9

68.1

67.3

.473

.453

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In August Yasmani Grandal had five singles, one homer, six strikeouts and 11 walks, all of which led to this odd looking line: .188/.409/.281
24

69

74

69.3

66.7

68.1

.477

.497

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

In a shameful display the Mariners failed to recognize Kevin Millwood's 37 Percent Perfect Game. It was not close to being a thing of beauty and the team should have said so.
25

81

62

76.7

75.1

73.8

.536

.516

98.2%

1.2%

99.4%

0.4%

5.8%

The top five in the Giants order went 10-for-25 against Rockies pitching which makes them collectively slightly below average.
26

75

68

80.2

80.8

78.6

.550

.530

0.0%

65.4%

65.4%

-5.8%

-11.7%

Pitcher wins and all, but did you know Kyle Lohse is 14-3? Oh stop, you did not!
27

77

65

79.9

80.9

82.3

.564

.583

9.1%

29.4%

38.5%

-6.2%

-20.6%

As the famous explorer and amateur baseball analyst Inigo Montoya used to say, "Live by the Farnsworth, die by the Farnsworth."
28

85

57

83.0

87.4

86.2

.601

.620

86.4%

13.3%

99.7%

-0.2%

-0.3%

Adrian Beltre left the game in the fifth with a strained left shoulder. Mike Olt replaced him but left the game in the seventh when he hurt his right heel. Josh Hamilton left the game in the eighth with a sore knee. I will now exit this comment with sore fingers.
29

64

77

66.1

62.0

63.8

.454

.474

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If the Blue Jays were a flavor of ice cream they'd be melted.
30

89

54

86.4

88.0

86.1

.611

.592

99.7%

0.3%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

What was to be Stephen Strasburg's final start featured both a win by his replacement John Lannan and the creation of a new meme, Strasburging, wherein the protagonist seethes quietly on a bench for three hours.

Matthew Kory is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matthew's other articles. You can contact Matthew by clicking here


4 comments have been left for this article.
jedjethro

Funny and pithy comments make for fun reading as always.

Sep 13, 2012 09:17 AM
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+1

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BP staff member Matt Kory

Thanks!

Sep 13, 2012 11:15 AM
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dodgerdan

Dodger batters #2-5 have been atrocious. Can't hit the floor with their shoes and one hears these analysts, coaching staff, talking how the players need time to get to know each other before they gel. BS. Manny Ramirez showed up in LA a few years ago, stepped out of the shower, and carried club to the Promised Land

Sep 13, 2012 11:11 AM
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R.A.Wagman

Love the Jays comment. So apt.

Sep 13, 2012 11:28 AM
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+1

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