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Prospectus Hit List for July 11



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 9 Hit List for July 14
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's Friday, Friday, Garza get down on Friday.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

58

34

61.7

60.0

60.0

.651

.669

70.5%

29.2%

99.7%

0.5%

2.3%

John Jaso is the first catcher to hit a triple from the leadoff spot since ... John Jaso in 2010. Before that it was Jason Kendall, like, all the time.
2

54

37

53.6

57.1

56.6

.608

.627

28.5%

69.5%

98.0%

0.9%

5.8%

He may or may not become an All-Star someday, but Kole Calhoun is like the Kirkland brand of Mike Trout.
3

51

37

48.9

50.5

49.4

.568

.587

88.1%

5.4%

93.4%

4.4%

1.1%

Rick Porcello had the votes to make it to the All-Star Game, but all those votes just happened to find holes.
4

49

43

52.6

51.5

50.3

.553

.572

0.9%

37.3%

38.2%

-4.5%

-16.9%

Tom Wilhelmsen made his first MLB start, but at 2 2/3 it's not his longest appearance, so it was more of a major league cold open.
5

50

41

48.3

47.7

47.0

.530

.550

46.3%

10.1%

56.4%

6.5%

18.6%

They say you oughta hit your best hitter second, and lo, there's Steve Pearce in the 2-hole. Can't complain.
6

48

45

49.3

48.3

48.8

.522

.542

30.8%

8.6%

39.4%

0.4%

-16.5%

Aaron Loup had gone 55 straight innings without allowing a home run. This sentence is in the past tense, which means something bad happened to that streak.
7

49

41

51.6

50.7

50.6

.561

.541

66.3%

14.2%

80.5%

-2.3%

1.5%

Integrity is doing the right thing when no one is looking, and the Nationals have only been caught stealing nine times, but everybody was watching so merely talent.
8

52

42

52.8

53.3

51.5

.557

.537

68.6%

21.6%

90.2%

3.3%

0.7%

Juan Uribe is having the best hitting season of his career, but still uses Netscape Navigator.
9

50

43

48.2

51.3

51.2

.539

.520

41.2%

22.6%

63.8%

-2.6%

0.5%

By many defensive metrics, Jhonny Peralta is the best shortstop in the game this year. Defensive metrics also say "Just Shoot Me" was the best show of the '90s, for some reason.
10

47

44

46.2

42.9

44.4

.496

.516

6.7%

15.6%

22.3%

-6.1%

-0.5%

Because sometimes you want to impress the girls by batting Danny Valencia cleanup, showing you don't answer to no one.
11

50

42

48.4

49.3

48.8

.530

.510

31.4%

37.7%

69.1%

-4.4%

-3.7%

Actually, Madison Bumgarner is a great argument *for* the designated hitter, because then MadBum could hit every day for the Giants.
12

45

46

44.7

43.9

44.1

.488

.508

4.1%

12.0%

16.1%

3.5%

3.7%

The best ongoing romantic tension this season is between Nick Swisher and the .200 batting average mark, sometimes called the Menbroza line.
13

52

41

48.3

47.8

47.3

.525

.505

28.9%

27.5%

56.4%

-4.0%

-20.6%

One minute, Matt Garza is taking a no-hitter into the seventh inning. Next thing you know his team loses by eight. Short-term memory loss is no joke.
14

42

52

43.3

48.5

48.6

.485

.505

2.6%

1.3%

3.9%

-0.1%

1.3%

David Price shouldn't be flipped for prospects because there are injury concerns, never mind that ... hold on, I'm learning "flip" is another word for "trade."
15

49

43

49.0

47.3

47.3

.523

.503

19.4%

26.5%

45.9%

-3.7%

16.8%

In yesterday's lineup, Todd Frazier came in with 15 home runs and the rest of the lineup had 14.
16

48

44

46.1

48.3

49.0

.520

.500

10.5%

20.3%

30.9%

7.5%

9.1%

Sorry, your search for "Edinson Volquez complete game" produced no results on urbandictionary.com.
17

50

42

46.6

46.8

47.0

.517

.497

32.2%

26.2%

58.4%

6.4%

-3.6%

Pitching wins should continue to be valued and referenced, if only so we can say Aaron Harang still leads the team in them.
18

44

49

44.1

43.1

43.3

.469

.489

0.6%

2.4%

3.0%

-0.9%

1.1%

Chris Sale got voted in by the fans, but not the players. Maybe if he let more players reach base...
19

46

45

41.5

40.9

42.0

.468

.488

18.9%

6.3%

25.2%

-4.7%

3.0%

I thought "Zelous Wheeler" was the original name for the NES game ExciteBike?
20

42

49

42.7

42.9

42.6

.468

.488

0.5%

1.4%

1.9%

0.2%

0.3%

For the hometown Home Run Derby, a former beloved Twin who bats left-handed will return for the event. No, not David Ortiz.
21

41

51

40.1

41.1

41.3

.444

.464

1.4%

0.9%

2.3%

-0.1%

-3.1%

So far no team has claimed AJ Pierzynski off waivers, although several expressed interest in taking a swing at him.
22

42

50

46.5

44.3

44.2

.481

.461

0.6%

0.9%

1.5%

-0.3%

0.5%

They batted Bartolo Colon eighth, so did it work? Well he had fewer strikeouts than Lucas Duda, so you tell me.
23

44

47

45.1

43.1

42.7

.480

.460

0.8%

1.3%

2.1%

-0.1%

-0.3%

Chrisian Yelich does not wear number '7,' presumably to jokeblock me from making a "The Seven Yelich" reference.
24

39

54

38.7

40.5

42.8

.433

.452

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

The Astros swept the Rangers for the first time in 11 years, which is great or terrible news depending on how badly you want the Astros to snag another No. 1 draft pick.
25

39

52

42.9

44.4

44.3

.469

.449

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

-0.0%

-1.0%

Congratulations to the Cubs and Anthony Rizzo, winners of their first Final Vote All-Star in over 106 years.
26

39

53

42.5

43.7

41.9

.450

.431

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

0.0%

Justin Morneau lost the Final Vote, but will hit in the Home Run Derby as a consolation, just like Walter Mondale did in 1984.
27

41

51

41.3

39.6

40.2

.441

.421

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.2%

0.3%

Great to see Grady Sizemore back in the majors, and bear in mind he is still younger than five of the Phillies' Opening Day hitters.
28

38

54

36.1

34.4

35.9

.393

.412

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

But on the good news, a position player pitched for them yesterday! Let's skip past the bad news.
29

39

54

39.7

40.1

40.0

.427

.407

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Vidal Nuno threw seven innings in his first Diamondbacks start without allowing a run, matching Brandon McCarthy's total on the year.
30

40

52

39.3

36.7

36.6

.415

.395

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.1%

Chase Headley, he broke Clayton Kershaw's scoreless inning streak. No seriously, go chase him that wasn't cool.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
outdoorminer

Was the Angels comment an Aldi reference? Will people look down on me for knowing that it could be?

Jul 12, 2014 11:19 AM
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