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2013 Projections (seasonal age 28) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | ARI | 23 | 16 | 7 | 56.0 | 37.0 | 19.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 48 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 68 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 66 | 3.05 | 3.30 | 3.92 | 11.4 | 1.1 |
| 2009 | ARI | 24 | 30 | 30 | 170.3 | 170.3 | 0.0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 741 | 166 | 94 | 78 | 20 | 280 | 63 | 62 | 10 | 174 | 4.12 | 3.83 | 4.56 | 27.6 | 2.7 |
| 2010 | DET | 25 | 31 | 31 | 195.7 | 195.7 | 0.0 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 800 | 174 | 84 | 76 | 20 | 273 | 70 | 69 | 7 | 184 | 3.50 | 3.68 | 4.23 | 26.9 | 2.6 |
| 2011 | DET | 26 | 33 | 33 | 195.0 | 195.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 832 | 207 | 101 | 96 | 29 | 346 | 56 | 55 | 7 | 174 | 4.43 | 4.18 | 4.74 | 13.9 | 1.0 |
| 2012 | DET | 27 | 32 | 32 | 187.7 | 187.7 | 0.0 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 787 | 179 | 82 | 78 | 23 | 293 | 60 | 58 | 5 | 231 | 3.74 | 3.22 | 3.52 | 39.7 | 4.0 |
| 2013 | DET | 28 | 9 | 9 | 62.3 | 62.3 | 0.0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 44 | 26 | 25 | 5 | 78 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 75 | 3.61 | 2.45 | 3.39 | 12.4 | 1.3 |
| Career | 151 | 142 | 867.0 | 848.0 | 19.0 | 58 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 3 | 3633 | 818 | 411 | 372 | 102 | 1338 | 283 | 277 | 35 | 904 | 3.86 | 3.61 | 4.18 | 131.8 | 12.7 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | VIS | A+ | 3 | 3 | 17.0 | 1.28 | 173 | .060 | .262 | .335 | .409 | .270 | .192 | 87 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | MOB | AA | 14 | 14 | 73.7 | 4.20 | 110 | .251 | .271 | .348 | .403 | .269 | .310 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | SUR | Wnt | 8 | 0 | 12.7 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .185 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2008 | ARI | MLB | 16 | 7 | 56.0 | 3.92 | 119 | .236 | .276 | .347 | .441 | .270 | .307 | 104 | 11.5 | 1.2 | 11.4 | 1.1 |
| 2008 | TUC | AAA | 13 | 10 | 53.0 | 3.28 | 135 | .197 | .282 | .356 | .456 | .275 | .289 | 105 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | PDD | Wnt | 4 | 4 | 24.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .210 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2009 | ARI | MLB | 30 | 30 | 170.3 | 4.56 | 105 | .255 | .272 | .343 | .432 | .269 | .308 | 106 | 23.0 | 2.3 | 27.6 | 2.7 |
| 2009 | VIS | A+ | 1 | 1 | 4.7 | 3.48 | 113 | .168 | .270 | .365 | .392 | .285 | .100 | 88 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | DET | MLB | 31 | 31 | 195.7 | 4.23 | 108 | .247 | .270 | .335 | .416 | .268 | .297 | 103 | 26.4 | 2.8 | 26.9 | 2.6 |
| 2010 | TOL | AAA | 2 | 2 | 15.0 | 2.36 | 149 | .112 | .265 | .341 | .407 | .254 | .121 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2011 | DET | MLB | 33 | 33 | 195.0 | 4.74 | 96 | .280 | .266 | .329 | .420 | .270 | .314 | 102 | 15.2 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 1.0 |
| 2012 | DET | MLB | 32 | 32 | 187.7 | 3.52 | 123 | .254 | .267 | .329 | .428 | .272 | .333 | 103 | 39.8 | 4.2 | 39.7 | 4.0 |
| 2013 | DET | MLB | 9 | 9 | 62.3 | 3.39 | 122 | .206 | .256 | .326 | .417 | .273 | .275 | 97 | 12.4 | 1.3 | 12.4 | 1.3 |
| Career | MLB | 142 | 867.0 | 4.36 | 105 | .254 | .268 | .334 | .424 | .270 | .310 | 81 | 88.5 | 9.2 | 92.1 | 8.7 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | SUR | Wnt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12.7 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0% | .185 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 12.8 | 0.87 | 2.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | MOB | AA | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 73.7 | 64 | 40 | 76 | 3 | 50% | .310 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 9.3 | 1.41 | 3.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | VIS | A+ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17.0 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 54% | .192 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 15.9 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | ARI | MLB | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 56.0 | 48 | 21 | 66 | 5 | 43% | .307 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 10.6 | 1.23 | 3.05 | 11.4 | 1.1 |
| 2008 | PDD | Wnt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 24.0 | 16 | 5 | 24 | 3 | 0% | .210 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 0.88 | 3.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TUC | AAA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 53.0 | 35 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 53% | .289 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 13.4 | 1.08 | 2.72 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | ARI | MLB | 9 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 170.3 | 166 | 63 | 174 | 20 | 43% | .308 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 9.2 | 1.34 | 4.12 | 27.6 | 2.7 |
| 2009 | VIS | A+ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 40% | .100 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 9.6 | 1.06 | 1.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | DET | MLB | 12 | 11 | 0 | 31 | 31 | 195.7 | 174 | 70 | 184 | 20 | 42% | .297 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 8.5 | 1.25 | 3.50 | 26.9 | 2.6 |
| 2010 | TOL | AAA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15.0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 48% | .121 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 10.2 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2011 | DET | MLB | 15 | 9 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 195.0 | 207 | 56 | 174 | 29 | 42% | .314 | 9.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 1.35 | 4.43 | 13.9 | 1.0 |
| 2012 | DET | MLB | 16 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 187.7 | 179 | 60 | 231 | 23 | 38% | .333 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 11.1 | 1.27 | 3.74 | 39.7 | 4.0 |
| 2013 | DET | MLB | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 62.3 | 44 | 13 | 75 | 5 | 41% | .275 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 10.8 | 0.91 | 3.61 | 12.4 | 1.3 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-10-02 | 2012-10-02 | On-Alr | 0 | 0 | Right | Ankle | Sprain | Celebrating | - | - |
| 2012-09-24 | 2012-10-03 | DTD | 9 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Fatigue | - | - | |
| 2012-09-19 | 2012-09-23 | DTD | 4 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Fatigue | - | - | |
| 2012-06-29 | 2012-07-08 | DTD | 9 | 0 | Right | Thigh | Tightness | Hamstring | - | - |
| 2012-04-09 | 2012-04-13 | DTD | 4 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
| 2010-03-23 | 2010-03-28 | Camp | 5 | 0 | Right | Fingers | Blisters | Index Finger | - | |
| 2009-03-29 | 2009-04-14 | 15-DL | 16 | 7 | Right | Shoulder | Stiffness | - | ||
| 2009-01-23 | 2009-02-18 | Camp | 26 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Fatigue | - | ||
| 2008-06-21 | 2008-07-21 | Minors | 30 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Inflammation | Fatigue | - | |
| 2006-04-08 | 2006-05-16 | Coll | 38 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Inflammation | Biceps Tendinitis - In College Miss Couple of Starts | - | |
| 2006-03-01 | 2006-03-01 | Coll | 0 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Inflammation | Tendinitis In College Miss 2 Start | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Max Scherzer is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-09-27 13:00:00 | Max Scherzer drives me nuts. What is your take on how he'll fare in 2012? (Matt from Malone, NY) | Yeah, he's been doing that to fantasy owners. I think he was a bit too overhyped this season, but I still like him and think he will deliver a better season next year than he did in 2011. His stuff is still there (aside from a fastball that's been rising a bit less, according to PITCHf/x) and he harnessed his control a bit better this season, so I don't see any reason why a 3.75 ERA isn't attainable next year with 15 Wins a 1.30 WHIP. I think a small bounceback in strikeouts is also a good bet; he's not a sub-8.0 K/9 guy. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-06-29 13:30:00 | Who are your favorite players to deal with, both past or present? (Gerald from Savannah) | Geez. That's a tough one because there are so many good guys I have dealt with in 24 years of covering baseball. I hate to leave people out but some of my favorites would have to include Sean Casey, John Burkett, Jay Bell, Craig Wilson, Jason Schmidt, Michael Barrett from the past. From the present: Jason Bay, Cole Hamels, Carlos Pena, Scott Rolen, Brandon Phillips, Nyjer Morgan, Neil Walker, Joel Hanrahan, Adam Jones, Max Scherzer, Don Kelly, Chris Perez, Adam Dunn, Matt Capps, Torii Hunter, Kurt Suzuki, Ian Kinsler. (John Perrotto) |
| 2010-12-02 13:00:00 | I can buy that response about Porcello/Greinke. I don't like it, but ya know how fans are. Same question but insert Max Scherzer? Who'll have the better next 5 seasons(as you say, sans injury.) (singledigit from San Diego) | I'd put my money on Scherzer, whose second half was fantastic and a sign of things to come. Verlander/Scherzer/Turner/Porcello/Oliver could be scary good, especially if I'm wrong about Porcello. I can understand others picking Greinke, though, given the longer track record. (Ken Funck) |
| 2010-11-11 13:00:00 | By the time they both hit about 32-yrs old....who has had the better career, Max Scherzer or Rick Porcello? (lemppi from Ankeny, IA) | Scherzer. He's already shown that he can strike out major league hitters, and that is the best predictor of future success. There's no doubt that Porcello has crazy upside but he's not getting whiffs yet, and so I have to play the odds and say Scherzer. (Matt Swartz) |
| 2010-08-26 13:00:00 | You forgot Fallout: New Vegas, which I'm not really excited for as much as under the thrall of the original two (I geeked out when my buddy played "A Kiss to Build a Dream On" at his wedding, it's that bad). Also I asked about local multiplayer games last chat and can report that the Scott Pilgrim game is worth the $10 if you like side scrolling beat 'em ups at all. Unfortunately it'll probably be around and relevant longer than the movie
Same keeper question, with three free pitchers: Jaime Garcia, Max Scherzer, Clayton Richard
(Jack from Boston) | I'm not that excited for New Vegas, honestly. I'll pick it up eventually but I'm not in a rush to get it at all. I was planning on picking up the Scott Pilgrim game next time I turn on my 360, as I already have some points in my XBLA account. I saw the movie last night, and it was everything I wanted it to be--it's a shame no one else is going to see it, because it's fantastic.
Scherzer's numbers don't tell the story of how excellent he has been this year. He's at 2.28 ERA, 9.5 K/9, 3.7 BB/9 and 0.6 HR/9 since he returned from the minors. Scherzer is a stud. I like Clayton Richard quite a bit, though Kevin Goldstein and I currently disagree on whether or not his strikeout rate is for real. He got it up to 6.7 last year after never coming close to that outside of a brief 44 inning stint at Triple-A, and is up at 7.1 now. An above-average K rate and the ability to keep the ball on the ground more often than in the air makes me confident he'll continue to succeed. Garcia is a lot like Richard, actually, though he's a groundball pitcher which makes him a better bet. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-06-10 13:00:00 | In a 10 team (typical 5x5 roto) league I just traded away Jose Reyes and Wade Davis for Zorilla and Scherzer (I'm 1st in steals, last in RBI). Fair trade? Winner? Loser? (WilliamWilde from Boston, MA) | I *love* Max Scherzer, so the fact you were able to get him while selling low on Reyes is pretty great in my mind. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-06-02 13:00:00 | Max Scherzer: back on the track to stardom or just overpowering a lousy offensive team? (Thrilla Killa Klowns from Magical Mysteries) | He's gonna work it out. I'm still a believer. His stuff is electric. (Tommy Bennett) |
| 2010-05-19 13:00:00 | If a pitcher's fastball velocity is down significantly (let's say > 1.5 mph and there's no reliever to starter conversion to explain it) compared to the previous year, at one point in the season is it more likely than not that this is a real change instead of just an early season dead arm phase or small sample size? I would guess that we are there at least by now. My immediate concern pertains to Max Scherzer, but it's really a more general question. (Michael from Detroit, MI) | I worry when I see a 10% reduction, but it's not that simple. It depends on his secondary pitches, his pitch selection, whether he relies on his velocity, and more. With Scherzer, I think it's just being out of whack rather than an injury. His mechanics are still relatively new to him, having been changed pretty significantly by the Dbacks. I wonder whether the Tigers were trying to make some changes as well. (Will Carroll) |
| 2010-05-05 13:00:00 | What do you do with young Tigers' pitcher Max Scherzer and Rick Porcello going forward? (nschaef from CT) | I wasn't high on Porcello this year to begin with, though I don't mean he doesn't have a bright future. I just mean that I figured there would be some struggles this year (for reference, when asked about this before, I felt Brett Anderson was much further along in his development). He's going to be great, but I don't think that word applies to 2010.
Scherzer's velocity seems to be down a bit, but it's early so I'm having a hard time getting too worked up about it. I'm sticking with him in my AL-only league (though I may have to deal him for an outfielder given my previously referenced situation. Le sigh). (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-04-21 14:00:00 | I meant getting to 0-1 regardless of how it's accomplished. (Max from Brooklyn) | I did a study on something similar to this in the summer of 2008, based on something Max Scherzer told me he and the pitchers at the University of Missouri were taught, called A3P. A3P is Attack in 3 Pitches, and the goal was for the pitchers to either have the PA over, or at two strikes, after three pitches. When applied to major league pitchers there was no real connection between A3P percentage and the normal success-based metrics, and while your question and that study aren't entirely the same, I think they are close enough to appropriately answer the question. Getting ahead 0-1 is great, but I don't think we would find too strong of a correlation between % of PAs that start 0-1 and ERA, or RARP, or SIERA. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-04-21 14:00:00 | Who would you take for one year/career? Latos or Masterson? Any other young pitchers ready to take a step forward? (George from NJ) | If I had to choose between the two for this season, I'll take Masterson. For career, Latos, but the gap isn't that wide, really. I'd go with Latos since he's younger and the scouts have been raving about his stuff. Other young guns ready to bust out? I don't know if you can consider it a break out given what he did last year but this is a big year for Tommy Hanson, and the same can be said of Brett Anderson. I'd also like to see Clayton Kershaw improve his control this season. I might be biased but I also think this is the year Max Scherzer emerges as a true front of the rotation stud. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-02-16 16:00:00 | Thank you for answering my earlier question. If you were going to build a staff, would you build it around Yovani Gallardo or Max Scherzer? Your thoughts on these two young pitchers? (Dennis from LA) | On Gallardo: a high strikeout, high GB pitcher will always be welcome in my bullpen. Scherzer isn't as GB happy as Gallardo, but is no slouch himself. I would pick Gallardo over Scherzer on those grounds, but to be honest, you wouldn't do so bad with either one. (Russell A. Carleton) |
| 2010-01-12 18:30:00 | Hey Eric, wondering who your top picks for a breakout season in 2010 will be. Thanks,
Dan (DanDaMan from Sea Cliff) | Carlos Gonzalez and Max Scherzer off the top of my head. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-10-05 16:00:00 | Has the luster come off Max Scherzer at all? Would you rather have him or Jurrjens? (James282 from nj) | Not in the slightest. I'd still take him over Jurrjens even though I love Jair simply because Max's skillset portends improvement moving forward and more of an ability to sustain that improvement. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-09-10 13:00:00 | For overall career value, this point on, who would you rather have Edinson Volquez or a pitching prospect ranked around 80th on Goldstein's top 100 list next year? Neither will likely pitch next year, both have some risk of development, both have some upside. I guess the question boils down to how much you believe that Edinson can regain his status from the injury.
I am in a strat league, I could either keep Volquez or cut him and draft someone in the 80th range on Goldstein's next list. (LindInMoskva from DC) | Volquez will miss 2010, but most pitchers come back from TJ to previous level. That's a major league pitcher with some upside. He'll be 28. Looking back to Goldstein's 2008 list (not 2009), guys at that level are Deolis Guerra, Radhames Liz, Max Scherzer, Jair Jurrjens, Aaron Poreda, and Greg Reynolds. Even with a year of development, we're looking at two guys who have established themselves at the MLB level, plus Poreda who's an upside guy. I'd probably take Poreda and Jurrjens over Volquez right now, Scherzer's a toss up, but then you have to figure out the "bust risk." Which of those guys would I have picked LAST year and am I confident that I can pick correctly? Kevin's an expert and had Poreda under Liz ... I think that bust risk is huge, so I'd almost always go with the guy I know can pitch. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-07-24 16:30:00 | Please rank these in terms of the better MLB career - Clay Buchholz, Naftali Feliz or Max Scherzer?
Thanks!
Alan (MikeAlan from North Carolina) | Admittedly I'm biased given my relationship with Max but I really do think he has a better career than Buchholz or Feliz, the latter of whom I own in a Strat league and love. Scherzer has absolutely electric stuff but also the know-how and savvy, as evident in the interview I posted with him last year, to make adjustments when adjustments are needed. He's very into the numbers, just like Bannister, but he throws 98 mph. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-07-30 14:00:00 | Please rank these in terms of MLB career: Clay Buchholz, Max Scherzer, Naftali Feliz.
Thanks,
Alan (MikeAlan from North Carolina) | I'd have to go Buchholz, Feliz and Scherzer. I like the idea that Buchholz has had success, albeit just a taste in the major leauges, including throwing the no-hitter. (John Perrotto) |
| 2009-02-17 13:00:00 | How many innings does Max Scherzer throw in 2009, and how good are they? (lowellfield from Brooklyn) | I know PECOTA loves Scherzer, and I couldn't agree more. He's really improved his secondary stuff over the years -- remember, he was mostly a fastball guy at Missouri. I think he probably throws 140 innings or so, and I think they'll be pretty good. A good sleeper for you fantasy players. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-11-19 13:00:00 | Arizona sent Max Scherzer to the fall league to get in the innings he 'missed' during the summer. Good idea or bad idea? (brianjamesoak from Alameda, CA) | Good idea. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-07-22 13:00:00 | What changed for Max Scherzer between this year and last? (PSzucs from Toronto) | He found his velocity. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-04-29 14:00:00 | What do you think about Max Scherzer? Is he worth using a waiver claim? (uptick from st. louis) | A quick scan of the queue tells me that Max Scherzer is a popular dude today. Scherzer was #90 on KG's list, and I'd have to think that if he has his walks under control--he handed out free passes to almost 5 hitters per nine in '07--then his upside is higher than that. Let's not go insane with a 23 inning sample or anything, but he's looking better now than he did when the season started, huh? If you have the space, go for it. If he keeps it up you won't have much more time to think it over. (Marc Normandin) |
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